Devonport Ratings: Sunday 14th May 2017

Racing returns to the Tapeta surface in Devonport this Sunday with a competitive 8 race card on offer. The synthetic surface has been racing exceptionally well this season so expect true racing once again.


Race 1 12:00pm Live Streaming @Tasracing.com.au Maiden (1100m)

Speed Map

Pace looks drawn out wide here and expecting Chase And Status and Divine Plan to burn across and take up the running ahead of Miss Chat A Lot and Arving. Small field but expect them to run along here.

Major Players

8. Divine Strategy: resumed in good style here over 1000m a fortnight ago when 2nd behind Cimarron’s Hero. Showed good speed to overcome her outside draw and fought on gamely in the straight when most in the finish came from behind the speed. Drawn better here and step up in trip no issue. Racing pattern suited here and she appeals as hardest to beat.

5. Amber In Paris worked to the line well over this course on debut after racing wide before running home well last time to finish 3rd behind Cimarron’s Hero when back to 1000m. Suited by the return to 1150m and Pires sticks with her. Awkwardly drawn here which looks an issue but if she slots in with cover she can charge home to give this a big shake.

2. Great Expectation has taken the same path as Amber In Paris, running reasonably over 1150m on debut before working to the line when unsuited back to 1000m last time. Wasn’t far behind the top picks last time and will strongly appreciate getting back up in trip. Improving type who has each-way claims.

4. Normandy Rock finished around the mark with Amber In Paris and Great Expectation here on debut over 1150m and has been kept fresh since then rather than going back to 1000m like they did. Found the line well there and should get a soft run from the good draw. Has the right form line so only has to go on from his first run to be in the mix here.

10. Orange Encounter is working up in distance after a couple of honest efforts this preparation over 900m and 1000m. Found this trip too far at her only attempt last prep but racing like she is looking for it this time around. Gets in light with Graham’s claim and has the right form line finishing just behind Divine Strategy and Amber In Paris last time. Needs to keep improving but has place claims at least.

Next best 6:Bloomin’ Late (newcomer to John Luttrell stable who placed on debut on Geelong Synthetic last year, awkward draw but has speed, watch market) and Arving (1) (honest effort first-up before failing over 1400m last time, better suited back to this trip).

Verdict

Divine Strategy (8) can go on from her strong first-up effort and be hard to beat her. Amber In Paris (5) appeals as the logical danger.

Betting Strategy

 BACK (WIN) Divine Strategy for 6 units


Race 2 – 12:40PM Tasracing Off The Track Maiden (1350 METRES)

Speed Map

Look for Century Arrow and the emergency Havadable coming across from wide draws to set the tempo. Any number of these can kick up from inside draws to be near the lead – Argillite, One Before You Go, Sorturo, Nahla and Pura Vida – which should result in a solid tempo.

Major Players

3.Century Arrow ran a solid 2nd on debut behind Gee Gee Pureblonde over 1150m before running another 2nd last time over 1350m behind The Financier. Should be fitter for this trip with that look under his belt and has the speed to go forward and overcome his wide draw. Looks suited by this course and with a good run near the lead he looks well placed to break through third-up.

6.Argillite ran well first-up in Hobart when a distant 2nd behind West On Broadway who has won again since. Was entitled to fold up the last bit there but battled strongly to the line, suggesting the step up to 1350m should suit. Ideally drawn here for McCoull so should get a gun run on the fence but this is her first race at this track. Might need one more run but has talent and looks a genuine danger to the favourite.

9. Midnight Quest: Had a fair bit of support on debut but was beaten by the turn when finishing well back behind Kenfromthebar. Previous trials were good enough for a race like this and he simply may not have handled the track. This race looks easier so with firmer footing it would be no surprise to see him improve sharply. Watch the market.

7. Nahla comes here third-up, with her most recent effort finishing alongside Argillite in Hobart. Goes to 1350m for the first time but relaxes well in her races and suggest she should run it out. Potentially a tricky draw but can roll forward to find a position. First look at this track but if she runs up to her past couple she has each-way claims.

9.Sorturo ran a nice 2nd first-up behind Majestic Bow but was a little flat here second-up over this course behind The Financier. Finished a few lengths behind Century Arrow there and may be looking for longer than this trip now. Does draw a lot better here though and should get a pretty good run to give her the chance to improve. Has some hope.

10.Jubilance is a 2yo who got to this trip quickly second-up and wasn’t bad running on from the tail in a race dominated by those on speed. Should be better for that run and gets right down in the weights with Punch’s claim. Comes through the right form but drawn wide again so will probably have a similar task from back in the field. Capable with the right run but prefer her on a place basis this time.

Next best Another Brother (1) (ran well over this course in his first prep and has Pires aboard but got very dour last prep, watch market) and One Before You Go (4) (had a few chances this prep but ear muffs come off and should get a good run from an inside draw).

Verdict

Century Arrow (3) has the form on the board and looks set to break his maiden status here. Argillite (6) appeals as a genuine danger from the gun draw if she can handle the Tapeta surface.

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) Century Arrow for 4 units

BACK (WIN) Argillite for 2 units


Race 3 – 1:20PM Goracingtasmania.com.au Maiden/Class 1 (1650 METRES)

Speed Map

Speed looks to come from Parisian Lush and Totally Wicked from out wide, with Glory Blaze, Fought For and It’s A Battle capable of settling near the lead. Those on speed should get their chance in a race with average pressure at best.

Major Players

1.Glory Blaze appreciated the step up to the mile a fortnight ago to break his maiden status here by the narrowest of margins. Settled handy on a strong tempo there so the overall time was good and that run should have him cherry ripe here. Drawn ideally and looks like getting a lovely run on speed. This has more depth to it than last time but he still appeals as a leading hope.

2.It’s A Battle didn’t begin well last time and settled further back than he may otherwise have when a close-up 3rd behind Glory Blaze. Has blinkers on for the first time here so if he can begin better it would be no surprise to see him much closer to the speed. Was well fancied last time and did enough to suggest he can make amends this time if the blinkers do the trick. Definite hope.

10.Pelagia has been well in the market when beaten twice here after an impressive maiden win when the blinkers went on. Wasn’t far away in the bunched finish behind Kryptonian last time so has the right form to be right in this but seems to just lose her dash at this track and/or over this trip. McCoull should give her a great run from an inside draw and if he can pinch runs near the fence on turning that will give her a great chance to pick them up late. Doesn’t have to improve much to be hard to hold out here.

4.Vallegrande comes through the other Mdn/C1 a fortnight ago which was marred by a riderless horse. He covered plenty of ground and was then taken wide on the bend so his effort to get within a length of the winner Kryptonian was full of merit. Draws better this time and should be spot on for this. Strong each-way claims in an open race.

5.Aljazmic was very impressive here two starts ago when well ridden by Ganderton before flashing late at Kryptonian last time and just missing. Is relishing this trip and should improve with the winkers going on but she comes up with a wide draw this time after drawing inside at her past three. Racing well and hard to beat if she gets a similar run to her past couple but the gate makes that difficult. In the mix.

Next best Totally Wicked (11) (races well here and makes own luck on speed but hasn’t won in 20 starts and strikes a competitive race here to place chances appear best).

Verdict

Even race. It’s A Battle (2) wasn’t far away and may be the improver with the blinkers going on but the top five picks all have strong claims.

Betting Strategy

 BACK (WIN) It’s A Battle for 2 units


Race 4 – 1:55PM Devonport Mothers Day High Tea Benchmark 72 Hcp (1350 METRES)

Speed Map

Meconsul or Steel Brom should take up the running here with Blaze Forth also likely to land near the lead. The rest of these prefer to settle midfield or worse so the on-pacers should get every chance.

Major Players

4.Spihro is a track specialist who has won 4 of his 5 starts here, including 2 of 3 over this trip. Went to a mile last time for the first time and won well, beating subsequent winner Golden Kiss. Comes back in trip but has had 4 weeks between runs to freshen up for it and beat Harvey Bay over this course at his last attempt at it earlier this preparation. Well drawn and should get a good run. Ticks a lot of boxes and looks one of the leading hopes in a competitive race.

6.Steel Brom loves this distance range and has been racing in good form without winning, finishing within 2L of the winner at her past 5 starts. This isn’t much harder than what she has been contesting at Launceston and her last run at Devonport was enough to say this surface is ok for her despite 3 unplaced runs, especially considering she is trained here. Gets right down in the weights with Graham’s claim and this course should suit her on-pace style. Doesn’t win often but she looks well placed and should be right in the finish again.

2.Meconsul improved sharply second-up with the drop in grade to run the narrowest of 2nds behind good galloper Steel Moon. Goes out to 1350m now but he has failed at his past couple of tries over 1400m despite winning twice over this distance range earlier in his career. Think it may suit at this track as he is likely to get a good run near the lead from a good draw and Punch’s 2kg claim will help. Has genuine claims.

1.Blaze Forth won well over this course two starts ago in an easier contest before running a fair race last time in a race dominated by the on-pacers. Gets back to his right distance range and should get a good run from a good draw. In well with apprentice Rose Pearson’s claim but she is inexperienced at this track. In the mix.

3.Lord Farquaad likes this distance range and comes here in good form off three strong efforts in a row. Hasn’t raced over this course but is trained here and races well over the shorter trips despite his racing pattern not being suited. Will give them a start and there doesn’t look too much pressure up front which is his major negative. Always runs a very honest race but might struggle to pick them up unless a stronger tempo than expected eventuates.

Next best Almost Art (7) (racing well in easier grade, won last time over this course off gun ride but hard to see her getting similar run from wider draw this time).

Verdict

Another competitive race. Spihro (4) loves this track and looks well placed with a month to freshen up coming back from the mile. Respect for Steel Brom (6) who loves this trip, gets in with no weight on her back and has a racing style suited to this course.

Betting Strategy

 BACK (WIN) It’s A Battle for 2 units BACK (WIN) Spihro for 4 units to win


Race 5 – 2:35PM Alpine Eagle @ Armidale Stud Class 1 Hcp (1350 METRES)

Speed Map

Looks good speed here with Meteor Strike, Aerosport and Becerikli with blinkers on all capable of taking up the running. The Financier, Gee Gee Pureblonde, Sir Marmaduke and Cranbrook may all push forward to find a spot just behind the speed. Expect a good tempo with every horse getting their chance.

Major Players

1.Cranbrook won in impressive fashion on debut in Launceston but was forced to cover ground here last time over 1150m when 3rd behind runaway winner Jacques. Was plenty of merit to that run and looks suited up to 1350m but again draws wide. McCoull sticks with him but has a task from a sticky draw with plenty of speed drawn underneath him. No doubt he has the ability and he appeals as top pick but some query over the run he is going to get here.

2.The Financier raced much closer to the speed last time when the blinkers went on going to this trip for the first time. He was entitled to win but did so impressively in good time and again comes up with the rails draw here. This is obviously harder but he looks like getting every possible chance in the run and he may well measure up. Definite each-way claims.

6.Meteor Strike battled away last time over 1150m behind Jacques after racing outside the lead and finished in a bunch with the likes of Cranbrook and Gee Gee Pureblonde. Races well here on his home track and has trialled since which should have him ready to go over this trip. Hasn’t been past 1200m before but this course should suit his on-pace style and the inside draw should see him land in a good spot. Hasn’t won since his debut and has proved very costly to follow but no reason he won’t be around the mark again.

5.Gee Gee Pureblonde had every chance when breaking his maiden status here two starts back but he acquitted himself well up to this grade last time when 4th behind Jacques from a terrible draw. The step up in trip looks ideal at this stage of his preparation and he may settle in a good spot closer to the lead with Carr going on. Comes through the right form race and was good enough there to suggest he is right in the mix here. Another with a good hope.

4.Christopher Mac has been a bit disappointing this prep, putting in an ordinary one fresh before finishing behind a few of the main hopes here last time. Wasn’t best away last time and pulled up with lacerations so had excuses but does need to improve to feature strongly here. His form last prep showed he is definitely capable in this grade and if he could recapture his best form he would be hard to hold out but prefer to see a little more from him first.

Next best White Hawk (3) (promising 3yo who failed over this course at his last run before a spell, resumes here with a trial under his belt but may need the run and prefer to see him do it at this track first).

Verdict

Another very even race. No query on Cranbrook’s (1) ability but he will require a very good ride from an awkward draw. Prefer to play around The Financier (2) and Gee Gee Pureblonde (5) who are improving and well drawn.

Betting Strategy

 BACK (WIN) It’s A Battle for 2 units BACK (WIN) Spihro for 4 units to win BACK (WIN)The Financier for 1 unit

 BACK (WIN) It’s A Battle for 2 units BACK (WIN) Spihro for 4 units to win BACK (WIN)Gee Gee Pureblonde for 1 unit


Race 6 – 3:10PM Birdcage Tavern Class 2 Hcp (1150 METRES)

Speed Map

Jo Anconi may be able to hold the lead from the inside draw but will have plenty of pressure from Chelsarli. Many of these can settle close to the lead which should result in a genuine tempo.

Major Players

5.Jo Anconi has had a break since failing in Launceston over 1200m. Previous form this prep was very good with two wins and a 2nd, generally in fast time. Has her first look at this surface here but has placed on Geelong Synthetic. Looks to get a good run near the lead from the inside draw for Pires as she can lead or take the sit as required. Only has to run up to her good form earlier this prep to be hard to beat.

7.Ty Dash resumes from a spell with a trial under her belt. Races very well here on her home track, especially over this trip with two wins and a 2nd. Awkwardly drawn and probably gets back as a result but has shown the ability to run on at this track previously, including a big win from near last in C1 grade. Yet to run a bad race in this state and her 2nd behind O’Lonh Star over this course two starts ago, beating home Time Commands, reads very well for this. Big chance.

4.Jacques stepped out like a new horse last time over this course with the application of blinkers resulting in a big win in C1 company. Had a beautiful run just behind the lead before bursting away and with McCoull on from an inside draw he could well get the same run again. This is harder as he comes up against two above average gallopers but if he can reproduce that performance he has to be given at least each-way claims again.

6 Majestic Bow has run well at both Tasmanian starts, with a strong maiden win followed by an honest if well beaten effort behind Jacques last time. Gets down in the weights with Graham’s claim and should get a decent run from the middle draw. This is harder again and difficult to see him turning the tables on Jacques but he looks to have at least place claims.

1 Killin Falls resumes here from a short break with a trial win under his belt. Came a long way last prep from being a maiden to placing in C3 company at this trip and beyond. Ran well first-up last time but has a wide barrier to contend with here for his first try at this track. Not sure getting back from the wide gate will suit around here but has the form on the board to respect him in this.

Next best Owens (3) (racing well but this is about as tough as he has contested and having first look at this track)

Verdict

Three very strong chances here. Lean to Jo Anconi (5) from the gun draw but easy to back Ty Dash (7) and Jacques (4) if overlooked by the market.

Betting Strategy

BACK (PLACE) Jo Anconi for 4 units


Race 7 – 3:46PM Simons Design Centre Benchmark 72 Hcp (1150 METRES)

Speed Map

Nielson should take up the running here ahead of I’m Wesley, Steel Moon, Gee Gees Style and Gee Gees Blondie. Merrick’s Beauty can also be thereabouts with King’s Spirit and Concentrate at the tail.

Major Players

1.Steel Moon scored a gutsy win first-up over this course when he didn’t have clear running early in the straight, defeating Meconsul and King’s Spirit by the narrowest of margins. Finds a similar race here but still in alright at the weights with Graham’s claim and he looks to land in a good spot on speed with limited speed drawn inside him. Has won 4 of 5 over this course and holds strong appeal again.

2.I’m Wesley is another who loves this track, having won 4 of 6 and has never missed a place. Resumes here off a short break but should be up to the mark off a recent trial. Won 3 of his 4 starts on this track last prep, including two wins over Nielson under similar weight conditions, and it took Gee Gee Red Prince to hold him off in Open company here on Cup day. Smart galloper in well with Pearson’s claim and will be hard to hold out with the right run.

7 Nielson comes here in his usual honest form off a solid 2nd over this course last time when Gee Gees Blondie popped off his back and beat him. Loves this track and enjoys when he can lead clearly which looks a strong possibility in this. I’m Wesley had his measure last prep and he doesn’t get Graham’s 3kg allowance like he often has but he should give a good sight in front as usual.

6.King’s Spirit has been very good at both runs this prep for Liandra Gray over this trip, narrowly missing behind Steel Moon before running home well last time behind Gee Gees Blondie. Hasn’t won over this distance but has now placed 6 of 8 over this course. Form ties in with the main chances here so while his racing pattern makes it hard, he is capable of being the knockout runner if things go his way.

8.Gee Gees Blondie was a good winner in C5 company over this course last time, enjoying a good run behind the leader Nielson to run him down in the shadows of the post. Form from that race looks strong enough for this but unlikely to get the same cheap run in behind them this time from the outside draw. Needs luck in running but has each-way claims.

Next best Merrick’s Beauty (3) (good win over I’m Wesley in Hobart when resuming but hasn’t done a great deal in strong races since, races well enough here and may improve with McCoull on).

Verdict

Another competitive race but Steel Moon (1) was a game winner first-up and he looks well placed to repeat the dose here.

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) Steel Moon for 4 units


Race 8 – 4:21PM Luxbet Benchmark 62 Hcp (1880 METRES)

Speed Map

Look for Shiralee, Kryptonian and Dangerpet to set the tempo here with maybe Don Reggio and Golden Kiss just behind them. With half the field preferring to race off the speed there doesn’t look to be too much pressure up front, suiting the on-pacers.

Major Players

5.Golden Kiss enjoyed a lovely run just behind the speed a fortnight ago when winning under identical conditions to this race. Won by a clear margin against many of these and only rises marginally in weight. That was run at a very slow tempo so if more pressure goes on early she may not be able to settle as close in running but she should get a good run again from a middle draw. Racing in great form so looks a leading chance again.

3.Eastender dropped back to this trip last time when 2nd behind Golden Kiss, showing he was capable of making ground on this track despite the soft tempo up front. Promising 3yo who continues to impress but stays right up in the weights with 60kg. Possibly some extra pressure up front this time which would suit him and this doesn’t look much harder. Will be hard to hold out late.

6.Shiralee was very game two starts ago when leading over 1650m but disappointed last time out behind Golden Kiss. Was well supported there but was beaten off pretty early in the straight and may have been better suited running along at a stronger tempo. More speed here will probably suit so no surprise to see him improve but hasn’t won for a long time and has a poor winning strike rate so prefer him on an each-way basis.

4.Kryptonian appreciated the jump up to the mile last time, scoring a gutsy win in Mdn/C1 grade after being carried wide on straightening by a riderless horse. Makes a big jump in class but competitive in mid-week company in Victoria previously so may be capable of showing up. Looks to get a good run on speed but out to this trip for the first time. Hard to line up but should be thereabouts.

2.Don Reggio ran a solid 3rd behind Golden Kiss and Eastender last time over this course but never really threatened as a winning hope. Stays up in the weights here but draws better so may be able to settle closer in the run. That may give him the chance to improve but this prep he hasn’t reached the level he did last time in so hard to see him turn the tables and he appeals more on a place basis.

Next best Broadway Velvet (7) (big jump in grade after narrow defeat in 1650m Mdn/C1 but will appreciate the extra trip) and Dangerpet (1) (on-pacer ticking over fairly but failed twice on this surface last prep either side of a Launceston win).

Verdict

Hard to look past Golden Kiss (5) and Eastender (3) here. Leaning to the latter with the chance of greater pressure up front but prices will dictate the better betting opportunity.

Betting Strategy 

BACK (WIN) Eastender for 3 units

BACK (WIN) Golden Kiss for 3 units


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