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FEATURE PREVIEWS: MOIR STAKES

MOIR STAKES

Track: The Valley | Distance: 1000m | Type: Group 1 WFA | Rail Position: True | Condition: Good 4 | Prizemoney: $1,000,000

G1 WFA sprint won in recent times by Nature Strip, Buffering, Extreme Choice, She Will Reign, Coolangatta, Viddora, Pippie & Wild Ruler.

 

Historical Profiling: Trend from Last 7 Years (Race Run at 1000m)

• 1st up – 5 winners (132-292 day break), 2nd up – 3 winners (20 day break)

• 58.5kg (3), 56.5 kg (2), 52kg (1), 50kg (2)

• 5 colts have contested for 1 win and 5 fillies have contested for 2 wins

• Wide range of ages (3 to 8), genders, and barriers

• Career Starts Under 18 (6), 26+ (2)

• Betfair Exchange Rank 1-3 (6), 4-5 (2)

• Race Distance Change -200 (5), 0 (3)

• Total Prizemoney Earnings $1m+ (7), $500k (1)

• Average Prizemoney Index Rank 1 (4), 3-5 (4)

• 4 leaders have won, with the other winners settling 4th, 6th, 8th, and 11th.

• 6 winners of past 8 years were a previous G1 winner over 1100m-1200m

SPEED MAP

Above average speed here with Zoustyle & Acromantula pushing to lead.

Asfoora, Uncommon James, Generation & Rothfire can all settle close.

Imperatriz & The Inferno out the back.

KEY RUNNERS

1. Rothfire – Racing very consistently. Ran 2nd in the Mcewen first up. Prior to that had two G1 placings. In the mix here.

2. The Inferno – Multiple G1 winner who flew home for 2nd beaten a head in this race two years ago. Comes into this first up. Has a strong finish when right.

3. Uncommon James – Perfectly fits the profile of the winner of this race, ticking practically every box. Won the Oakleigh Plate last prep, 2nd in the Galaxy, and comes here first up. Looked very good winning Doomben 840m 29 Aug trial by 0.5L +6.4 last 600m +10.2 3rd quickest of 113 triallers on the day under no pressure. Looks the one to beat.

4. Zoustyle – Set a solid tempo up front first up in the Mcewen and stuck on well for 2nd last year, before 3rd in this race. Ran 4th in the Mcewen this year. Not as sharp as an 8yo.

5. Generation – Ran 4th in this race last year. Solid sprinter but usually a couple of lengths off these.

7. Imperatriz – Impressed in first up Mcewen Stakes win by 2.4L. Multiple G1 winner who won the William Reid the start before. May not be as fresh second up here over the 1000m and may not get the ideal race shape she did first up. Is the big danger.

8. Asfoora – Consistent sprinter who can figure here.

DEAN EVANS’ TOP 5 SELECTIONS

#3 – Uncommon James

#7 – Imperatriz

#1 – Rothfire

#8 – Asfoora

#2 – The Inferno

BETTING STRATEGY

Uncommon James flew in a recent trial and profiles perfectly to win this race. Imperatriz clearly the danger. Expect one of them to win here.

BACK 3 – Uncommon James 1.5w

DEAN EVANS’ RESULTS

Units Outlayed: 429.0
Units Returned: 466.8
Profit On Turnover: 8.8%

G1 Big Priced Winners (Betfair SP Price)

2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63

2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60

2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26

2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23

2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50

2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95

2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50

2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55

2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80

2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69

2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18

2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00

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