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FORMULA 1 | HUNGARIAN GRAND PRIX | F1 TIPS
Attention turns to Hungary for the last race before the mid-season break, where Ferrari will be looking to bounce back from what was a rather disappointing weekend for them in France.
Max Verstappen and Red Bull increased their lead in the world championship with a comfortable victory after Charles Leclerc’s rare mistake sent him spinning into the barriers. It was also a good weekend for Mercedes, who managed to secure their best result of the season, with both Lewis Hamilton and George Russell managing to finish on the podium.
The Hungaroring is not known for its overtaking as it is quite a narrow circuit with not too many long straights. There was no shortage of drama last year though, when the wet weather caused chaos going into turn 1, resulting in a red flag and numerous retirements.
Upon the subsequent race restart, Lewis Hamilton took the grid by himself whilst the remaining drivers started from pitlane after switching to slick tyres. This ultimately cost Lewis the race and left Esteban Ocon to claim his – and Alpine’s – first victory in Formula 1.
This year we can expect rain throughout the entire day of qualifying, whereas only a minor chance of rain is predicted for Sunday. We might just see some surprises for the grid if the wet weather sets in, much like Canada in the rain, where Fernando Alonso qualified on the front row!
F1 TIPS | BETTING STRATEGY
Carlos Sainz looked like he had more pace than his teammate Charles Leclerc in France, but his weekend was hampered by a penalty that sent him to the back of the grid for the start.
After setting the fastest lap time in Q2, his Q3 was then dedicated to helping Leclerc secure pole position. He then powered his way from 19th on the grid to finish fifth, as well as securing the fastest lap point.
He has a fresh power unit this weekend, so his confidence will no doubt be high. He should be in for another strong qualifying performance with no grid penalties to worry about.
BACK: Carlos Sainz – Overall Qualifying Winner for 1 unit @ $7.40+
If he’s able to secure a strong qualifying position, Sainz should be in a good place to secure podium on race day as well. This is such a hard track to overtake on, which will play to his advantage.
BACK: Carlos Sainz – Podium Finish for 2 units @ $1.80+
McLaren and Lando Norris have only been mediocre through the first half of the year.
Although Norris has had recent points finishes, Alpine has secured their spot above them in the constructors’ championship. With lingering doubt in the car, the door is left ajar for others to leapfrog Norris in Hungary.
The likes of Haas, AlphaTauri – and maybe even Alfa Romeo – are all more than capable of finding points here, so I’m happy to challenge Lando Norris for Top 10 finish.
The implied probability of 62.5% is $1.60 odds, and we see Lando a less likely chance at this percentage, thus recommend laying him at $1.60 or less.
LAY: Lando Norris – Points Finish for 1 unit liability @ < $1.60