EXPERT RACING TIPS: GLORIOUS GOODWOOD

Bookmark this page for Glorious Goodwood tips. Rory Flanagan, delivers his best Goodwood tips ahead of this year’s Carnival. Rory has been betting on UK Racing for years and his insights will be free on the Betfair Hub. Get Rory’s Glorious Goodwood tips now featuring best bets, selections and analysis for every race on the card.

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GLORIOUS GOODWOOD DAY 5 | PREVIEW

Rail: True
Stalls: Stands’ side for sprints.
Track Conditions: Good-to-Firm, watered

Expected advantage: Wear and tear on stand’s rail starting to take place but still advantageous on Day 5. Rail now in true position revealing fresh strip of ground meaning fence in run is prime real estate and also in the straight.

Into the final day with profit in the bank after a tough four days.


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BEST BACK OF THE DAY: Race 4 | #3 Sea La Rosa for 4 units 

If Free Wind were entered here she’d go off a $1.40 shot as she looks much the best stayer in the F&M grade. She beat SEA LA ROSA at Haydock, who had the rest covered. My gripe will be if Tom Marquand goes too soon on her and she’s a sitting duck, but she has the ability to fight out a finish and make a longer sustained run than anything else in this field.


RACE 1 | RORY FLANAGAN’S SELECTIONS

4.  Loyal Touch
3.  Hunkpapa
2.  Classic
1.  Bussento

Largely unseen or once-raced types. Not keen. No bet.

Bet Now: Glorious Goodwood Race 1


RACE 2 | RORY FLANAGAN’S SELECTIONS

7.  Lethal Levi
4.  Mokaatil
6.  Mitrosonfire
10.  The Lamplighter

Lethal Levi is still ahead of the handicapper and recorded another success last week. He’s due to rise sharply in the ratings (+9) after this, so that’s why they’ve sent him out once more to land another scalp. I actually believe he’s way too short and I’m keen to lay him as I think they’ve gone to the well too many times now.

Mokaatil is probably better over 1000m but I do like him on flatter or downhill tracks. He’s run plenty of good races at the likes of Epsom, Doncaster and of course here when behind Raasel, who was narrowly beaten in the G2 King George Stakes last night.

Mitrosonfire has run well this prep and is drawn a good gate for this. He’s probably at his mark but gate 11 should be advantageous and he’s better than $20.

The Lamplighter has won at this track and trip on three occasions and is a picture of consistency when he’s been here on ground better than soft. Form figures read 4123112 which is outstanding with 9-2 to carry at the lower end of the scale.

BETTING STRATEGY

LAY (WIN): Lethal Levi for 4 units

BACK (WIN): Mitorsonfire for 0.75 unit

BACK (WIN): The Lamplighter for 0.75 unit

Bet Now: Glorious Goodwood Race 2


RACE 3 | RORY FLANAGAN’S SELECTIONS

10.  Cemhaan
4.  Soapy Stevens
13.  Bague D’or
11.  Bascule

Cemhaan perhaps wanted even more ground after two stylish wins to begin this season, and I’m not sure the step back down in trip was beneficial at Ascot, when finishing in the chasing pack behind Candleford. At Newmarket he had another gear when skipping clear of Soapy Stevens, who now re-opposes 2lb worse off from that run. Cemhaan is unbeaten at this trip.

Soapy Stevens has found a new lease on life this campaign and just continues to find plenty at the end of his races. He’s dispatched the vast majority of this field this prep already, bar the fav, and is still a generous price to back once more around the $8 mark.

Bague D’or is weighted to go close here and hasn’t missed the top two in his last four runs, winning his most recent two. He has a kind draw in stall two and will have ample cover throughout. My knock on him is that his form is brittle and he hasn’t stood up.

Bascule is a winning machine on synth and needs to prove his credentials on turf.

I can’t see the winner coming from outside my top three.

BETTING STRATEGY

BACK (WIN): Cemhaan for 2.5 units

BACK (WIN): Soapy Stevens for 2.5 units 

BACK (WIN): Bague D’or for 1 unit 

Bet Now: Glorious Goodwood Race 3


RACE 4 | RORY FLANAGAN’S SELECTIONS

3.  Sea La Rosa
1.  Forbearance
7.  Emily Dickinson
5.  Viola

If Free Wind were entered here she’d go off a $1.40 shot as she looks much the best stayer in the F&M grade. She beat Sea La Rosa at Haydock who had the rest covered. My gripe will be if Tom Marquand goes too soon on her and she’s a sitting duck but she has the ability to fight out a finish and make a longer sustained run than anything else in this field.

Forbearance does her best work on cricket pitches and finally gets one here, after some sub-par runs in Ireland on good tracks that had a shade too much moisture. Her three wins on turf have all come with the going as “good to firm”, so this is her ideal setup, and she did beat Sea La Rosa last prep. 16-1 is a crazy price, especially if they go a gallop for her to roll over the top of.

Emily Dickinson was average in the Irish Oaks but did well over 2800m the start prior when 2nd with Forbearance in behind. She gets a big weight advantage here against the older girls and holds Rosscarbery form. My query here, is that arguably her worst run came on the firmest footing she’s seen in the Oaks Trial, when she took 60 days to get over that.

Viola has been getting bullied by Sea La Rosa the last 12 months, with a hat trick of defeats at her hands and probably needs a handicap to turn the tables not WFA races.

BETTING STRATEGY

BACK (WIN): Sea La Rosa for 4 units

BACK (WIN): Forbearance for 1 unit

Bet Now: Glorious Goodwood Race 4


RACE 5 | RORY FLANAGAN’S SELECTIONS

17.  Inver Park
1.  Chil Chil
27.  Able Kane
5.  Mr Wagyu

Inver Park is simply airborne, having won his last three, including the 30-horse Buckingham Palace at Royal Ascot. Should be plenty of pace in this to get a cart into proceedings and he’s a big price all things considered. Middle draw means he follows whichever side the pace is coming from and I think he’d be shorter if William Buick wasn’t off to Newmarket to ride a smart filly.

Chil Chil has her top weight alleviated by the claim of the impressive Harry Davies who is doing a smashing job at just 18yo. She’s been punished for her G1 placing at Haydock but that was the run of the race and she had to beat the bias where nothing more than 3L from the leader ran a place on the card except her and one other horse. Dry ground suits.

I reckon they’ve foxed a bit with Able Kane by sending him out with 66.5kg last time. Didn’t seem the smartest piece of race placement and he’s due a 2lb rise next week, so gets in well here. He’s run 2nd twice here behind some smart ones, including Mr Wagyu in the consolation race 12 months ago. He’s the knockout for mine.

Mr Wagyu is a seasonal horse and only runs well this time of year, but he’s been a monster, accounting for 51 horses in his last three races, with two wins. He’s earned favouritism and won his only start here.

BETTING STRATEGY

BACK (WIN): Inver Park for 1.5 units

BACK (WIN): Chil Chil for 1 unit

BACK (WIN): Abel Kane for 0.5 unit

BACK (WIN): Mr Wagyu for 1 unit

Bet Now: Glorious Goodwood Race 5


RACE 6 | RORY FLANAGAN’S SELECTIONS

8.  Galiac
5.  Spirit Of Nguru
3.  Koy Koy
10.  Zero Carbon

Very open race this and I’m leaning to those who have a preference for the firmer footing in Koy Koy and Galiac.

Galiac was hampered at Sandown and should have finished closer. The handicap mark is fair and he gets 7lb off of Koy Koy which takes him to the front of my queue.

Koy Koy has been excellent since his debut and despite a 0 appearing in the form guide, he had 20 horses behind him that day. I think a bend and a downhill course suits him in a big way and Ryan Moore is booked.

Respect Spirit Of Nguru and Zero Carbon but they’ve only seen synthetic and soft tracks in their careers thus far.

BETTING STRATEGY

BACK (WIN): Galiac for 1.5 units

BACK (WIN): Koy Koy for 1.5 units

Bet Now: Glorious Goodwood Race 6


RACE 7 | RORY FLANAGAN’S SELECTIONS

15.  Kitsune Power
2.  Ajero
11.  Bolthole
18.  Rainbow Colours

Kitsune Power profiles the same as Koy Koy in the race prior, and even comes through the same last start, finishing just behind it. He looked good over 1700m, so this extra 100m should suit and his weight is fair. He’s just gotta find a place from the draw.

Ajero won 5 times over the timber, with plenty of plenty of pace and now drops down even further on the flat, after four consecutive runner up ribbons. He’s drawn ideally and is still on a fair mark, having run behind good horses.

Bolthole has a bit to find on Kitsune Power but didn’t seem to enjoy stepping down to a mile and now rises a furlong again. Moore booking is eye-catching.

Rainbow Colours is on the quick backup after running a blinder here the other night and could be really tough to run down if taking the lead from the carpark on the minimum weight. Mark Johnston loves winning this race.

BETTING STRATEGY

BACK (WIN): Kitsune Power for 1 unit

BACK (WIN): Ajero for 1.5 units

Bet Now: Glorious Goodwood Race 7


GLORIOUS GOODWOOD | EXPERT TIPS

The Goodwood Festival, commonly known as ‘Glorious Goodwood’, features five days of first-class racing at Goodwood Racecourse, near Chichester (UK). The rolling West Sussex countryside provides a scenic backdrop to one of England’s, if not the world’s, most picturesque racetracks. The Group 1 Goodwood Cup, won for four years in a row (2017-2020) by superstar Stradivarius, is the highlight of the opening day. The history of the race is intertwined with the Melbourne Cup, with several winners competing in Australia’s greatest race, including Big Orange (who ran 10th in the 2016 Melbourne Cup), Brown Panther (eighth in the 2013 Melbourne Cup), Cavalryman (12th in the 2012 Melbourne Cup) and Yeats (seventh in the 2003 Melbourne Cup). For expert analysis of the time-honoured Goodwood Cup and all Goodwood tips, the Betfair Hub has you covered.

FEATURE RACES

The Goodwood Cup kicks off the Group 1 action on day one, before the Sussex Stakes headlines day two. Known locally as the ‘Duel On The Downs’, the race has been won by several champions including Frankel, arguably the greatest racehorse of his generation. The mile contest was claimed two years running by Frankel (2011-2012), who retired unbeaten after a 14-start career. The Nassau Stakes for fillies and mares is the feature on day three of Glorious Goodwood, which is designated Ladies’ Day. The Group 2 King George Stakes, won four years running (2017-2020) by Charlie Hills’ sprinting superstar Battaash, is the marquee contest on day four; before the Stewards’ Cup – a cavalry charge down the Goodwood straight – brings the curtain down on the festival. For all your Glorious Goodwood tips, look no further than the Betfair Hub.

TRACK PROFILE

Goodwood is an unusual racecourse, with horses competing in races on the ‘Stewards’ Cup Course’ (straight six) running uphill for the first furlong, and mostly downhill thereafter. There’s a tight right-handed loop at the far end of the straight, featuring starting points for various longer distance races. These include the 1 mile 2 furlongs (2000m) ‘Craven Course’, the 1m 4f (2400m) ‘Gratwicke Course’ and the 1m 6f (2800m) ‘Bentinck Course’. The start for the 2m 5f (4000m) ‘Cup Course’ is positioned relatively close to the winning post, with the field travelling outwards on the straight, around the loop and back. Throughout the loop there are severe undulations and sharp turns, making betting a tricky proposition. Betfair’s international experts do the hard work so that you don’t have to, delivering their Goodwood racing tips for each feature meeting.

HISTORY

Racing was first established at Goodwood Racecourse by the third Duke of Richmond back in 1802. Today, Goodwood holds 19 meetings per year, headlined by Glorious Goodwood in late July. Our top team of tipsters deliver their Goodwood 2022 tips every day of the festival.


The Goodwood Festival Races are some of the biggest betting opportunities of the year. Back and Lay on Betfair.


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