Western Sydney Wanderers v Brisbane Roar

Friday November 25, 7:50pm AEDT

Match Overview

Western Sydney got out of jail to steal a point from Melbourne City last week thanks to a City own goal in the 92nd minute. They did have a goal incorrectly ruled out for offside but were secend best in a match that was very low on quality. It also meant they are now winless in 4 at Homebush (3 at Spotless). They are back to full strength and it will be interesting to see who starts up front, Kerem Bulut or Brendon Santalab.

Brisbane put themselves under immense pressure in the first half at home to Sydney last week with a play out under all costs attitude costing them one goal and two other one on one’s. Sydney could have been out of sight before Thomas Kristensen showed his class to level things up just before the break. Once Jamie Maclaren was introduced at half time and Brett Holman returned to the midfield they looked a far better team and it is that formation we can expect on Friday night.

Key Statistics

 Stats per match (rank)WSWBRILge Avg
DefenceGoals Conceded2 (9)1.14 (2)1.5
Shots Faced4.6 (7)2.3 (1)4.1
Clean Sheets (total)0 (8)2 (3)1
Goals Conceded per Shots Faced0.44 (8)0.5 (9)0.38
AttackGF1.14 (6)1 (7)1.5
Shots On3.9 (4)3.9 (4)3.8
Goals per Shots on0.26 (6)0.26 (6)0.31
Passes per Goal404 (6)450 (9)327

Betting Strategy

Two very similarly matched offensive outfits but Brisbane are a clearly better defensive team. With WSW unable to turn Spotless stadium into the intimidating venue that was Pirtek Stadium I’m happy to oppose.

 LAY – Western Sydney up to 2.8 to risk 2 units

Sydney FC v Adelaide United

Saturday November 26, 7:50pm AEDT

Match Overview

Sydney were made to work for their point in Brisbane last week in a high-quality match. They lead the competition by 6 points and in this case the table doesn’t lie and they are clearly the best team. With a fully fit squad they goal scoring options all over the park (and on the bench).

Adelaide have been improving and were a shade unlucky not to get something from Perth. However, that has been the story of their season to date. Sergi Guardiola has been named but must still be in some doubt, they regain Henrique if he is ruled out but he will likely start on the bench. They have been a different team with Marcelo Carrusca playing 90 mins in the last 2 matches but they will have to improve again sharply to beat Sydney.

Key Statistics

 Stats per match (rank)SydAdelLge Avg
DefensiveGoals Conceded0.4 (1)1.9 (7)1.5
Shots Faced2.6 (2)3.7 (4)4.1
Clean Sheets (total)4 (1)0 (8)1
Goals Conceded per Shots Faced0.17 (1)0.5 (9)0.38
OffensiveGF2.6 (1)1 (7)1.5
Shots On5.6 (1)3.1 (8)3.8
Goals per Shots on0.44 (2)0.23 (9)0.31
Passes per Goal145 (1)425 (6)327

Betting Strategy

The stats display the variance between the teams. Sydney have yet to lose and Adelaide yet to win.

 BACK – Sydney to win at 1.50+ for 3 units

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