Your Exclusive Bellator Previews and Bets

Get all of the best Bellator MMA previews and bets from Gugabe Picks on the Betfair Hub.

With a proven track record, Gugabe Picks will be providing his exclusive Bellator predictions for selected cards.

Gugabe has logged over 900 MMA bets on BetMMA.Tips over the past two years and has shown himself to be a profitable tipster in that span, making a 17% ROI.

An ex-Financial Trader, Gugabe broke into the MMA/Sportsbetting after discovering he has a clear edge. With 10+ years of watching MMA and close to that spent doing Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, to go with a 2-0 amateur heavyweight MMA record, Gugabe is the man to follow for all of your Bellator bets.

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Current Results (UFC & Bellator)

Total Units Staked: 24.85

Total Units Returned: 31.64

ROI: 27.32%


Rory MacDonald v Neiman Gracie


Rory MacDonald looked flat last time out against Jon Fitch though Fitch is experiencing a career renaissance and to put out a sub-par performance against a world-class grinder like him is not unusual.

Neiman Gracie beat an ultra-raw Ed Ruth, who is a pure wrestling threat, in his last bout six months ago but Canadian Psycho has elite striking and is more than capable with his submission and takedown defence.

MacDonald comfortably beat Demian Maia, who is both a better wrestler and a bigger submission threat than Neiman. He’ll be able to rinse and repeat that gameplan. Add to that his draw with ADCC 2018 winner Jonathan Torres and we see MacDonald is well-versed in taking on submission specialists.

It’s hard to be overly confident in late-career MacDonald but the skill matchup here should see the Canadian coming out on top. The only reason the odds are this wide is due to Gracie looking great in his last fight and MacDonald looking the opposite against Fitch.

It wouldn’t be a huge shock if Neiman manages to get him down for a bit but Rory’s shown enough submission defence to the point where Neiman will need sustained success to win a decision.

Prediction

Rory MacDonald to win 49-46 or by late KO.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – 1.5 units on MacDonald to beat Gracie at 1.67 or better.


Patrick Mix v Ricky Bandejas


Patrick Mix makes his big show debut after a 20-0 record between amateurs and King of the Cage. Mix brings an aggressive, dominant wrestling game to Bellator after becoming a bit overcooked on KOTC due to a long-term performance, but is frequently named as a top prospect.

His opponent, Ricky Bandejas, is enthusiastic and high-volume but has earned an unwarranted public profile due to his KO win over James Gallagher. His takedown defence hasn’t looked especially elite so far which is likely to be an issue against a top-class ground fighter like Mix.

Bandejas probably has the edges with cardio and striking but Patchy looks like the better athlete and grappler. Bandejas will likely get better as the fight goes on if he survives but I’m predicting an early finish in Mix’s favour.

Prediction

Patrick Mix via submission round one.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – 2 units on Mix to beat Bandejas at 2.25 or better.


Darrion Caldwell v Kyoji Horiguchi


Darrion Caldwell lost the first fight between this pair in Rizin via guard guillotine in the third round but guard submissions are not consistent, actionable outcomes in modern MMA.

The Wolf has a significant size advantage and was comfortably up in that fight, taking down Kyoji Horiguchi easily for three rounds.

Also considering the fact that Caldwell went five rounds of top-position grind against Eduardo Dantas, cardio shouldn’t be an issue. It’s likely a finish-or-bust situation for Horiguchi.

Prediction

Darrion Caldwell via one-sided decision.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – 1.5 units on Caldwell to beat Horiguchi at 1.71 or better.


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