Cricket Betting: New Zealand v Australia – T20 Final

New Zealand v Australia Final T20

Wednesday February 21 – 5:00pm AEDT

The Black Caps will have to go to an even higher level when they host Australia for the T20 Trans-Tasman series.


New Zealand

The home side will be left scratching their heads after scoring 243 runs and still losing at home. New Zealand turned around their poor lead up form (1 win in 4 games) with an incredible opening partnership at Eden Park. Martin Guptill and Colin Munro scored 181 runs between them off just 118 balls. They brilliantly took advantage of the small boundaries and seemed to be in an unassailable position.

Until Australia did the same thing to their bowlers. Ben Wheeler went for 64 runs in 3.1 overs and Colin de Grandhomme was similarly expensive. The Black Caps will need to get a better return from all of their bowlers, admittedly in challenging conditions, if they are to stop the in-form visitors.


Australia

Captain David Warner will be looking for more of the same from his troops. The batting order is in incredible form, with everyone except Marcus Stoinis getting a start in their world record run chase at Eden park. Between Glenn Maxwell, D’Arcy Short, Aaron Finch and David Warner, there is no respite for opposition bowlers. Plus Chris Lynn is yet to fire. It’s hard to see New Zealand containing a top order batting list with this much confidence.

Where the Australians are vulnerable is in attack, as New Zealand exposed last contest. Tye, Stanlake, Richardson and Agar are all inexperienced at international T20 level, despite having incredible Big Bash seasons that justified their call up. Andrew Tye, who has arguably been the best T20 bowler this summer was hit for seven 6’s last start, showing that no bowler is safe at Eden Park.


Eden Park

Eden Park has not been a happy hunting ground for the hosts, with the Black Caps losing six of their past eight T20Is there, including their last four straight. The ground is typically high-scoring with five of the past seven first innings scores exceeding 185, while the side batting first has won seven of the past nine matches here.


The Verdict

Australia’s hot form is carrying significantly more weight than New Zealand’s home record, with the visitors dominant favourites against the unfancied Black Caps. Australia are settled and their confidence would be at an all time high in this format. The newcomers have made international cricket look even easier than the domestic competition.

However, the current odds are very short. $1.58 away from home in a T20 game reeks of danger.

Given the erratic market swings of T20 cricket, we see Australia as a great trading proposition. We recommend laying the visitors at the current odds and backing them with a bigger stake if they drift. New Zealand’s record is poor at Eden Park and Australia have a huge edge in form and batting depth.


Betting Strategy

  LAY-to-BACK – Australia for 1 unit.


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