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FEATURE PREVIEWS: COOLMORE CLASSIC

2024 COOLMORE CLASSIC

Track: Rosehill | Distance: 1500m | Condition: F&M HCP | Rail Position: True| Condition: Good 4 | Prizemoney: $600k

Some rain forecast, but not overly significant. Fence could be an advantage here.

A G1 for the fillies and mares won in recent years by Espiona, Krone, Con Te Partiro, Dixie Blossoms, Daysee Doom, Heavens Above, Steps In Time and Appearance.

Historical Profiling (Last 12 years)

 

  • 1st up (0/6), 2nd up (5/60), 3rd up (5/90), 4th up+ (2/27)
  • 7-day break (1/8), 14-day break (7/125), 21-day break (3/34), 35-day break (1/1)
  • 3yo (0/34), 4yo (3/73), 5yo (5/55), 6yo (4/19), 7yo (0/2)
  • Average Prizemoney Index Under $45K (11/137), Over $45K (1/46)
  • Career Win 10-40% (12/152), 50%+ (0/27)
  • SP Under $8 (1), $8-$16 (7), $21-$26 (4)
  • Barriers 1-9 (11/108), Barrier 10+ (1/75)
  • Weight 50-52kg (1/62), 53-57kg (11/111), 58kg (0/10)
  • Handicap Rating 100+ (10/117), 60-90 (2/66)
  • Handicap Rating Rank 1-7 (11/84), 8+ (1/99)
  • Horse Number 1-8 (11), 9+ (1)
  • Career Starts 11-29 (12)
  • Career Wins 4-8 (12)
  • Last Start Distance 1200 (1/4), 1300 (5/37), 1400 (6/130), 1600+ (0/11)
  • Never raced at Rosehill (2/53)
  • Finishing Position Last Start 1st (4/45), 2nd (4/32), 3rd-4th (2/44), 5th+ (2/62)
  • Last Start Racetrack Sydney Sat (11/144), Other (1/39)
  • Last Start Race Class G1 (1/21), G2 (8/93), G3/LR (3/65)
  • Intelligence Ratings Rank 1-9 $19 or under (11)

This race has some clear requirements for winners from a historical profiling perspective.

  • 10 of the past 12 years have been 2nd or 3rd up
  • 10 coming off 14-21 days since last start
  • 10 have been 4 or 5yos
  • 7 of the last 9 winners at an SP of $14+!
  • 5 & 6 year olds clearly the best betting propositions

Inside barriers, top half Handicap Rating, last start past 2/3 weeks at G2 level in Sydney with under 30 career starts all very positive factors

SPEED MAP

Should be a strong tempo here, with Expat and Annavisto the 2 up the front.
Mirra Vision, Pride Of Jenni, Hinged, Torogene, Larkspur Run & Ruthless Dame all likely to be positive early.
Mustang Valley, More Prophets, Hope In Your Heart, Sheeza Belter, Yearning, Espiona, Times Square & Purplepay get back.

COOLMORE CLASSIC | KEY RUNNERS

1. Zougotcha – Beat Lady Laguna first up, who then won the G1 Canterbury Stakes last week. Deserved favourite.

2. Revolutionary Miss – Racing in consistently good form this prep, having won 4 from her past 5, but at G3 level. Must take another step up here.

3. Semana – Flying this prep. Won the Magic Millions Cup two starts back, then beat Olentia last start.

4. Vienna Princess – Won the Silver Eagle then only beaten 2.1L in the Golden Eagle. Was a solid 4th first up behind Zougotcha but is 2.5kg worse than Zougotcha here. Equal top from a historical profiling perspective.

5. Hinged – Solid 2nd first up. A non-winner these days, Probably needs it wet to figure, and wide gate doesn’t help, but does rate well from a historical profiling perspective.

6. Tropical Squall – Won the G1 Flight Stakes last prep, and won the G1 Surround Stakes for us first up. Rates very well again here, although assesses very poorly from a historical profiling perspective and has drawn the carpark.

8. Foxy Frida – Consistent type who ran the clear best sectionals of the race first up at G2 level.

9. Madame Pommery – G1 winner who drops 3.5kg on 3L 3rd to Zougotcha first up. Very wide draw a shame.

10. Renaissance Woman – Was poor first up and this appears a big class rise. Maps to get a long way back also. Interestingly is equal top from a historical profiling perspective.

11. Yonce – Tricky one to line up coming off a long break, but a nice G3 win against the boys last start. Drawn well for an economical run.

14. More Secrets – Has a G1 placing on her resume from last year. Was a solid 3rd first up.

16. Jennilala – G1 placed and was good leading all the way first up.

17. Kimochi – G2 winner and 6 times group placed already as a 3yo. Had excuses last start.

TOP 5 RUNNERS

1 – Zougotcha
4 – Vienna Princess
10 – Renaissance Woman
3 – Semana
6 – Tropical Squall

SUMMARY

Zougotcha looks the clear one to beat.
Backing Vienna Princess and Renaissance Woman solely on how well they profile for the race from a historical perspective.
Saving on Semana & Tropical Squall.

BACK 1 – Zougotcha 1.3w
BACK 4 – Vienna Princess 0.6w
BACK 10 – Renaissance Woman 0.5w
BACK 3 – Semana 0.3w
BACK 6 – Tropical Squall 0.3w

RESULTS

2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63
2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60
2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23.00
2024 Oakleigh Plate: Queman $19.15
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95
2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50
2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55
2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80
2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69
2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18
2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00
2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32
2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24

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