Western Sydney Wanderers v Melbourne Victory

Saturday April 8, 7:50pm AEST

Match Overview

Now that the Wanderers have broken their home ground hoodoo they are one of the form teams of the competition and after being in the battle for a top-six place not long ago they are now charging to a home final. They regain Brendan Santalab for the visit of the Victory after central defender Roberth Cornthwaite was the unlikely hero with two goals in a comfortable 3-0 win at Newcastle. One that we could call “clinical” not a word associated with the Wanderers for most of the season.

The Victory are in danger of falling apart. Since being all but locked in to second position they have been poor. Their defending at times has been simply chaotic and they now face the confident Wanderers without their best central defender Alan Baro. Coach Kevin Muscat will be aware they need to improve sharply with just two games before a home preliminary final to come.

Key Statistics (Rounds 20-25)

 Stats per match (rank)WanderersVictoryLge Avg
DefensiveGoals Conceded0.7 (2)1.2 (4)1.61
Shots Faced4 (3)5.2 (7)4.9
Clean Sheets (total)2 (2)1 (5)1.5
GC per SF0.17 (2)0.23 (4)0.32
OffensiveGF1.7 (5)1.5 (6)1.61
Shots On*5.7 (3)3.8 (7)4.6
S/On Conversion % *0.38 (3)0.39 (2)0.29

*Excl Penalties/Own Goals

Statistics Comment

Focusing purely on the last six rounds to get a feel for the teams coming into the finals series. Western Sydney are nearing the pinnacle of plenty of key factors. Victory on the other hand have been conceding far too many shots on target and not producing to the levels they were earlier in the season.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Western Sydney at 2.1+ for 3 units

Perth Glory v Brisbane Roar

Saturday April 8, 10:00pm AEST

Match Overview

Perth were OK in their 1-1 draw away to Adelaide last week although they were benefited by a penalty that never was to get on the scoresheet. The return of Rhys Williams and Rostyn Griffiths will add a much needed boost to a struggling defence. It is worth noting that both Alex Grant and Shane Lowry are still missing from the central defence which is a problem. They can still be lethal going forward but are, in recent weeks, far too reliant on Diego Castro.

Brisbane made a statement in the second half against the Mariners last week piling in five goals in the last 30 minutes. With Jamie Maclaren now scoring for fun they are another team that will be primed come the finals series.

Key Statistics (Rounds 20-25)

 Stats per match (rank)PerthBrisbaneLge Avg
DefensiveGoals Conceded2.2 (8)1.3 (5)1.61
Shots Faced4.5 (4)2.8 (2)4.9
Clean Sheets (total)1 (5)1 (5)1.5
GC per SF0.48 (10)0.47 (9)0.32
OffensiveGF1.5 (6)2.2 (3)1.61
Shots On*5 (4)6.2 (1)4.6
S/On Conversion % *0.27 (6)0.32 (5)0.29

*Excl Penalties/Own Goals

Statistics Comment

Focusing purely on the last six rounds to get a feel for the teams coming into the finals series. Perth are really struggling to keep the opposition out with an alarming 2.2 goals per match conceded in the last 6. Brisbane have really tightened up the defence conceding just 2.8 shots per match in the last six.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Brisbane at 2.4+ for 1.5 units


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