The Betfair Insider Harness: Ballarat, Thursday 17th November 2016

Posted: November 17, 2016

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Ballarat.

Ballarat Markets R1 – 8

R1 Christmas Charity Carnival 25th November 3yo Pace | 2200m 6:14pm

The first starter Modern Culture with Jason Lee has trialled well and may scoot over to find the front here. Knight Sky Shadow should take a trail from the pole. The well-favoured runners of Mister Alias and Soho Leviathan will have to make a 3-wide move at one stage – whoever goes first may determine the winner. Deadly Assassin has drawn wide and will need to be good to win.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
9. Mister Alias $3.20
10. Soho Leviathan $3.20
8. Govinni $8.20
6. Modern Culture $12.50
1. Knight Sky Safari $18.50
7. Deadly Assassin $18.50
2. Carramar Arapaho $65.00
3. Shilah $65.00
5. Fremarksgonzo $65.00
4. Align $110.00

Betting Strategy 

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Deadly Assassin

R2 BDTC150 on Twitter VicBred Platinum Country Series F (1st Heat) | 2200m 6:49pm

Tough speed map here with Enticing Smile able to show out and has drawn well. Miss Cully with Jason Lee may surge forward as well. If Eurasian Hanover can avoid trouble 1st up from a spell it should be too class for this lot.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
6. Eurasian Hanover $2.44
8. Express Yourself $8.00
10. Truscott Sun $8.00
9. Scottish Sardius $10.50
1. Enticing Smile $15.00
2. Fear Not $15.00
4. Miss Cully $15.00
7. Kilkee $36.00
3. My Darling Beware $230.00
5. Ruby Beware $230.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Eurasian Hanover

R3 Glamtastics On 3rd December Book Now Pace MS | 2200| 7:18pm

The hot favourite Gotta Go Elextobe should go back from the wide draw here but Gavin Lang might make an early move to try and make a bird of this race. Not a lot of early speed here with The Dee Em Devil and Razen Trouble looking like early leading contenders.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
7. Gotta Go Electobet $1.27
4. Razen Trouble $21.00
8. Santanna Will Play $21.00
1. Our Sir Oliver $27.00
2. Son Of Gozo Pride $27.00
3. The Dee Em Devil $55.00
6. Sebastiens Lad $110.00
5. Majors Fortune $180.00
9. Jasperinart $180.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Gotta Go Electobet

R4 Diamond Rewards Join Now Trotters Handicap | 2200| 7:48pm

Sky Me A River is flying and although a SS he can lead these as he did last week. Pretty Little Lucy is a good SS performer as is Miss Noelle, either of which might attack early. This is a nice trotters race and wouldn’t be surprised to see any of them win.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
7. Save Our Pennys $3.65
1. Sky Me A River $4.90
6. Racewaycalder $4.90
5. Miss Noelle $5.20
8. Soaked $27.00
3. Pretty Little Lucy $29.00
2. Girls Go First $38.00
4. Makarewa Monarch $70.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Racewaycalder

R5 Pink Show on 10th December Book Now Pace | 1710m | 8:18pm

Realy Under Fire may be able to lead here from the wide draw – there really isn’t much pace inside it. Vanderley is 2nd up but is the best horse – just wondering if it has come back as good.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
4. Vanderley $3.60
5. Saxon Warrior $4.50
7. Realy Under Fire $6.60
2. Tearitup $8.20
1. Nimble Jack $9.80
8. No Bettertime $19.00
3. Blitzsuzy $38.00
11. Chirpy Chuckles $48.00
10. Four Smart Aces $110.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Saxon Warrior

R6 www.Ballarattrottingclub.com.au Pace | 2200m | 8:48pm

Swiftly Tothebeach gets the gun draw here and can lead and win here. Even though Zibibbo can lead I think it’s a better sit sprint horse. Look for Laszlo late if there’s pressure early.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
1. Swiftly Tothebeach $2.58
4. Zibibbo $3.50
9. Laszlo $8.40
11. Sharks Bonus $15.50
2. Bellas Jet $30.00
7. Glenferrie Arch $30.00
8. Maken Art Magic $50.00
10. Half Crown Gap $50.00
5. Shelusme $70.00
12. Citysneak $110.00
3. Mairhed Fallen $250.00
6. Ithappensinvegas $250.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Swiftly Tothebeach

R7 Ask Our Staff About The Beer Horse Pace | 1710m | 9:18pm

Paleface Warrior is very quick out – although restrained from gate 5 last time, he has shown pace before and from gate 3 should be able to lead here. Itscitemint has ability when right but has done little lately albeit in much better races. Christian Major will more than likely start popular elect but won’t have it all his way from the draw.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
9. Christian Major $1.94
8. Ardens Legacy $6.80
3. Paleface Warrior $8.40
1. Itscitement $15.50
10. Ourgirlbillilee $15.50
6. Impressive Guy $29.00
4. Art Prevails $38.00
5. Shaka Moment $65.00
2. Touch Of Armbro $240.00
7. Dont Tell Jim $500.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Christian Major

R7 Flying Horse Bistro Trotters Handicap | 2200m | 9:48pm

The SS holds the key here – favourite Gus An Maori can be risky but handle the tapes last time off a 20m handicap winning by nearly 20m. Somebuddylikeyou will look for the early lead as he did last time.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
2. Gus An Maori $1.71
7. Lombo Scrutinizer $7.40
8. Stunning Jasper $7.40
3. Somebuddylikeyou $21.00
1. Alabamas Invasion $26.00
4. Argyle Melody $42.00
6. Mister Oz $42.00
5. Defence Got Jumped $280.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Gus An Maori

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