Euro 2021 Predictions & Odds

Current Odds

Major Players

England

Interestingly enough, the market has identified England as the favourite even though they have failed to win a major tournament since the 1966 FIFA World Cup. The Three Lions will however, look to build upon a solid 2018 World Cup campaign in which they finished in fourth place.

Trading at 5.80 at the time of writing, the English outfit will again be spearheaded by a formidable attacking trio of Harry Kane, Raheem Sterling and Marcus Rashford, all of whom are entering the prime of their careers. Whilst I respect credentials of the English, and Wembley will play host to the semi-finals and final, I’m betting around them at the current quote.

Belgium

Like England, the Belgians were eliminated in the semi-finals during the 2018 FIFA World Cup and will enter this tournament looking to a couple of steps further. A lot has been made of their current squad and whether the Golden Generation of Beglian footballers will ever lift a major trophy. However, this will be there best chance.

A lot will fall on the shoulders of Eden Hazard and Kevin De Bruyne, but with a relatively easy group, look for Belgium to continue their 10-0-0 qualifying form and cruise into the knockout stages. The 7.00 on offer looks to be a good entry point in the early markets, with the potential to get out later in the tournament.

France, Germany and Portugal 

When it comes to major football tournaments, there’s always a Group Of Death. Euro 2020 is no exception and this year, these three powerhouses can consider themselves the unlucky victims. For context, France were the 2018 World Cup winners, Portugal took out the Euro’s in 2016 and the German’s won the World Cup in 2014. In short, these three have shared the silverware across the last three major football tournaments.

The market isn’t stupid and their prices do reflect the tough draw. France, who I’d argue would otherwise be favourites are trading at 7.40, with Germany at 9.60 and the 2016 winners the outsiders of the trio at 22.00. Unlike the World Cup, the Euros do grant a second chance to the team that finishes third in their group. However, I’m happy to bet around both Portugal and Germany, even if they manage to make it to the knockout stages.

For mine, France are over the odds. They’ve got the depth to overcome the tough group and will start as favourite against every other nation in the field. Consider the group a blessing in disguise and take the generous price on offer.

Best Of The Rest

After failing to qualify for the 2018 World Cup, the Netherlands will come into this tournament full up hope. They’ve rebuilt around the best defender in the world in Virgil Van Dijk and have been blessed with a relatively weak group. The 9.40 is a fair price, but there is still a host of question marks for mine.

Spain and Italy were the disappointments of the 2018 World Cup with the later failing to progress through the Group Stages. However, the Azzuri’s lead-up form has been flawless, winning all ten of the qualifying games in the leadup to this tournament and unlike 2018, will not have to navigate the Group Of Death. The current quote of 13.00 looks the pick of the double-digit chances with Roberto Mancini at the helm.

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