Darts Tips: Expert PDC World Championship Preview

The Analysts have done the research to find their best darts tips for the upcoming 2020 PDC World Championship.

As regular darts bettors, the Analysts have assessed the PDC World Championship odds to find their best plays of the tournament.


2020 PDC World Championship

The PDC World Championship returns to the Ally Pally for the 27th edition of the tournament with Michael van Gerwen the hot favourite to go back-to-back and claim his fourth crown.

A number of quality players stand in his way, including #2 seed and 2018 winner Rob Cross, last year’s finalist Michael Smith, the red-hot Gerwyn Price and two-time winner Gary Anderson but there are few arguments about Mighty Mike being the strong pre-tournament favourite.


The Big Names

MVG is clearly the form player in the field coming off his Players Championship triumph last month, a semi-final finish in the Grand Slam of Darts and an emphatic win in the World Series of Darts Finals at the start of November. In all, the Dutchman has won 15 of his last 16 matches and, as the Exchange reflects, stands a great chance to win his fourth World Champs.

Such is van Gerwen’s forecasted dominance, there are several top-ranked players that I’m happy to write off. Rob Cross may come into the tournament ranked second but has lost three of his last six matches, including a heavy defeat at the hands of Mervyn King in his most recent outing.

Peter ‘Snake Bite’ Wright is another that I’ll be laying. He enters the tournament on back-to-back losses and hasn’t shown the consistency needed to win a World Champs of late. With losses to Ian White, Jeffrey de Zwaan and James Wilson within the last 60 days, the Scotsman is one to lay.

Gary Anderson has really struggled to overcome his back injury that he suffered at the beginning of the year and, on recent form, doesn’t look to be much of a chance, while a fairytale finish to the career of Raymond van Barneveld looks highly unlikely despite a bit of a recent bounce-back.

Michael Smith also deserves a mention after making this year’s final, though being in probably the toughest quarter of the draw and after experiencing a bit of a slump in the past couple of months, I’m happy to pass on him.

Gerwyn Price looks to be the best of the rest in terms of the top-ranked players, with a loss to van Gerwen in his last outing ending an 11-game win streak, in which he toppled the likes of Mensur Suljovic, Wright, MVG and Anderson.

At $6.40, however, I will be staying away from him. He’s only won one major tournament this year and has an atrocious 1-19 record against Mighty Mike who he’d very likely have to topple in the final if he wants to gain his first world title. He’s just a bit too short for me. That said, keep an eye out for him in the handicap market as he progresses with him likely to dish out a few beatings.


The outsiders

This makes it clear that I’ll be backing MVG to go back-to-back, though that’s not to say there isn’t value to be found elsewhere. James Wade is a good chance of making the quarter-finals after being handed a relatively soft draw in the top half.

Should the seeded players do the job (though, that is no given) he’ll be going up against Steve Beaton (20-3 against him all-time) in the third round, either Ian White (13-7) or Max Hopp (6-0) in the fourth round. That would take him to the quarter-finals, where he would likely be defeated by MVG, but his price should have shortened well by then as a back-to-lay prospect.

Kryzsztof Ratajski is another strong trading option. He’s never played against Jamie Hughes and is 2-0 against his other potential second-round opponent, Zoran Lerchbacher. Looking forward from there, he has the rub over his likely third-round opponent, Nathan Aspinall, with a 2-0 record over him. That likely leaves Gary Anderson or Steve West in his path in the fourth round and while he’s never taken on either of them, I’d put him as a good chance for a win in his current form.


Betting Strategy

Outright Winner

Michael van Gerwen’s recent dominance is simply too much for me to look past. His section of the draw doesn’t appear to bring any real challengers until at least the quarter-finals and there is no other player that I’d be wanting to back from that point on. He is short, but he is the bet.

 BACK – Michael van Gerwen at $2.26 for 4 units

 LAY – Rob Cross at $18 for 3 units

Trading Selections

 BACK to LAY – James Wade at $55 for 2 units (trade out at $30>)

 BACK to LAY – Kryzsztof Ratajski at $95 for 2 units (trade out at $50>)


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