FEATURE RACE PREVIEW: INGLIS MILLENNIUM

Preview, speed map, runner-by-runner analysis, selections and betting strategy for the Inglis Millennium with Dean Evans of Winning Edge Investments. Your feature race preview is online now.


INGLIS MILLENNIUM

Distance: 1100m | Condition: 2YO Set Weights | Rail Position: True | Track Condition: Good 4

Light showers forecast for Thursday, Friday & Saturday, but the track should stay at a Good 4, and should race fairly on the wide expanses of Royal Randwick.

Won in recent years by the likes of Profiteer, Prime Star & Castelvecchio.


SPEED MAP

Should be plenty of speed on here. Sweet Ride, Athletica and Xtravagant Star all go quick early. Pomade, Calgary Stamepde, Boldinho, The Seven Seas, The Wizard King, El Padrino & Parios Dior will be jostling for handy/midfield positions. Zambezi River & Sejardan map to get a long way back.


KEY RUNNERS

1. Sejardan

Ran the 2nd quickest last 400m sectional of all triallers at Kensington 20 Sep 855 trial before winning the Breeder’s Plate impressively by 1.3L. Beat the handy Shalatin in the $1m Golden Gift at Rosehill. Maps to get a very long way back here, but did win both starts from the rear, and Castelcecchio won this race coming from last. Just ok in Warwick Farm 792m 20 Jan trial when 4th beaten 2.4L behind Ebhaar.

2. El Padrino

Was a fast finishing 2nd on debut at Cranbourne in Sat Metro grade, then won the $400k Inglis Nursery over 1000m here 11 Dec. Won Warwick Farm 792m 20 Jan trial by 0.5L in slowish time under little pressure. Maher/Kah combination.

3. Calgary Stampede

Settled 5th and hit the line well for 1L 3rd in strong Randwick 1045m 29 Oct trial (1st, 3rd & 4th all Sat Metro winners on debut). 1st horse Ebhaar was a black type winner on debut and is highly regarded, and 4th horse Russian Conquest was beaten a nose in the Magic Millions. Won nicely at Rosehill on debut, then a solid 2nd in the $400k Inglis Nursery last start. Overraced then had a quiet Randwick 24 Jan trial 5th beaten 2.5L.

5. Athletica

Won Randwick 780m Nov 11 trial by 4.5L +1.4, quickest of 5 trials on the day. Won nicely on debut at Newcastle then led and a solid 3rd in the $400k Inglis Nursery here. Just ok when 4th beaten 2L in Randwick 24 Jan 743m trial +2.7.

6. Boldinho

Ran a close 2nd to Ebhaar in Listed grade on debut at Caulfield, then started a strong favourite and was unlucky when 4th in the Inglis Nursery here. Ran a closing 3rd beaten 1.3L in strong Warwick Farm 792m 20 Jan trial. The 2nd horse Queen Of The Ball bolted in at G3 level last week and 4th horse Shalatin looks high quality also.

8. Zambezi River  

Slow to get going, hugged the rail, finished through the middle and finished solidly for 2nd beaten 1.8L -3.9 LS -0.6 (11th quickest last 600m) in Kensington 855m 20 Sep trial. Was an unlucky 2nd on debut in the Breeders Stakes, arguably should have won. Has had two quiet trials in prep for this.

14. Paris Dior

Ran a strong finishing 2nd behind Miss Hellfire (Sat Metro winner, Magic Millions Wyong Classic placegetter) in Randwick 7 Dec 740m trial, running the 6th quickest last 200m sectional of the day. Was an unlucky 2nd on debut to the handy Man In The Mirror, then bolted in next start at Canterbury running the quickest last 200m sectional of the night. J Mac sticks with her.


SUMMARY

Looks to be plenty of speed on here early. Paris Dior has run very strong late sectionals in her trials and races so rates as the one to beat here. Athletica & Calgary Stampede have both trialled well previously, were solid in the Inglis Nursery and are 25/1+. Saving on the Maher/Eustace pair of El Padrino & Boldinho.


TOP 5 SELECTIONS

14. Paris Dior
5. Athletica
3. Calgary Stampede
2. El Padrino
6. Boldinho


Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) — Paris Dior for 1.8 units

BACK (WIN) — Athletica for 0.3 units

BACK (WIN) — Calgary Stampede for 0.3 units

BACK (WIN) — El Padrino for 0.3 units

BACK (WIN) — Boldinho for 0.3 units


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