Sydney vs West Coast

Friday 15th June, 7:50pm AEST SCG

Sydney

The Swans have their toughest task ahead of them on Friday Night as they come up against the top of the leaderboard Eagles who will be keen to avenge their Round 1 loss. Despite it being a competitive contest for the majority of the match, the key factor in that game was Franklin who booted 8.1 with the Eagles seeming to have no answer to stem his influence. Given how the Swans star forward has been moving around in recent games, he could be in for another big night and the loss of Eagles key defender Barrass will make the job easier for him. Probably the most pivotal match-up will be between Sinclair and Naitanui with the Eagles star ruckman dominating his former team-mate in Round 1. However, the Swans big man has been superb recently and should be able to hold his own just enough for the Swans to exploit their advantage in the midfield.

West Coast

The Eagles are running red hot riding a 10-game winning streak having not lost a game since their Round 1 loss to the Swans. They will have mixed feelings about their team changes this round with prolific ball winner Shuey obviously a welcome addition but the loss of Darling to injury may give them more headaches than the loss of any other player (barring Naitanui) as his role in the Eagles’ structure will be hard to cover. Without him, a lot of the transition play that the Eagles have been known for may break down as Darling has often been the crucial link man for the Eagles getting the ball out of their back-half and quickly in their forward-half. This game will reveal just how important Darling is to their structure.

 

Betting Strategy

Buddy should be too hard for the Eagles to handle and the model sees value in the Swans at currents odds of $1.59.

 BACK – Sydney to win at $1.59


Geelong vs Richmond

Sunday 17th June, 3:20pm AEST MCG

Geelong

The Cats have looked dangerous recently with their highly touted midfield finally seeming to come together in recent rounds. They face a tough task coming against the reigning premiers at the MCG and will need to rely on more than just Dangerwoodlett if they are to notch their biggest win of the season. The midfield battle will be the difference in this game and although the Cats have three of the best mids in the competition, they will be more than evenly matched against the Tigers core midfield group led by superstar Martin. Although Hawkins has been good recently, he will find it hard to get past Rance who should have the capabilities to shut down the tall forward.

Richmond

Dusty was sorely missed last week in the Tiger’s third loss for the season and his return will be a huge boost to their chances of winning against the Cats this week. Points have been hard to come by against the Cats and for the Tiges to win, they will need to maintain the same dogged pressure on the ball carrier they’ve been known for to force turnovers and catch the Cat’s defense out of position. Cotchin was quiet last week by his standards and the Captain will need to be on top of his game if they are to eke out the win as they come against their toughest test in the midfield so far.

Betting strategy

The return of Dusty to the reigning premiers should be too much for the Cats and the model sees value in the Tiges at $1.58.

 BACK – Richmond to win at $1.59


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