Hull v Swansea

Sunday March 12, 2:00am AEDT

Both these sides have appointed new managers relatively recently in a bid to stave off relegation and the results so far have been pretty impressive. Hull have lost only three of their seven games under Marco Silva, but one of those came in their last game at Leicester so they’ve dropped back down to 19th, four points from safety. They’re six points off Swanseain 16th after they made it four wins in seven under Paul Clement, coming from behind to beat Burnley 3-2 at home.

Hull have picked up seven points from their three home games under Silva, beating Bournemouth and Liverpool, though they were held to a draw against Burnley. Nonetheless, they’ve lost only one of their last eight at the KCOM Stadium, against Man City, while they’ve picked up seven points from three home games against bottom-seven sides so far.

Swansea have lost their last two on the road, admittedly tough fixtures at City and Chelsea, but those were their eighth and ninth away defeats of the season, so we’re looking to take them on here. They’ve now conceded at least twice in six of their last seven on the road and given Hull’s impressive home form, we’re siding with the hosts.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Hull -0.25 Asian Handicap at 2.15

Everton v West Brom

Sunday March 12, 2:00am AEDT

Everton’s nine game unbeaten run was brought to an end at Spurs as they were beaten 3-2, though they remain in seventh, four points ahead of their visitors. West Brom had a five game unbeaten run of their own ended after they lost 2-0 at home to Palace, a much more surprising result than Everton’s defeat at White Hart Lane.

The Toffees have been excellent at Goodison Park this term, with their only defeat coming after a Saido Mane injury-time winner, whilst they’ve won their last four there, scoring 15 goals in the process. They’ve failed to win this fixture in the last three seasons, but this looks an excellent opportunity to do the double over the Baggies, having beaten them at the Hawthorns at the start of the season.

West Brom have been excellent against the lesser sides this term, but they’re just W0-D1-L7 against sides above them in the table. They’ve lost all four of these that were on the road whilst scoring just one goal and they haven’t kept an away clean sheet since the opening day of the season. Further, they’ve only won once in their last seven away, and with Everton in excellent scoring form (six of their last seven home wins have been by more than one goal), we’re backing them -1 on the Asian Handicap.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Everton -1 Asian Handicap at 2.25

Bournemouth v West Ham

Sunday March 12, 2:00am AEDT

Bournemouth ended a four game losing run as they held on for a point at Old Trafford, despite being reduced to 10 men and surviving a penalty, and so they remain in 14th, five points clear of the relegation zone. West Ham are also winless in three after they were beaten 2-1 at home to Chelsea to stay in 11th, six points clear of their hosts.

Bournemouth have picked up only two points from their last five at home as they continue to struggle defensively, conceding at least twice in each of these games. Their cause won’t be helped by suspensions to Mings and Surman, whilst Simon Francis is also out. As a result we’re looking to take them on at 2.54.

The Hammers have lost only one of their last seven on the road, winning two of their last three on their travels. However, they’ve kept only one clean sheet on the road all season and given Bournemouth’s struggles at the back, we expect there to be goals here. We’re siding with the Hammers on the Asian Handicap whilst we wouldn’t put anyone off West Ham to win and both teams to score at 5.1.

Betting Strategy

BACK – West Ham +0.25 Asian Handicap at 1.82

Liverpool v Burnley

Monday March 13, 3:00am AEDT

Liverpool bounced back from their defeat at Leicester by easing past Arsenal at Anfield to move above them into fourth. Burnley, meanwhile, couldn’t hold on to a 2-1 lead at Swansea as they went on to lose 3-2 and so have dropped down to 12th.

Liverpool have generally been excellent at home this term, winning nine of 13 but their only defeat came somewhat surprisingly against Swansea. Indeed, the Reds are just W5-D3-L2 at home to bottom-six sides since the start of last season, keeping only two clean sheets in these games and so we’re looking to take them on at 1.25.

Burnley of course aren’t a bottom-six side but their away form is certainly akin to that of one as they still have only two points on the road this term. However, they have managed to score in their last six on their travels, including trips to Spurs, Man City and Arsenal, whilst they showed they can be competitive against the top sides with a goalless draw at Old Trafford and a victory over Liverpool themselves in the reverse fixture. We’re backing both teams to score at 2.2, whilst we’re also siding with the Clarets +2 on the Asian Handicap.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Both Teams to Score Yes at 2.2

BACK – Burnley +2 Asian Handicap at 1.81

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