THE MASTERS: GOLF BETTING TIPS

Welcome to Betfair’s home for betting tips and analysis for the US Masters 2022 at Augusta National, Georgia.

Read our Golf Analyst’s preview and best bets for the US Masters 2022, including outright picks and a range of prop bets from First Round Leader to Head-to-Head markets.

You’ll find the US Masters 2022 betting tips and analysis right here on the Betfair Hub!

Click here to view the betting market for the US Masters 2022 on the Betfair Exchange.


US Masters 2022: Preview and Betting Tips

Best Bets

Justin Thomas

No player fits the profile of a Masters winner more than 28yo Justin Thomas. He ticks the age box, he has played at Augusta six times with a best finish of 4th so ticks experience/course form boxes, he sits well in the Top 30 and his form is strong with not only a Top 20 in March but four Top 8s in his last seven stroke play starts. Included in that run was a 6th at Riviera, the key course correlation. He ranks 2nd in the key stat of Par 4 Birdie or Better while he ranks Top 6 in key scrambling, iron, driving, scoring and putting stats. Clear standout play.

BACK — Justin Thomas at $16.0+

Matthew Fitzpatrick

Consistent Englishman Matt Fitzpatrick has built a nice record at Augusta in seven starts and can get over the line at a big price. He has made six straight cuts including a top finish of 7th. He finished 5th in the 2021 Genesis so has form on the key correlation course. Game seems ideal too ranking 4th in Scrambling, 5th in Strokes Gained: Tee To Green, 14th in Strokes Gained: Approach, 16th in Bogey Avoidance and 20th in Strokes Gained: Putting.

BACK — Matthew Fitzpatrick at $51.0+


Best Lays

Rory McIlroy

There is no disputing the fact that Rory has a tremendous record at Augusta and his game should suit but in his current form it is hard to consider him at such a short quote. McIlroy has six Top 10 finishes here in his last eight starts but his chance to break through may have passed him by. He has four Top 13 finishes in his last six starts but he has just two wins since the start of 2020.

LAY — Rory McIlroy at < $31.0

Bryson DeChambeau

Augusta has never really suited Bryson DeChambeau, who has yet to crack the Top 20 in five starts here. He has a scoring average of 72.35 and has a best finish of T-21. He has endured a wretched 2022 dealing with an injury and the spectre of a defection to the Saudi golf upstart. This is not the week to play yourself back into form.

LAY — Bryson DeChambeau at < $61.0


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Top 5

Tyrrell Hatton

Englishman who is flying with the flatstick. Leads the Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting while he ranks second in Putting Average. Ranks inside the Top 30, has five Masters under his belt, has an Augusta Top 20 and comes into this with two Top 10s in his last four starts.

BACK — Tyrrell Hatton at $6.0+


Top 10

Talor Gooch

Comes to Augusta in good nick with three Top 20s in his last six starts that has seen him rise to 34 in the world. This is his debut at Augusta so he is unlikely to win but he certainly has the game to compete. He leads the Tour in Par 5 Performance while he ranks Top 20 in Putting Average, Bogey Avoidance, Strokes Gained: Approach and Strokes Gained: Tee To Green.

BACK — Talor Gooch at $8.0+


First Round Leader

Justin Rose

Veteran Justin Rose has a tremendous record at Augusta and his best work has traditionally come in the opening round. He leads the field in strokes gained in the opening round at Augusta – ahead of Tiger Woods – and he ranks sixth in strokes gained in Round 1 on long courses. He ranks Top 22 in strokes gained Round 1 in the field. Looks a strong play.

BACK — Justin Rose at $51.0+


Top Senior

Bernhard Langer

The ageless Langer rarely has a bad Masters and in outstanding form on the Champions Tour, he looks the pick of the senior players. He has made the cut in six of his last nine trips to Augusta including an eighth. In five starts on the Champions Tour this year he has four Top 10s including a win in the Chubb Classic.

BACK — Bernhard Langer at $3.0+


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Top South African

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Bezuidenhout has been to Augusta twice and has Top 40 finishes on each occasion. He will no doubt be better for the experience of both those two efforts. His form at Augusta is no surprise as he is a quality iron player who ranks 13th in Proximity while his form around the greens is excellent as indicated by his 10th ranking in Scrambling.

BACK — Christiaan Bezuidenhout at $3.50+


Head-to-Head

Tyrell Hatton to beat Tony Finau

Hatton has not particularly excelled at Augusta with a T-18 last year his best finish in five starts but he has not entered in such hot putting form either with the Englishman leading the Tour in Putting Average. Finau has a solid record at Augusta but his golf has gone dramatically south with his last eight starts seeing a best result of T-29.

BACK — Tyrell Hatton at $1.70+


Head-to-Head

Patrick Cantlay to beat Xander Schauffele

There is absolutely no way this matchup should be close to pick ‘em. Cantlay is having a very good season and ticks a lot of boxes with a sound short game, excellent scoring and quality putting. Schauffele has two Top 3 finishes at Augusta from four starts but has just one Top 10 finish this year.

BACK — Patrick Cantlay at $1.70+


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The Masters Tournament: What You Need to Know

Course Analysis: Augusta National

There is no more pristine, immaculate, iconic 18 holes in golf than those at Augusta, an altar that is as revered as it is idolised. Designed by the legendary Bobby Jones, Augusta is the home to such iconic features as Amen Corner, Rae’s Creek, Butler Cabin, Ike’s Pond and The Big Oak Tree.

Off the tee, distance is far more important than accuracy. It plays even longer than its yardage book by the way it is cut. The course has been lengthened and narrowed over the last two decades but wayward drives are not always punished with such an established and pristine course.

Performance off the tee though is not nearly as important as iron play. Augusta is a second-shot course where experience and precision are key.

The greens at Augusta are some of the toughest in world golf, fast and hard to read, and performance with the flat stick is important but the toughness really brings the star putters back to the field making it a less important statistical angle. A far more important guide is form around the green with an ability to scramble essential.

The most important statistics to follow on the course are:

  • Scrambling
  • Greens In Regulation
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Proximity
  • Strokes Gained: Tee To Green
  • Par 4 Birdie or Better
  • Putting Average
  • Strokes Gained: Putting
  • Par 5 Performance
  • Bogey Avoidance

Which golfers do we think fit the Augusta National course profile?

  1. Will Zalatoris: Debuted here last year and finished second. Ranks 2nd on Tour in Strokes Gained: Tee To Green led by an outstanding iron game that sits 2nd behind only Collin Morikawa.
  2. Patrick Cantlay: Super-consistent player who has finished Top 17 in two of the last three Masters. Ranks 12th in Scrambling while he ranks 15th in Par 4 Birdie or Better.
  3. Daniel Berger: Leads the Tour in Scrambling while he ranks eighth in Strokes Gained: Tee To Green. Four starts at Augusta has netted him one Top 10 and two further Top 30s.
  4. Justin Rose: Veteran who has an outstanding record at Augusta with five Top 10 finishes in his last 10 Masters starts including two runner-up finishes and a seventh last year. Ranks Top 20 in Scrambling this season.

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The Masters: Tournament Winners’ History

It is said two kinds of players win at Augusta: tacticians and scramblers. That plays out most notably with irons and wedges in hands so selections really need to be either elite with their approach game coupled with a good brain or outstanding around the green.

Experience is extremely important even if past success here isn’t. Rookies and those who have played Augusta just once or twice have a dark history. Finding someone who has played here at least five times is important.

The best of the best tend to win The Masters with longshots and those outside the Top 30 having a dire record. There has not been a pre-tournament winner going off at longer than $67 this decade.

Age is important. Augusta is a long and hilly course. Only seven Masters champions have been aged 40 or over and only Tiger Woods in 2019 has been aged north of 40 this century.

Form has tended to be an excellent guide. Six of the last 10 winners had won that season while seven had multiple Top 10s. That rarely extends to last start success in the final PGA Tour event though with only Jordan Spieth last year and Anthony Kim in 2010 riding a warm-up event success into a Top 10.

From a course correlation perspective, Riviera is without question the key one to look at with Bubba Watson and his success at both the most obvious example.

In essence we are looking for a golfer aged 25-37 who has played at least five times at Augusta, who has won or has multiple Top 10s in the season leading up, who sits in the Top 30 and is $67 or shorter, who has form at Riviera and who is either excellent with his irons or has an elite short game.


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The Masters Tournament: Winner Market & Betting Tips


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