Western Bulldogs vs West Coast Eagles

Saturday July 1, 1:45pm AEST – Etihad Stadium

The Western Bulldogs are battling in ninth place. They’ve yet to show their teeth this year and the football community is concerned that the premiers won’t find their finals form of 2016. However, they’ve been gifted a real opportunity to strengthen their top eight chances at the expense of seventh place West Coast.

The Eagles will be without Josh Kennedy, Mark Le Cras and Shannon Hurn, three of their most influential players. Plus, they’re notoriously woeful in Melbourne and have lost to the Bulldogs on their last three visits to Etihad. The Bulldogs, despite their struggles, have won five of six home games and should do enough to cover the line against the undermanned Eagles.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Western Bulldogs -15.5

Port Adelaide Power vs Richmond Tigers

Saturday July 1, 7:40pm AEST – Adelaide Oval

The Power have had dominating displays at home this year, with an average winning margin of 67.5. They may do the same to Richmond, but we’re optimistic of an upset.

Port are alarmingly 0-4 against top eight teams this year. Plus we haven’t forgotten about their 70 point loss to Essendon three weeks ago. That game can’t be covered up by wins against Brisbane and Collingwood.

Like Port, Richmond are 8-5 on the season and 3-1 in the past four weeks. Port concedes the least points in the competition (77), with Richmond second (78). There’s very little to separate the two sides, except the Adelaide Oval advantage. The Betfair Model makes Richmond $2.47 and we think that’s a more accurate price than the market.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Richmond Head To Head

Essendon Bombers vs Brisbane Lions

Sunday July 2, 1:10pm AEST – Etihad Stadium

The Lions lost by ten goals last week, and it could have been more. Losing their best player, Dayne Beams, to a Mumford special was catastrophic and his loss will be felt for a month. The Lions are so thin for All Australian class and experience that when one of their key members goes down they’re even more vulnerable than their ladder position suggests.

Essendon, on the other hand, are coming off a 70 point demolition of Port Adelaide and a cliff hanging loss in Sydney. They’re 11th on the ladder and quietly capable of playing finals. Their run home is full of soft matches like this one.

Adding to our Bomber confidence, the two teams already played at the Gabba this year, with Essendon winning by 27 points. Had it not been for Beams’ 33 disposals and two goals, the margin would have been bigger. With home ground advantage and no captain, this should be a percentage booster for the Bombers.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Essendon -44.5

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