Cricket Betting: Australia v England – Second ODI

Australia v England Second ODI

Friday January 19 – 2:20pm AEDT

After being stunned in the series opener at the MCG, Australia will be looking to bounce back swiftly by squaring the ledger against England in the second ODI at the Gabba on Friday.


Australia

After losing the toss and being sent into bat, the hosts found themselves in some early bother at 3/78 with big guns David Warner and Steve Smith both dismissed. However in their absence, experienced opener Aaron Finch stepped up to score his ninth ODI century with a beautifully measured 107 off 119 balls.

Also in the runs were middle-order pair Mitchell Marsh (50 off 68 balls) and Marcus Stoinis (60 off 40 balls) with the latter’s striking power lifting the Aussies to a formidable 8/304 from their 50 overs. Although they leaked runs early, when the Australians picked up two wickets inside the first six overs they remained firmly on top, however they were powerless to stop a 221-run partnership that dragged England from behind in the game to a comfortable victory as the visitors eventually ran out winners by five wickets with more than an over to spare.

Leg-spinner Adam Zampa proved costly, leaking 72 off his wicket-less ten overs, while new-ball pair Mitchell Starc (2/71 off 10 overs) and Pat Cummins (2/63 off 10 overs) were also expensive, despite picking up a brace of scalps each. Cummins will be rested for the match in Brisbane, allowing Josh Hazlewood to return after he sat out Sunday’s game in Melbourne. Debutant Andrew Tye (0/43 off ten overs) managed to escape relatively unscathed, although he may still be rotated out for state teammate Jhye Richardson.


England

England will surely be buoyed by their ultimately comprehensive win at the MCG, already banishing memories of a painful test series defeat. In the field they were boosted by the additional pace provided by Mark Wood (1/49 off ten overs) and Liam Plunkett (3/71 off ten overs), although fellow seamer Chris Woakes continued his underwhelming tour with an uninspiring 1/65 off ten overs. On the contrary Moeen Ali bounced back from a poor Ashes series to concede only 39 off his full allotment, while fellow tweaker Adil Rashid (2/73 off ten overs) picked up the key wickets of Smith and Marsh.

However the real hero was opener Jason Roy who took the attack to the much-vaunted Australian quicks and never let up, smashing a brilliant 180 off 151 balls to record the highest-ever score by an Englishman in an ODI. Captain Joe Root was happy to play second-fiddle to Roy but he did see it through to the end with an excellent unbeaten 91 off 110 deliveries, showing none of the effects from the illness that forced him to retire hurt in the final Ashes test. England are likely to go into the match unchanged, however should they need an extra all-rounder to fill the void left by the absent Ben Stokes, then top-order pair Jonny Bairstow (14 off 11 balls) and Alex Hales (4 off 3 balls) may be unexpectedly placed on notice, following Roy’s break-through knock.


The Gabba

Australia have a superb record at the Gabba, losing just one of their past ten ODIs at the ground. Interestingly only seven of the last ten first innings scores have landed between 200 and 280, while whoever wins the toss will again likely elect to field first again as the side batting second has won five of the past seven ODIs here.


Key Stats

  • Australia has now lost eight of their past nine ODIs.
  • However Australia have won nine of their past ten ODIs at the Gabba.
  • Australia has outscored their opponents in the first 15 overs in only one of their past four ODIs.
  • England have won eight of their past nine ODIs.
  • England have outscored their opponent in the first 15 overs in six of their past eight ODIs.

The Verdict

The market has reacted to England’s victory in Melbourne with Australia’s price pushed out, although they still maintain favouritism over the visitors.

There were a couple of concerns arising out of Australia’s loss in the series opener with their batsmen’s inability to accelerate the scoring at crucial times and the bowler’s complete lack of answers to Roy’s onslaught at the top of the list. However the Aussies still posted a strong total and made a couple of early break-throughs with the ball, so while they may be on the back foot they still boast a wonderful record in this format at home (especially at this ground) and at the current odds I don’t wish to oppose them.

Similarly for England there was plenty to like, with Roy’s phenomenal innings, Root’s superb support act and the attacking nature of their bowlers all catching the eye in Melbourne. However it’s not going to be every day that a previously out-of-sorts opener plays a record-breaking innings and the choice to include that extra batsman at the expense of an all-rounder could come back to bite them now that Australia will no doubt revise their approach. However they are clearly a team in form so I’m not desperate to take them on which leaves me searching the auxiliary markets for some value.

One area where England have been particularly strong is at the start of their innings. They have outscored the opposition in the first 15 overs in six of their past eight ODIs and I cannot imagine them tempering their approach based on what we saw at the MCG. In their last ten ODIs they have averaged 91 in the first 15 overs, while conceding an average of just 82 and Sunday was the fourth consecutive match in which they exceeded 100 in the first 15.

Conversely Australia haven’t reached 100 in the first 15 overs in their last ten ODIs despite boasting the destructive Warner alongside the in-form Finch. In those last ten ODIs they have averaged just shy of 80 in the first 15, while their highly-rated bowling attack has conceded an average of 85. In their last four ODIs they have only once outscored their opponents during this period, so while I cannot have sufficient confidence that England will go 2-0 up in the series, I am willing to wager that the underdogs will be ahead at the 15 over mark.


Betting Strategy

 BACK – England Highest 15 Over Total at 1.85 or bigger for 2 units.


Related Articles

Big Bash: Assessing Strengths and Weaknesses of Each Team

The Big Bash League provides plenty of opportunities to find some value in a variety of markets, provided you go ...

Read More

Big Bash: Bowlers Win T20 Matches

The Big Bash League provides plenty of opportunities to find some value in a variety of markets, provided you go ...

Read More

Cricket Trading Basics

I have a theory that I have believed all my trading life. Sports with more ‘points’ are easier to ...

Read More