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Moonee Valley R9 Cox Plate, 2040m GP1 3TO+ WFA $3,000,000

Track

Currently rated Good 4, Rail is in the True position (the same as Friday night’s Manikato Stakes meeting). Partly cloudy conditions with a 50% chance of showers (0-2mm) in the morning and afternoon should ensure a track at the commencement of the meeting no worse than a Good 4. The predicted winds are light which will not impact. There have been 31 meetings with this rail position in the last 1008 days. Based on the predicted conditions, the track could advantage horses racing handy to the pace with the lanes even in the straight.

Keep an eye on Twitter @PaulD01 for any updates during the day.


Tempo

For Saturday’s race, the R2W Early Speed Map below predicts an Average tempo.


Map Notes

Starts at the top of the home straight with a run of around 200 metres before the first turn ensuring that jockeys on runners that are drawn wide (without early speed) need to be making decisions quickly to best position their mounts and avoid a wide trip. The bolter Kaspersky looks to lead untroubled with Gailo Chop settling on pace with Folkswood. Winx can settle in the first five or six.


Race Overview

The betting is totally dominated by the champion Winx who looks set to equal Kingston Town’s record of three Cox Plates. The interest for many punters centres around who will fill the placings behind the great mare.


HnHorseASJockeyHcpAllHrr2w$
8Winx6MHugh Bowman57132$1.20
2Gailo Chop7GMark Zahra59117$29.40
5Folkswood5GKerrin McEvoy59113$29.40
1Happy Clapper7GDamien Oliver59120$32.50
9Royal Symphony3CDean Yendall49.5110$36.60
3Humidor5GBlake Shinn59122$43.10
6Seaburge4HRegan Bayliss57.5115$190.10
7Hardham4HLuke Nolen57.5116$207.50
4Kaspersky7HMichelle Payne59113$223.20

Advantaged Horses

8. Winx: Champion mare who lines up for a likely record equalling three Cox plates. Regardless of how they run the race she is adaptable under all conditions and hopefully gives us all something to cheer about.

Neutral Horses

NIL

Disadvantaged Horse

NIL


Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be no potential value in the race.


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