Darts Tips: Expert PDC World Championship Preview

Formlabs have done the research to find their best darts tips for the upcoming 2021 PDC World Championship.

As regular darts bettors, the Analysts have assessed the PDC World Championship odds to find their best plays of the tournament.


2021 PDC World Championship

We head to the Alexandra Palace for the 28th edition of the PDC World Championships and with it seemingly unlikely that the tournament would even go ahead eight months ago, it looks as if we’ll have a crowd there too.

This tournament has grown massively since Dennis Priestley won the first back in 1994, with the prize pot back then a mere £16,000, while the field consisted of players from England, Scotland, Ireland and the USA. Fast forward 27 years and whoever lifts the title come 3rd January will be given a cheque for £500,000, which will be competed for by players from 28 different nations.

Tournament Stats

  • Three of the top five in the market have reached the semis in five of the last six world championships.
  • The last winner at a higher price than $17 was Adrian Lewis a decade ago at $34.
  • All but two of the 26 finalists have been seeded since the tournament headed to Alexandra Palace in 2008, 18 of which have been in the top seven.
  • Every winner of the tournament has been seeded since 1994, with 10 of 13 coming from the top five since it moved to this venue.

The Big Names

Michael van Gerwen $3.40
The Dutchmen has been the top seed in each of the last six editions of the tournament and heads the market yet again, he’ll be right there again this time around in his 14th attempt at lifting the title. He has won it on three separate occasions, two of which have been as world number one, but we would be slightly more reserved in getting too bullish about his chances this year.

Of course, he is the best player on the circuit, but he’s been susceptible to the odd defeat in 2020, losing out on the Premier League for the first time in five years, as he finished in the bottom half of the table, while Simon Whitlock knocked him out in the quarters of Grand Slam of Darts last month.

However, like most champions, he’s bounced back to win the most recent Players Championship Finals, and he’ll no doubt be amongst it come the second week in what looks a favourable draw for the Dutchmen.

Gerwyn Price $7.40
Won his third career major at the World Grand Prix, while he also lifted the World Cup of Darts and World Series of Darts Finals this year to truly cement his place in the top three of the world rankings.

No player has lifted more titles in 2020 than the Welshmen, and having reached the semis here 12 months ago before losing out to the eventual winner Peter Wright; he’ll look to go even better this time.

Peter Wright $7.80
The defending champion looked set for an unstoppable year off the back of his title here last year, going on to win the Darts Masters title at the start of February. However, he has been fairly poor since, with the European championship title the only title of any note.

That did come at the beginning of last month though, so he might be hitting some form at the right time, but having fallen short in 10 of his 14 major finals, it’s no surprise to see him behind the two aforementioned players in the market.


The Outsiders

Michael Smith $17.50
Yet to win a major title however will be eager to put an end to that. Reaching the final here in 2019 before Mighty Mike ended his hopes, while he’s fallen short in all his other three major finals too.

Bully Boy has been hitting the headlines for all the right reasons recently though, winning back-to-back Player Championship events in Coventry last month, as well as a quarter-final at the most recent Players Championship Finals, before losing to Snake Bite. His form is good, but is it good enough?

Jose De Sousa $20
Surprised the darting world when lifting the Grand Slam of Darts last month. The Special One lost to Michael Smith in the Group stages but turned it on in the knockouts to beat Dave Chisnall, get payback on Smith in the quarters, down Simon Whitlock in the semis, before defeating James Wade in the final.

That along with his European Darts Grand Prix title back in mid-October are the highlights of his season, while he’s reached half of the last six PDC event finals and has to be respected.

Dimitri van den Bergh $29
Oosted a tournament record average of 114.85 at the Ricoh Arena last month, averaging over 100 in four of his six matches on the way to semis at Grand Slam of Darts. He looks a big price considering, and he’ll no doubt be amongst it this fortnight.

Gary Anderson $50
Nobody will be happier about the return of the crowds, The Flying Scotsman has struggled this year with his best performance a runner-up at World Matchplay back in July, but he’s never been as big a price in his 12 previous visits to the Ally Pally, and a four-time finalist and twice winner should surely be shorter in the market.

Moreover, he reached the semis of the Premier League to go with that World Matchplay performance, and his price looks very big.


Betting Strategy

Outright Winner

This year has proven to be one that has seen the rest of the pack catch up with the big names. Indeed, all of Dimitri van den Bergh, Glen Durrant and Jose De Sousa have won major televised events, but each of those have come without the pressure of a crowd.

Therefore, the 1,000 fans allowed at each session will likely play into the hands of the more experienced players, and with that comes our outsider bet in Gary Anderson.

We can’t help but feel the form man of the year Gerwyn Price will be staking a claim at lifting the Sid Waddell Trophy come 3rd January. The last winner at greater than $17 came over a decade ago and so that leaves us with the top three in the market to seriously consider.

Mighty Mike has been too hit and miss this year for us, while Wright has shown just one glimpse of form on the big stage since February, and so the Welshmen looks the best bet to go better than his semi-final 12 months ago. Van Gerwen still poses as his biggest threat, but in different halves of the draw, we like Price’s chances.

 BACK – Gerwyn Price at $7.50

 Back- Gary Anderson at $50 for 0.5 units


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