Greater Western Sydney vs Collingwood

Saturday May 13, 4:35pm AEST – Sydney Olympic Park

On paper, the 2-5 Magpies look like a welcome win for the Giants, especially with Lachie Whitfield returning. However, the pre-season favourites are coming off their second loss and their depth is being stretched. The Toby Greene suspension adds to an injury list that includes Jacob Hopper, Adam Kennedy, Brett Deledio, Ryan Griffen and Nick Haynes. Additionally, Collingwood are 5-0 against GWS. The Pies entered last year’s Spotless Stadium clash at similar odds but walked away 33 point winners. Collingwood are notoriously good travellers and have an exceptional record in Sydney (8-3 in last 11). We won’t be surprised if they shock the market again.

Betting Strategy

Back – Collingwood H2H and +31.5

Gold Coast vs Port Adelaide

Sunday May 14, 3:15 AEST – Jiangwan Stadium

We predicted the Power demise last week but we were lucky. Port had 15 behinds. We think they’ll bounce back well with a historic win in Shanghai. Port Adelaide have won their last six contests against the Suns, five of which have been on the road. They match up well against Gary Ablett’s men and their in form forward, Charlie Dixon, should have the motivation to go to an extra level against his old team. More importantly, Port’s wins this year have been by 28, 89, 90 and 83. When they win, they cover.

The weather looks sunny in China and given these sides are so aggressive (they’re both in the top three for inside 50s), a competitive game can still be separated by multiple goals. Also, we hear Port are comfortably flying business class. The Suns are down the back, which must thrill Peter Wright, Jarrod Witts, Tom Lynch and Steven May.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Port Adelaide -27.5

North Melbourne vs Sydney Swans

Sunday May 14, 4:40 AEST – Etihad Stadium

Sydney have won ten of their last 12 contests against North Melbourne, including the last three at Etihad. Whilst the Swans team clearly aren’t at their premiership winning best, the matchup and venue history are significant. They’ll also be coming in with confidence after winning by nine goals and getting eight from Lance Franklin.

As impressive as Sydney were, North were better. They demolished the premiership favourites by 59 points. However, the best player on the ground was Jarrad Waite. As well as stretching the Adelaide defence and kicking six goals, he also earned himself a suspension. His omission from the forward line may prove fatal.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Sydney H2H before they’re favourites

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