Central Coast Mariners v Adelaide United

Saturday March 25, 5:35pm AEDT

Match Overview

A big six-pointer in terms of the Wooden Spoon. The Mariners are coming off a 14-day break since losing 0-1 to Sydney. A game they were competitive in whilst never looking to have the necessary class to win the match. They are win-less in four matches after their run of three wins including against this weekend’s opponent. They have been performing well without much luck.

Adelaide escaped with a 96th minute win last week at home to the Roar thanks to the Michael Theo brain snap. They will be without Marcelo Carrusca who was a stand out for them last week however there is no doubt they are a better team with Baba Diawarra leading the front line and Isais is added to the squad although I doubt he will start.

Key Statistics

 Stats per match (rank)MarinersAdelaideLge Avg
DefensiveGoals Conceded1.9 (9)1.7 (6)1.49
Shots Faced6.5 (10)4.7 (5)4.6
Clean Sheets (total)3 (7)5 (4)5
GC per SF0.29 (3)0.37 (9)0.32
OffensiveGF1.1 (9)0.8 (10)1.55
Shots On*3 (10)3.2 (9)4.3
S/On Conversion % *0.13 (5)0.08 (10)0.29

*Excl Penalties/Own Goals

Statistics Comment

Adelaide have yet to win away from home this season drawing four and losing seven of their 11 matches. Both teams struggle to create opportunities and concede too many shots.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Central Coast to win at 2.4+ for 2 units

Perth Glory v Sydney FC

Sunday March 26, 7:00pm AEDT

Match Overview

Perth have been travelling well winning three and losing just one of their past six. The 1-4 loss to Victory last week was not as poor as it appears and they had plenty of chances particularly at 1-1 and 1-2 down. Their problem lies in defence with three central defenders out injured or on international duty.

Sydney may have been crowned Premiers before kick off if the Victory fail to beat Brisbane on Saturday night and as such may be a little down on commitment as they were in their pedestrian win over the Mariners. Sydney lose Ryan Grant and Danny Vukovic to international duty, with the latter replaced by Andrew Redmayne who is looking to re-establish himself after a poor spell at Western Sydney.

Key Statistics

 Stats per match (rank)PerthSydneyLge Avg
DefensiveGoals Conceded1.9 (10)0.5 (1)1.49
Shots Faced5 (7)3.2 (1)4.6
Clean Sheets (total)3 (7)13 (1)5
GC per SF0.38 (10)0.15 (1)0.32
OffensiveGF1.9 (3)2 (2)1.55
Shots On*4.6 (3)5.8 (1)4.3
S/On Conversion % *0.37 (2)0.32 (3)0.29

*Excl Penalties/Own Goals

Statistics Comment

Sydney are a different class defensively however don’t underestimate the part Vukovic has played in those numbers. Both are lethal going forward.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Over 3.5 goals at 2.0+ for 2 units

 BACK – Over 4.5 goals at 3.0+ for 1 unit


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