EXPERT RACING TIPS: IRISH DERBY FESTIVAL

Check out international expert Rory Flanagan’s Irish Derby Festival tips and analysis. Rory has been betting on international racing including the UK, Dubai, Ireland and across Europe for years and his insights will be free on the Betfair Hub. Get Rory’s Irish Derby Festival Racing Tips now featuring best bets, selections and analysis for every race on the card.

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IRISH DERBY FESTIVAL TIPS | SUNDAY 26 JUNE 2022

Rail: True
Track Conditions:
Soft5, rain forecast
Expected advantage: First 6 in run. Strong winds mean difficulty making ground in the straight. Backmarkers extremely disadvantaged.

It was a rough day yesterday with conditions wreaking havoc on horses settling off the pace and three horses rolled at 1.15 in the run or lower.

Hopefully some. 


BEST BACK OF THE DAY: Race 5 | #2 LA PETITE COCO & #1 DREAMLOPER

Two-horse play to beat the 3yo fillies with two proven G1-winning mares who relish the trip.

BEST LAY OF THE DAY: Race 8 | #7 COUGAR 

COUGAR keeps stinking it up and getting turned over as favourite and I’m keen to oppose once more. I feel like he should be stepped further up in trip and not down, so that leaves him vulnerable. I would expect the market to attempt to blast out in the last with Moore-O’Brien so I’m happy to lay him, and back the two I think will win.


Race 1 | Curragh Tips | Key Runners

2. AUGUSTE RODIN
5. GREENLAND
6. LYGON STREET
3. GLAZUNOV

AUGUSTE RODIN will likely be a warm order for this after his luckless debut run. I’m actually keen to take him on at such a low price considering his form hasn’t been franked at all. He could bump into a smart debutant and at 1.5 there’s low liability to lay him. If he drifts back he’ll trade at a higher price too.

Betting Strategy

LAY (WIN) – Auguste Rodin for 3 units


Race 2 | Curragh Tips | Key Runners

6. STATUETTE
7. ZARINSK
2. MATILDA PICOTTE
2. COMHRA

STATUETTE could be a freak and I’m not overly keen to oppose her here with the way she won on debut.

I still think ZARINSK will run a mighty race and the form has stacked up superbly from her debut with three winners coming out of that race. If there is no fav-out market, I’ll be taking the 2-places market.

Betting Strategy

BACK (PLACE) – Zarinsk for 3 units


Race 3 | Currragh Tips | Key Runners & Expert Tips

15. HEAVENLY POWER
17. MY EYES ADORE YOU
5. HEAD MISTRESS
16. GORDON BENNETT

I’m opting for horses who have a liking for the Curragh here who get in with no weight on their backs. HEAVENLY POWER has run three stormers here for a win and two placings with the other a forgive run. The relation to Slade Power is capable of another big run with the minimum weight and a liking for the going.

MY EYES ADORE YOU will probably want it genuinely wet, as it’s hard to ignore the maiden win here a month ago in the slop. Fozzy Stack has a knack for winning these races with lightweights.

HEAD MISTRESS will be hammered in betting if the rain doesn’t arrive and represents the flying Colin Keane/Ger Lyons team.

GORDON BENNETT same type of profile as My Eyes Adore You but with the added apprentice claim to take even more weight off and could make use of the far side from gate 1.

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) – Heavenly Power for 1 unit

BACK (WIN) – My Eyes Adore You for 1 unit

BACK (WIN) – Head Mistress for 1 unit


Race 4 | Curragh Tips | Key Runners & Expert Tips

2. MAKE A CHALLENGE
11. TEES SPIRIT
13. SHELLY BANKS
9. ADDITIONAL

Not a race I’m keen to get involved in, but if things got into the heavy range (unlikely) I’d be backing MAKE A CHALLENGE with his phenomenal wet track record here.

Betting Strategy

No bet. 


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Race 5 | Curragh Tips | Key Runners

1. DREAMLOPER
2. LA PETITE COCO
6. CONCERT HALL
8. PURPLEPAY

PETITE COCO who might be a shade underdone for 2000m and prefers 2400m, though her racing pattern means she’s well suited to the Curragh.

CONCERT HALL is likely to be made use of by Ryan Moore who paid the price more than once yesterday for negative tactics. She’s drawn well and will give them something to run down, and has already beaten PURPLEPAY here last time they met. Not sure why she’s double the price.

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) La Petite Coco for 3 units


Race 6 | Curragh Tips | Key Runners

1. PHOENIX COWBOY
3. DAME RAPIDE
4. SAFECRACKER
6. DANCILA

Another wide open race with too many chances to narrow down and a large handicap swing. Not betting.


Race 7 | Curragh Tips | Key Runners

20. PARIS PEACOCK
17. DABANA
9. FREE TO PARTY
8. FOOSTEPS IN QATAR

22-horse maiden for the fillies and mares. There are 9 winning chances of the raced horses so leave me out.


Race 8 | Curragh Tips | Key Runners

7. COUGAR
10. NEMEAN
11. NUSRET
3. ACTIVE DUTY

COUGAR keeps stinking it up and getting turned over as favourite and I’m keen to oppose once more. I feel like he should be stepped further up in trip and not down, so that leaves him vulnerable. I would expect the market to attempt to blast out in the last with Moore-O’Brien so I’m happy to lay him, and back the two I think will win.

NEMEAN just bumped into an odds-on shot on debut and there was plenty to like about the run. From a good gate he can hold a position and track the favourite everywhere before being produced late.

NUSRET has been running similar levels with similar times to the favourite but is 3x the price. Has only just missed the last three starts whilst the fav has been well-held at the line.

Very wary of the expensive filly for Joseph O’Brien ROSSO CORSA.

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) – Nemean for 1 units

BACK (WIN) – Nurset for 1 unit


 

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