Greyhound Analysis: Cannington, Saturday 4th February 2017

R5 Sky Racing Galaxy – 715m

Track Record: Ramifications 41.97 (7/1/2017)

Past Winners

2016 – Seeking Justice

2015 – Space Star

2014 – Born Ali

2013 – Miata

2012 – Miata

Race Analysis

Looks to be only three genuine winning chances on paper. TRIP TO EDEN caught my eye having his first look at the circuit here last week and was hampered throughout running, I believe he can go five or six lengths quicker than his heat and may be making his own luck out in front. I am happy to back him strongly here. BOGIE BEKIM was a little disappointing in his heat but him not winning may have been due to the fact he likes to race on the outside of other chasers, he gets the here drawing the pink which is a fantastic draw for him. I am happy to have a saver on him.

WOODVALE FLYER was very gutsy in winning his heat and does have genuine upside, the draw isn’t ideal but he can definitely win the race, I just think there will be no value with him in the market. WALT BALE is a veteran chaser who is still racing well and has his best draw but doubt he has the class to pinch a Group 1 race at this stage of his career. FLYING KAYLA has had a stack of chances over this trip and place hopes look best, I can’t see her winning. TOPOLOGY has been racing in career best form and won his heat from this box, he is probably the blowout chance here but others have more upside to my eye.

TOMMY THE WEAPON and BIG AND FAST were balloted into this final after their heat was declared a no race last week. Both have poor winning strike rates and I cannot see them even getting close here against these rivals.

Field & Stats

1. Walt Bale: Best 42.49. Ran this time in heat win, with a first split of 5.71. This is his best performed box (five wins). Most experienced chaser in field with a whopping 108 starts. Three starts over this trip for a win and a placing.

2. Flying Kayla: Best 42.31 (18/6/2016). Runner up in heat running 42.57 with a first split of 5.57. Only one win from 14 starts over this trip. Never won in three starts from this draw but has placed each time. Most experienced over this circuit (14 starts)

3. Tommy The Weapon: No best time. Was balloted into this race after heat was abandoned last week. 16 career placings from 36 starts. Has yet to be placed in three starts from this box.

4. Trip to Eden No best time. Runner up in heat running 42.61 with a first split of 5.78. One from one this draw. Hasn’t finished worse than second in his past four starts. Has been at least placed from every box.

5. Woodvale Flyer: Best 42.17. Ran this time in heat. First split of 5.63. Been placed in his past five starts. One win and one placing from six starts this draw. Led all the way in heat win.

6. Topology: Best 42.18 (31/12/16). Won his heat in 42.51 with a first split of 5.70. One from one this draw. Nine of 13 career wins have come from Boxes 1-4. two wins from six starts over this circuit.

7. Big and Fast: No best time. Was balloted into this race after heat was abandoned last week. Has yet to win over this trip in 12 attempts. Has yet to win from this draw in six attempts.

8. Bogie Bekim: Best 42.12 (21/1/2017). Runner up in heat running 42.31 with a first split of 5.65. This is his best performed box with three wins and four placings from seven starts. One win and a placing from two starts this trip.

9. Ramifications: First emergency. Best 41.97 (7/1/2017). Ran third in heat in 42.37. First split PB of 5.51. Only missed a placing once here in 7 starts. 14 of 21 career wins from Boxes 1-4.

10. Zipping Bella: Second emergency. No best time. Ran third in heat running 42.62 with a first split of 5.71. Has yet to win over this trip in 15 attempts. Best performed boxes are 2-4 with five of seven career wins.

Betting Strategy

 BACK (WIN) Trip to Eden > $3.50 for 7 units

 BACK (WIN) Bogie Bekim > $2.50 for 3 units

R5 Perth Cup – 520m

Track Record: Astrozone 29.56 (28/12/2016)

Past Winners

2016 – Ima Wagtail

2015 – My Bro Fabio

2014 – Keybow

2013 – Dyna Nalin

2012 – Oaks Road

Race Analysis

Impossible race with some superstars racing in peak form involved. Going to lay two here as the bet strategy here as it’s a lottery from the inside brigade at who can lead at the first bend. ASTROZONE is the rising superstar of WA and even though he didn’t run the fastest first split or overall time last week, he simply finds a way to win.

SINGLE STICKA was brilliant in his heat but did have favours with the box draw in his heat, impossible to lay him even though this draw is very tricky. EQUANIMITY surprised me in winning a hot race last week and has come up trumps with the draw, just not sure he can win but I wouldn’t be gobsmacked if he did.

SASSY GINGER chased like a dog possessed last week and was absolutely flying for the first two sectionals, he is one of the dogs I am taking on here as his form is ordinary from wide draws and don’t think he will find it as easy to accelerate off the mat and find space.

TIMES SQUARE is a Box 8 bandit however this is the toughest test of her career and I just cannot see her crossing cleanly. The fact she has such a great record from wide draws should ensure she is unders on the exchange and may create a good lay opportunity.

KID KANSAS never runs a bad race and he could get to silly odds considering his overall career record and I can’t pot the draw at all, just too many what if’s to back him confidently.  STARLIGHT ASHA is a little star but she is only 25 kilos and she may get hammered early here and I can’t see her winning. PEPPER FIRE has been racing in top company for a considerable period and if she could lead clearly she could win this, just happy to let her go around without me from this draw.

Field & Stats

1. Equanimity: Best 30.01 (28/12/16). Won his heat in 30.02 with a first split of 5.36 (PB). Has only missed placing once in nine career starts. Has done all his racing over this trip. Least experienced chaser in field.

2. Kid Kansas: Best 29.85 (21/12/16). Won his heat in 29.93 with a first split of 5.45 (PB). Been in the money of 12 of 18 career starts. Four wins from five starts from this draw. Hasn’t missed a placing since December 21.

3. Single Sticka: Best 29.59. Ran this time in heat with a first split of 5.46. Only one unplaced run from this draw. Has won over this trip 10 times from 17 attempts. Hasn’t missed a placing in last six starts.

4. Astrozone: Best 29.56 (28/12/16). Current track record holder who won his heat last week in 29.79. First split of 5.53. Has won his past eight starts (all over this trip). Two from two this draw.

5. Pepper Fire: Best 29.75 (5/11/16). Won her heat in 29.80. First split of 5.35 (second quickest). Has 15 career wins (equal most in field). Has never won from this draw in five attempts but has been placed four times.

6. Starlight Asha: Best 29.89 (21/12/16). Won her heat in 30.17. First split of 5.57. Only missed a placing once in 10 career starts. Never won from this draw in two attempts. Four of seven career wins from eight starts.

7. Sassy Ginger: Best 29.86 (13/7/16). Won his heat in 29.86 with a first split of 5.33 (quickest in field). Never placed from this draw in two attempts. Eight wins from 13 starts over this trip. Eight of 12 career wins from Boxes 1-3.

8. Times Square: Best 29.79. Recorded this time in heat win with a first split of 5.43. Has an amazing record from this draw with seven wins from 10 starts. 11 of 18 career wins from Boxes 6-8. Led all the way in heat.

9. Mendoza Monelli: First emergency. Best 29.63 (14/12/2016). Runner up in heat in time of 29.64. Won five of 11 over this circuit. Four of five career wins from Boxes 1-4.

10. West on Maisie: Second emergency. Best 30.14 (12/10/16). Ran second in heat in time of 29.92. Has a PB first split 0f 5.54. Been in the placings in her past three starts.

Betting Strategy

 LAY (WIN) Sassy Ginger < $7.50 for 3 units

 LAY (WIN) Times Square < $5.00 for 3 units

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