AFL Finals Week 3 Predictions: Data Scientists’ Predictive Model

Posted: September 22, 2016 at 10:18 am
Betfair Data Scientists

Utilising a vast array of variables and proven statistical methods, the AFL Prediction Model takes a purely statistical approach to predicting AFL outcomes.

Predicted AFL probabilities can be used to identify value Back & Lay bets. Factors such as injuries and weather aren’t considered in the assessments but can be manually considered in your wagering to give you an added edge.

AFL Finals Week 3 Predictions

Compare the Model’s predicted prices to the market to identify your value bets. 

The model and market expectation are almost identical for both preliminary finals. The weather forecast in both states looks close to perfect, with the biggest advantage not only HGA but the extra break that Geelong and Greater Western Sydney have been afforded.

 

All times below are EST.

Geelong v Sydney

Friday September 23, 7:50pm – MCG

GWS Giants v Western Bulldogs

Saturday September 24, 5:15pm – Spotless Stadium

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