Ascot: Saturday December 2 2017 – G1 Crown Perth Winterbottom Stakes

Group 1 racing in the west continues this week with Perth’s premier sprint event, the Winterbottom Stakes.

Jockey manager and WA form analyst Mark Van Triet gives his take on every runner.


R7  G1 Crown Perth Winterbottom Stakes 1200m

This is not one of the stronger versions of this race. In previous years you’ve had the likes of Buffering, Ortensia, Barakey, and you can go back to Takeover Target. For a Group 1, this is down on quality in my opinion. A bit of that could be down to the extra run in the sprint program now with The Everest.

The speed should be okay with Malibu Style, Whispering Brook and Caipirinha, which they tried to ride with a sit last start, but they’re drawn out wide so I think their only option here is to go forward. There should be a lot of jostling early trying to get a spot. It’s a $1 million Group 1 race so I’d be surprised if they sat up.

It’s forecast to be 35 degrees in Perth on Saturday, and generally Ascot can be leader-ish when it’s that warm. Of the last six winners of this race, five have either led or sat second with the exception being Ortensia, who sat just behind the speed.


1 Rock Magic: Chris Gangemi / Jarrad Noske – Barrier 6, 58.5kg

Going really well and he hasn’t had a lot go right for him in the east. He was first home on the flat side of the track in the Darley. He hasn’t had any luck at all. From his gate he should be able to get set just behind the speed, and he’s more than capable of figuring in the finish.

2 Santa Ana Lane: Anthony Freedman / Dean Yendall – Barrier 11, 58.5kg

The only Group 1 winner in the race, which tells you a bit about the depth of it. He’s drawn outside and will have to go back, probably near last, which is a very hard thing to recover from over a short trip at Ascot.

3 Durendalv: Chris Gangemi / Shaun McGruddy – Barrier 1, 58.5kg

Hasn’t won since January 2016. In saying that he is racing okay and will get a good run in transit, but he’s a place hope at best.

4 Dream Lifter: Paul Hunter / Mitchell Pateman – Barrier 3, 58.5kg

Will go forward, but outclassed here.

5 Malibu Style: Neville Parnham / Steven Parnham – Barrier 10, 58.5kg

The likely leader. Has been struggling for form this prep so I’d be surprised if he was able to figure in the finish here.

7 Profit Street: Peter & Matthew Giadresco / Brad Parnham – Barrier 2, 58.5kg

Noted backmarker. Came wide on the turn last start and recorded the fastest last 200, but again he’ll need luck to repeat that. Could possibly finish in the money with luck, but I couldn’t see him winning.

8 State Solicitor: Grant & Alana Williams / William Pike – Barrier 4, 58.5kg

Last start is well documented – he overcame traffic problems to score a breathtaking win with a very, very impressive effort. The splits did open up for him when it counted, but he was good enough to utilise his turn of foot and get the money. He ran in this race last year, and came from near last to finish sixth after enduring a checkered passage in the straight. He is well found though, and in my opinion a little under the odds.

9 Viddora: Lloyd Kennewell / Joe Bowditch – Barrier 7, 56.5kg

She’s flying. She hasn’t had any luck in her two runs this prep, and they were both Group 1s stronger than this. She only needs clear air in the straight and if she’s close enough, she’ll be good enough to get over the top.

10 Whispering Brook: Simon Miller / Jason Brown – Barrier 8, 56.5kg

Will go forward and create a bit of speed, but she hasn’t won since her two-year-old year and I’d be surprised if she could turn that around here.

11 Dainty Tess: Daniel Morton / Chris Parnham – Barrier 5, 56.5kg

Local favourite due to her pattern of racing – she gets back and is capable of reeling off a really good late split. 1200m will probably test here, especially at this grade, but she’ll be one getting home late.

12 Fuhryk: David Hayes, Ben Hayes & Tom Dabernig / Damien Oliver – Barrier 9, 56.5kg

Was held up a little bit last start at Flemington over the 1400m, but when she got out she didn’t do a lot. She’s certainly better suited back at the 1200m. She’s got a sticky gate and Ollie will have to chance his arm and see if he can slot her in the first half-dozen. If he can do that, she’s capable of finishing in the money.

13 Caipirinha: Simon Miller / Joseph Azzopardi – Barrier 12, 56.5kg

Has been out of form this campaign. As I said earlier, they signaled their intentions that they wanted to go back, but she just jumped too well to do that. She was trapped three-wide without cover but only just went down in a huge effort. A place hope for mine.


Verdict

Pretty keen on #9 Viddora. She’s got the right formlines and she’s going to Perth off a great preparation with the two Group 1s, where she was unlucky in both. Those races were much stronger than this. I’ve got Rock Magic next – with the right run – and State Solicitor likewise.


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – Viddora


Related Articles

Kingston Town Classic Preview, Saturday 3rd December 2016

Scales Of Justice to work across to and lead.

Read More

Ascot: Saturday December 9 2017 – G1 Kingston Town

WA form analyst Mark Van Triet nailed the Winterbottom Stakes last week, scripting Viddora’s run to victory. We asked ...

Read More

Lay Nominations, Saturday 9th December 2017

Our bookies share their best lays from all around the country for Kingston Town Saturday.

Read More