Cricket Betting: Australia v England – Third ODI

Australia v England Third ODI

Sunday January 21 – 2:20pm AEDT

Australia will be hoping to keep the series alive by overcoming a strong England outfit at the SCG on Sunday.


Australia

The Aussies were once again completely outplayed and outsmarted, with their defeat at the Gabba seeing them slip to a 2-0 series deficit. The first mistake they may have made was electing to bat first in Brisbane, with their elongated batting line-up only managing to post a below-par 9/270, despite an excellent opening stand of 68 between David Warner (35 off 40 balls) and Aaron Finch who stroked his second consecutive century in vein, amassing 106 off 114 deliveries. However support for Finch was otherwise scant, with Mitchell Marsh chipping in with 36 off 43 balls, while debutant Alex Carey smashed a quickfire 27 from 24 balls.

Having dropped spinner Adam Zampa for a batsman in Cameron White on a pitch that was turning, the task facing Australia’s bowlers was always a tall one and they did well to take six English wickets and stretch the game into the 45th over before the visitors prevailed. As the only frontline bowler with any experience, Mitchell Starc did his best to drag the hosts back into the game with 4/59 off his ten overs, while on debut Jhye Richardson showed plenty of promise with 2/57 off ten but with the remaining bowlers taking a combined 0/157 off 24.2 overs, England always had the game in hand.

The good news for the World Champions is that they will likely welcome back fast-bowling pair Josh Hazlewood and Pat Cummins, while first-choice ‘keeper Tim Paine may also be restored after missing the Gabba clash through illness.


England

There are no such issues for England with an unchanged team taking a stranglehold on the series with another commanding display.

Captain Joe Root had an outstanding game, firstly by identifying that the pitch was taking enough spin for his own part-time offies to be instituted, taking 2/31 off seven overs including the key wicket of opposing skipper Steve Smith. Frontline tweakers Adil Rashid (2/71 off ten overs) and Moeen Ali (1/31 off seven overs) took a further three wickets between them, while Chris Woakes was much improved with 1/37 off nine overs to go with two direct-hit run outs. Although the Three Lions lost MCG hero Jason Roy (two off four balls) early, Jonny Bairstow (60 off 56 balls) and Alex Hales (57 off 60 balls) combined to put them firmly on the front foot with a partnership of 117 off 112 balls.

When Bairstow and Hales departed within two overs of each other, captain Root steadied the ship with an unbeaten 46 off 58 balls, allowing the likes of Jos Buttler (42 off 32 balls) and Woakes (39 not out off 27) to keep the run rate within check on account of some audacious stroke-play. On the cusp of a first ODI series win in Australia since 2007, it seems likely that England will go into the match with another unchanged line-up and they will again be hoping to get some overs out of their captain to help cover for the continued absence of controversial all-rounder Ben Stokes.


Sydney Cricket Ground

The SCG has been an incredibly high-scoring ground with the last four first innings totals all exceeding 320. Australia have won nine of their past ten ODIs in Sydney, while Warner averages 60.50 at a strike-rate of 103.56 at his home ground with four fifties and three hundreds from 12 matches here.


Key Stats

  • Australia are on the verge of losing their first ODI series at home since 2010.
  • However, Australia have lost their last three ODI series’.
  • Australia have won nine out of their last ten ODIs at the SCG.
  • England are on the verge of winning their eighth ODI series from their past ten.
  • England have won their last six ODIs away from home.

The Verdict

Australia have drifted again following their defeat at the Gabba, though not considerably with England still looking an attractive price.

The Aussies have been truly shell-shocked by the English juggernaut in this series, however they haven’t been helped by some tactical naivety with the hosts clearing misreading the pitch in Brisbane by electing to go with another batsman in place of their frontline spinner. Likely changes to the starting XI, headed by the return of two of their thoroughbred quicks, could be what is keeping their price where it is, but based on what we’ve seen in the opening two matches it does look quite skinny.

Meanwhile England have had clear plans and executed them to perfection. A measured but aggressive approach with the bat has served them well in the Australian conditions and if recent history is anything to go by, then they should find the Sydney pitch more to their liking than any other. Moreover an ability to take wickets throughout the 50 overs has curtailed Australia’s own attacking plans with the bat and with Root now a viable option to get through some overs, the odds on the visitors are certainly of interest here.

For me England’s form and dominance in this series thus far, coupled with conditions that should only work in their favour, is all too good to ignore so I will start by backing the visitors at starting price. Certainly there is a sense of bewilderment around the Australian side at the moment, however the return of two premium quicks and an incredible record on home soil is just enough to convince not to have all my eggs in one basket so I will look to trade out and secure a green number on both sides of the book.


betting strategy

  BACK TO LAY – England at 2.28 or bigger for 2 units (trade out at 1.50 or better).


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