This is the home of Betfair’s $15K World Cup Datathon. Thank you so much to the modelers who entered. We’ve been overwhelmed by the quantity and quality of entrants. If you missed this Datathon, please follow us on Facebook / Twitter or LinkedIn so that you can hear about the next one.

Here is a list of the prizes on offer for this one:

  • 1st place – $5,000
  • 2nd place – $3,000
  • 3rd place – $2,000
  • 4th place – $1000
  • 5th place – $750
  • 6th place – $500
  • 7th – 10th place – $250

Plus, our in house data science team is talking a big game. If you finish above the model betfair_datascientists_hamez, you’ll win $100 (pays on positions 11-60).

Prizes are cash (AUD), must be over 18 and based in Australia. Entrants must be over 18. Terms and conditions apply.


DATATHON LEADERBOARD

The following leaderboard is accurate at 11:00 20/6/18.

rank surmodel log_loss
1 p_32_second 0.8241
2 p_34_qnd4 0.8402
3 p_43_qasi 0.8432
4 p_32_first 0.8548
5 p_65_twicckj 0.8646
6 p_144_q2 0.8723
7 p_32_fifth 0.874
8 p_32_fourth 0.874
9 p_144_m1 0.874
10 p_65_klgndsn 0.8761
11 p_34_qnd3 0.8874
12 p_126_senegal 0.8879
13 p_90_specialkv1 0.8927
14 p_18_camodeldu 0.8996
15 p_34_qnd2 0.9011
16 p_34_qnd1 0.9029
17 p_144_moddedelolong 0.9031
18 p_18_camodelm 0.9094
19 p_44_mlr_v103 0.9115
20 p_18_camodelf 0.912
21 p_44_mlr_v104 0.913
22 p_44_mlr_v105 0.913
23 p_44_mlr_v102 0.9133
24 p_77_model3 0.9145
25 p_100_pred 0.9157
26 p_145_nate 0.9163
27 p_18_camodelr 0.9169
28 p_91_vamosarg-2 0.9192
29 p_181_nnwc 0.9192
30 p_164_conditions 0.9193
31 p_98_theprestige 0.9202
32 p_170_15u 0.9207
33 p_168_rfa 0.924
34 p_170_30u 0.9253
35 p_126_englandbelgium 0.9276
36 p_18_camodeldl 0.9297
37 p_157_dillydallys-5 0.9301
38 p_13_formulabrad 0.9301
39 p_29_m1 0.9323
40 p_29_m2 0.9323
41 p_29_m3 0.9323
42 p_29_m4 0.9323
43 p_29_m5 0.9323
44 p_159_s4 0.9323
45 p_170_50u 0.9324
46 p_23_model1 0.9327
47 p_34_qnd5 0.9335
48 p_168_blend1 0.9338
49 p_61_deepfried_3 0.9342
50 p_153_zobb3 0.9351
51 p_114_multinom_log_linear 0.9359
52 p_44_mlr_v101 0.9377
53 p_129_taranto2 0.9389
54 p_140_fteweightedp-3 0.9393
55 p_56_worldcupcalc4 0.9395
56 p_23_model3 0.9404
57 p_170_70u 0.9404
58 p_134_model 0.9413
59 p_168_blend2 0.9415
60 p_128_hfr_3 0.9418
61 p_74_model1 0.9423
62 p_128_hfa_2 0.9427
63 p_31_4 0.9427
64 p_78_fairmlp 0.9429
65 p_70_dalpra_gambletron5 0.9434
66 p_181_nn7 0.9436
67 p_107_alterelo20 0.9452
68 p_81_modelxbeta 0.9454
69 p_56_worldcupcalc2 0.9462
70 p_126_australiawinless 0.9464
71 p_56_worldcupcalc5 0.9469
72 p_39_sp020618 0.9471
73 p_170_85u 0.9471
74 p_168_rth 0.9472
75 p_160_bookiesavgplus_1 0.9477
76 p_74_model2 0.9479
77 p_107_alterelo15 0.9485
78 p_52_grunter4 0.9486
79 p_52_grunter5 0.9486
80 p_140_harmonywisdom-4 0.9494
81 p_77_model5 0.9494
82 p_181_lg 0.9497
83 p_159_s3 0.9502
84 p_117_model1 0.9514
85 p_107_alterelo10 0.952
86 p_25_blend2 0.9525
87 p_100_predensemble 0.953
88 p_37_model1 0.9543
89 p_15_raskanet-1 0.9551
90 p_31_1 0.9555
91 p_107_alterelo05 0.9557
92 p_171_piratesunspots 0.9558
93 p_38_NA 0.9558
94 p_161_raredraws 0.956
95 p_77_model1 0.9564
96 p_91_vamosarg-1 0.9565
97 p_184_worldcupmodel-si 0.9566
98 p_147_ensemble5 0.9567
99 p_98_insomnia 0.9569
100 p_56_worldcupcalc3 0.957
101 p_74_model3 0.957
102 p_74_model5 0.9572
103 p_105_modelnumber30 0.9572
104 p_47_wc2018_1 0.9572
105 p_98_interstellar 0.9572
106 p_50_marketrules1 0.9575
107 p_50_stackem2 0.9575
108 p_10_drawhigh 0.9576
109 p_10_drawlow 0.9576
110 p_74_model4 0.9579
111 p_159_s1 0.958
112 p_131_model1 0.9581
113 p_123_kb3 0.9581
114 p_180_numbersman4 0.9584
115 p_19_oddscalc1 0.9584
116 p_42_gmodelcapped 0.9585
117 betfair_datascientists_the-odds 0.9586
118 p_129_taranto1 0.9592
119 p_150_exp 0.9593
120 p_128_eol_1 0.9596
121 p_123_kb5 0.9597
122 p_70_dalpra_gambletron4 0.96
123 p_69_submission2 0.9602
124 p_128_oml_4 0.9602
125 p_166_placebo 0.9608
126 p_126_base 0.9612
127 p_126_latedraws 0.9612
128 p_85_b1model 0.9615
129 p_96_version1 0.9622
130 p_124_standard 0.9623
131 p_11_m1 0.9623
132 p_175_inter1-1 0.9624
133 p_42_bmodel 0.9625
134 p_148_anna 0.963
135 p_69_submission1 0.9637
136 p_140_bookbsd-1 0.9639
137 p_77_model4 0.9641
138 p_56_worldcupcalc1 0.9645
139 p_102_out 0.9655
140 betfair_datascientists_wisdom-of-the-crowd 0.9658
141 p_68_modelone 0.9671
142 p_184_worldcupmodel-wom 0.9672
143 p_42_gmodel 0.9672
144 p_147_ensemble4 0.9675
145 p_150_linear 0.9677
146 p_123_kb1 0.9678
147 p_164_motivation 0.9679
148 p_147_ensemble3 0.968
149 p_51_model1 0.9688
150 p_180_numbersman5 0.9692
151 p_102_main 0.9697
152 p_80_deep_fried_e 0.9698
153 p_124_final 0.9701
154 p_51_model2 0.9702
155 p_102_avg 0.9707
156 p_12_datasoclaflame-1 0.971
157 p_159_s2 0.9713
158 p_117_model2 0.9723
159 p_136_probmodelv2 0.9728
160 p_66_wildguess 0.9729
161 p_55_sandrock 0.9733
162 p_180_numbersman1 0.9733
163 p_78_justgooglez 0.9735
164 p_151_submission3 0.9735
165 p_61_deepfried_5 0.9741
166 p_164_base 0.9743
167 p_147_ensemble2 0.9745
168 p_96_version2 0.9746
169 p_72_submission1 0.9747
170 p_45_setd 0.9749
171 p_72_submission2 0.9753
172 p_102_fav 0.9755
173 p_6_xgboost 0.9758
174 p_180_numbersman3 0.9775
175 p_3_16kfactoraa 0.9775
176 p_45_setc 0.9776
177 p_163_prices 0.9776
178 p_102_drw 0.9778
179 p_104_ksfc 0.9782
180 p_78_googlezmlp 0.9784
181 p_168_sgp 0.9786
182 p_70_dalpra_gambletron3 0.9792
183 p_98_inception 0.9802
184 p_73_stoneysmodel 0.9804
185 p_180_numbersman2 0.9804
186 p_35_ensemble3 0.9805
187 p_49_champy-1 0.981
188 p_72_submission4 0.9815
189 p_81_modelxalpha 0.9817
190 p_159_s5 0.982
191 p_17_all47 0.9823
192 p_72_submission5 0.9825
193 p_72_submission3 0.9841
194 p_140_ftepoisson-2 0.9849
195 p_119_inoahbigtimebetter 0.9849
196 p_93_luckyleoslineup 0.9851
197 p_53_longshot2 0.9851
198 p_120_elo 0.9856
199 p_49_champy-2 0.9858
200 p_182_zzz-sub3 0.9858
201 p_61_deepfried_4 0.9859
202 p_61_deepfried_1 0.9861
203 p_147_ensemble1 0.9863
204 p_151_submission4 0.98740000000000006
205 p_128_gts_5 0.9875
206 p_17_onlycomp46 0.9876
207 p_175_inter1-2 0.9879
208 p_69_submission4 0.9881
209 p_9_wcm1 0.9882
210 p_124_yotd 0.9883
211 p_152_submission5 0.9884
212 p_35_ensemble1 0.9885
213 p_121_world_cup_final 0.989
214 p_52_grunter2 0.9891
215 p_100_no_odds_drawrate 0.9902
216 betfair_datascientists_hamez 0.9903
217 p_81_modelxgamma 0.9905
218 p_152_submission2 0.9905
219 p_70_dalpra_gambletron2 0.9911
220 p_49_champy-3 0.9915
221 p_31_2 0.9925
222 p_163_evenup 0.9926
223 p_67_std 0.9938
224 p_124_bad 0.9947
225 p_6_eloxgb 0.995
226 p_105_modelnumber8 0.995
227 p_176_lam 0.9955
228 p_45_seta 0.9955
229 p_135_fourth 0.9962
230 p_106_ell 0.9962
231 p_152_submission1 0.9962
232 p_80_deep_fried_b 0.9974
233 p_97_model1 0.9974
234 p_49_champy-4 0.9981
235 p_80_deep_fried_d 0.9982
236 p_80_deep_fried_a 0.9984
237 p_160_bookiesavgplus_4 0.9991
238 p_152_submission4 0.9991
239 p_7_mermaid3 0.9992
240 p_35_ensemble2 1.0004
241 p_160_bookiesavgplus_3 1.0009
242 p_122_imporvedsmoothedelo116 1.0011
243 p_120_friendlyelo 1.0019
244 p_7_mermaid1 1.0022
245 p_64_abitofintuition 1.0023
246 p_3_32kfactoraa 1.0024
247 p_184_worldcupmodel-wom2 1.0025
248 p_167_turnupmybayesk 1.0032
249 p_17_all49 1.004
250 p_123_kb4 1.0047
251 p_151_submission5 1.0049
252 p_98_darkknight 1.005
253 p_22_lessonthedraw 1.0052
254 p_49_champy-5 1.0055
255 p_51_model4 1.0062
256 p_47_wc2018_2 1.0062
257 p_35_mn 1.0074
258 p_167_oleoleole 1.0083
259 p_9_wcm3 1.0083
260 p_48_betsub2 1.0089
261 p_185_datatastical1 1.0101
262 p_185_datatastical2 1.0101
263 p_185_datatastical3 1.0101
264 p_30_datadave1 1.0106
265 p_99_m03t1 1.0114
266 p_89_model1 1.0115
267 p_167_rationalitytrumps 1.0116
268 p_182_zzz-sub1 1.0118
269 p_123_kb2 1.0144
270 p_21_tournament 1.015
271 p_67_midhigh 1.0158
272 p_20_facthunt3 1.0164
273 p_164_opinion 1.0164
274 p_108_conservative 1.018
275 p_178_model1 1.019
276 p_87_numbersman1-1 1.0202
277 p_60_forestegg 1.0206
278 p_10_tier 1.0206
279 p_40_ubsr1 1.0211
280 p_152_submission3 1.0213
281 p_174_model5 1.0215
282 p_120_democratic 1.022
283 p_140_histhybridpw-5 1.0222
284 p_117_model3 1.023
285 p_80_deep_fried_c 1.0236
286 p_7_mermaid2 1.0244
287 p_120_knn 1.0247
288 p_93_freefudgefactor 1.0252
289 betfair_datascientists_makelelo 1.0254
290 p_89_model4 1.0258
291 p_46_mlp 1.026
292 p_151_submission1 1.0263
293 p_61_deepfried_2 1.0263
294 p_7_mermaid4 1.0264
295 p_11_m4 1.0268
296 p_79_cnnmodel 1.0274
297 p_8_beendointhis4years 1.0278
298 p_11_m5 1.0282
299 p_23_model5 1.0287
300 p_79_ensemble2model 1.0309
301 p_104_mpfc 1.0315
302 p_9_wcm2 1.0318
303 p_94_logisticreg 1.0318
304 p_100_elo_odds_rank 1.0323
305 p_60_pureforest 1.0325
306 p_6_xgbelowinskew 1.0326
307 p_59_penalizedmultinomialregression 1.0333
308 p_160_bookiesavgplus_2 1.0337
309 p_54_pi_gb_model1 1.0345
310 p_79_ensemble1model 1.0366
311 p_148_anastasia 1.0371
312 p_77_model2 1.0383
313 p_60_boost20 1.0386
314 p_51_model3 1.0391
315 p_85_a1model 1.0401
316 p_89_model2 1.0403
317 p_20_facthunt2 1.0415
318 p_174_model4 1.0417
319 p_174_model1 1.0418
320 p_50_stackem3 1.0427
321 p_5_unitedstates 1.0436
322 p_182_zzz-sub2 1.0446
323 p_81_modelxvega 1.046
324 p_104_lcwfc 1.0462
325 p_157_dillydallys-4 1.0463
326 p_21_all 1.0469
327 p_21_serious 1.0469
328 p_107_simpleelo 1.0474
329 p_79_linearmodel 1.0485
330 p_110_micmathician 1.0488
331 p_17_comp48 1.0498
332 p_67_mid 1.0508
333 p_58_dataset13 1.0513
334 p_178_model5 1.0515
335 p_178_model3 1.0515
336 p_81_modelxdelta 1.0516
337 p_54_pi_gb_model_gbavg 1.0521
338 p_78_maninthemiddle 1.0524
339 p_178_model2 1.0542
340 p_104_lcfc 1.0557
341 p_151_submission2 1.0568
342 p_48_betsub1 1.0568
343 p_108_elo30draw 1.0581
344 p_95_model1 1.0581
345 p_50_stackem1 1.0598
346 p_10_top2 1.0638
347 p_3_64kfactoraa 1.0643
348 p_54_pi_gb_model_gbmed 1.0658
349 p_148_sofia 1.0668
350 p_59_randomforest 1.0673
351 p_156_cupcrunch 1.0674
352 p_135_fifthmodified3 1.0685
353 p_63_hope2 1.0688
354 p_59_cart 1.0697
355 p_174_model3 1.0701
356 p_26_submission 1.0714
357 p_179_lrsm 1.0723
358 p_157_dillydallys-2 1.0731
359 p_35_ad 1.0733
360 p_36_modelpl 1.0764
361 p_177_conservative 1.0771
362 p_36_modelxrlp 1.0792
363 p_125_jagsmodel2 1.0805
364 p_172_model1 1.0809
365 p_150_ranking 1.0816
366 p_71_great2 1.0817
367 p_36_modelxrl 1.0819
368 p_89_model5 1.0842
369 p_108_meanofmodels 1.0851
370 p_23_model4 1.0855
371 p_57_densenetoptimised 1.0861
372 p_79_relumodel 1.0881
373 p_63_hope3 1.0885
374 p_125_jagsmodel1 1.0889
375 p_63_hope1 1.0919
376 p_71_great3 1.0919
377 p_67_low 1.0957
378 p_6_elo 1.0962
379 p_167_allmenarecreatedequal 1.0986
380 p_89_model3 1.1011
381 p_155_shocker1 1.1011
382 p_84_model3 1.1014
383 p_17_onlycomp41 1.102
384 p_36_modelxp 1.102
385 p_135_second 1.1024
386 p_16_elo 1.1027
387 p_132_btrain3 1.1034
388 p_55_deathscythe 1.1034
389 p_148_maria 1.1078
390 p_160_bookiesavgplus_5 1.1101
391 p_135_fifth 1.1148
392 p_76_guessmodel 1.1154
393 p_4_twp2 1.1174
394 p_135_third 1.1175
395 p_40_ubsm1 1.1194
396 p_6_xgbwinskew 1.1197
397 p_133_makelelo 1.1202
398 p_113_elok25 1.1207
399 p_71_great1 1.1214
400 p_63_hope4 1.1237
401 p_53_longshot1 1.125
402 p_71_great4 1.1258
403 p_70_dalpra_gambletron1 1.129
404 p_157_dillydallys-3 1.1298
405 p_113_elok20 1.1306
406 p_88_model1 1.131
407 p_11_m3 1.1316
408 p_60_boost50 1.1327
409 p_22_europeanbias 1.133
410 p_2_take2 1.1335
411 p_82_boldgraytip1 1.1358
412 p_27_wc18 1.1365
413 p_22_risingaverage 1.137
414 p_11_m2 1.1414
415 betfair_datascientists_ml-dimaria 1.1468
416 p_113_elok30 1.1477
417 p_143_postmortimer 1.1484
418 p_132_btrain4 1.1506
419 p_161_allornothing 1.1516
420 p_132_btrain5 1.1522
421 p_113_elok35 1.1534
422 p_182_zzz-sub4 1.1559
423 p_23_model2 1.1569
424 p_69_submission5 1.1595
425 p_16_poisson 1.1596
426 p_20_facthunt1 1.1606
427 p_63_hope5 1.1611
428 p_36_modelp 1.1612
429 p_154_submit1 1.1642
430 p_136_probmodel 1.1674
431 p_14_model1 1.171
432 p_113_elok40 1.1751
433 p_20_facthunt 1.1764
434 p_16_glm2 1.1808
435 p_153_zobb5 1.1823
436 p_109_schmoopies1 1.1825
437 p_16_glm1 1.1856
438 p_132_bvalid2 1.1869
439 p_62_m4 1.1922
440 p_148_daria 1.1934
441 p_132_bvalid1 1.1964
442 p_33_filedaway 1.1968
443 p_59_neuralnetwork 1.2014
444 p_4_twp5 1.2048
445 p_122_smoothedelo 1.2077
446 p_54_pi_gb_model3 1.2099
447 p_92_pompride 1.2127
448 p_157_dillydallys-1 1.214
449 p_75_svm_avg_a 1.2251
450 p_16_binom 1.2282
451 p_2_winnermarketprob 1.2302
452 p_150_gut 1.2438
453 p_115_natedg2 1.2455
454 p_4_twp1 1.2471
455 p_28_numbersman1-1 1.2574
456 p_46_names 1.2625
457 p_71_great5 1.2634
458 p_169_wcprobs 1.2718
459 p_166_grinspoon 1.2779
460 p_62_m1 1.2834
461 p_139_kjso2018mxu 1.2871
462 p_10_fav 1.2955
463 p_149_highoddsdraw 1.2955
464 p_57_densenetwdropout 1.297
465 p_169_wcprobs2 1.2974
466 p_115_natedg4 1.2986
467 p_120_forest 1.2987
468 p_4_twp3 1.3014
469 p_75_svm_a 1.3131
470 p_103_gutfeel 1.3496
471 p_57_doubletransfernet 1.3519
472 p_25_blend3 1.3532
473 p_25_blend5 1.3534
474 p_165_swc4 1.3539
475 p_25_blend1 1.3554
476 p_25_blend4 1.3608
477 p_153_zobb2 1.3634
478 p_165_swc1 1.3636
479 p_165_swc5 1.3636
480 p_165_swc3 1.3664
481 p_62_m3 1.3721
482 p_141_re7v1 1.3735
483 p_118_letsgo 1.3781
484 p_127_best 1.3912
485 p_153_zobb4 1.4019
486 p_4_twp4 1.4057
487 p_182_zzz-sub5 1.4105
488 p_28_numbersman1-3 1.43
489 p_54_pi_gb_model5 1.4349
490 p_45_sete 1.4376
491 p_59_stochasticgradientboosting 1.4416
492 p_165_swc2 1.4495
493 p_112_alpha 1.451
494 p_141_re7v3 1.4527
495 p_112_delta 1.4539
496 p_112_theta 1.4597
497 p_181_bf 1.4621
498 p_149_highoddsdraw2 1.4655
499 p_43_clan 1.4681
500 p_62_m2 1.4686
501 p_115_natedg1 1.4716
502 p_43_quip 1.4733
503 p_112_beta 1.4772
504 p_124_noupsets 1.4813
505 p_57_transfernet 1.482
506 p_32_third 1.4859
507 p_163_shorties 1.4885
508 p_144_moddedeloshort1 1.4889
509 p_43_rasp 1.4914
510 p_43_req 1.4914
511 p_111_model1 1.4924
512 p_144_q1 1.4925
513 p_57_densenet 1.4979
514 p_150_gutextreme 1.4993
515 p_163_moredraw 1.5254
516 p_65_bngbbba 1.532
517 p_112_gamma 1.5326
518 p_185_boost50flip 1.5334
519 p_137_dataguru1-1 1.5353
520 p_115_natedg3 1.5457
521 p_65_fia1ngh 1.5512
522 p_24_napes02 1.5566
523 p_62_m5 1.57
524 p_45_setb 1.5747
525 p_28_numbersman1-4 1.5971
526 p_162_basic 1.6367
527 p_55_wing 1.6973
528 p_111_model2 1.7089
529 p_185_canberra 1.7112
530 p_153_zobb1 1.7146
531 p_138_crowdswisdom 1.7174
532 p_130_loki 1.7207
533 p_130_thor 1.7207
534 p_149_highoddsdraw3 1.8056
535 p_149_highoddsdraw4 1.8056
536 p_69_submission3 1.8661
537 p_184_worldcupmodel-favs 1.9081
538 p_181_knn 1.974
539 p_28_numbersman1-2 1.9886
540 p_52_grunter1 1.9919
541 p_86_blitzkrieg 1.9953
542 p_24_napes04 2.0334
543 p_111_model3 2.0393
544 p_24_napes03 2.0401
545 p_185_datatastical4 2.0791
546 p_185_datatastical5 2.0791
547 p_24_napes01 2.0948
548 p_65_jyptrth 2.1788
549 p_163_favourites 2.1876
550 p_146_sleepmaster01 2.197
551 p_52_grunter3 2.2122
552 p_103_highend 2.2735
553 p_179_xgfmodel 2.4709
554 p_100_no_odds 2.5826
555 p_55_shenlong 2.6074
556 p_31_5 2.6661
557 p_101_numbersman1 2.7172
558 p_108_outliers 2.7321
559 p_83_world_cup_superstar 2.8253
560 p_141_re7v5 2.8584
561 p_111_model4 2.9791
562 p_51_model5 2.9869
563 p_173_model4 3.0048
564 p_177_aggresive 3.0519
565 p_41_numbersman5 3.0571
566 p_173_model2 3.0975
567 p_41_numbersman3 3.1551
568 p_173_model3 3.1613
569 p_46_elo 3.1902
570 p_41_numbersman1 3.2154
571 p_116_wc_betfair_model1 3.2437
572 p_116_wc_betfair_model3 3.2437
573 p_116_wc_betfair_model2 3.2903
574 p_116_wc_betfair_model4 3.2903
575 p_184_worldcupmodel-favs2 3.5264
576 p_173_model1 3.5923
577 p_46_odds 3.668
578 p_41_numbersman2 3.7513
579 p_146_sleepmaster02 3.7943
580 p_31_3 3.9118
581 p_90_specialkv2 4.0634
582 p_142_quantitativekid 4.1378
583 p_41_numbersman4 4.3289
584 p_86_blitzkrieg2 4.4929
585 p_111_model5 4.6217
586 p_55_heavyarms 4.7406
587 p_105_modelnumber44 4.7406
588 p_75_random_forest_a 4.9405
589 p_108_exaggerated 4.9578
590 p_164_opinionext 5.4179
591 p_141_re7v2 5.9906
592 p_122_elopythagorean 6.0951
593 p_78_manual 6.0951
594 p_141_re7v4 6.7723


2018 WORLD CUP BETTING MARKETS

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FORM LABS 2018 WORLD CUP HUB

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