FEATURE RACE PREVIEW: C.F. ORR STAKES

Your feature race preview is online now. Preview, speed map, race analysis, tips & betting strategy for the C.F. Orr at Caulfield with Dean Evans of Winning Edge Investments. Only on the Betfair Hub.

C.F. ORR STAKES

Track: Caulfield | Distance: 1400m | Condition: Weight-for-age | Rail Position: True | Track Condition: Good 4 | Prizemoney: $750,000

No rain forecast. 30 degrees forecast for Saturday. Track could be hard and a Good 3 by the time this race comes around. Will need to watch carefully for whether the track is favouring on pace and/or the fence. On pacers generally dominate black type 1400m races at Caulfield on good tracks.

Won in recent years by the likes of Hartnell, Black Heart Bart, Dissident & All Too Hard.

7 of the past 10 winners of the race settled in the first 4.

1st up (3), 2nd up (7)


SPEED MAP

Average speed predicted here. Lightsaber should lead comfortably. Tofane, Lighthouse and Behemoth are likely to take handy positions. Just Folk, Sinawanna, Sierra Sue, Secret Blake will be midfield. I’m Thunderstruck, Wild Planet, Inspirational Girl & Cascadian will be out the back.


KEY RUNNERS

1. I’m Thunderstruck

Star 4yo with 6 wins and 2 placings from 9 starts. Was an unlucky 3rd in the G1 Sir Rupert Clarke last prep before winning the Toorak Handicap & the Golden Eagle. Will get a long way back here, and faces WFA for the first time.

3. Behemoth

Has won 3 1400m G1 races this track/distance. Maps nicely here stalking the leaders, J Kah aboard and looks a strong chance.

7. Sinawann

Import with strong Group class Irish form. Won the G3 Kevin Heffernan last prep running +14.7 last 800m, the 2nd best of the day. Was a huge run first up for 2nd behind Marabi after being slow away and circling the field. Is the knockout hope.

8. Tofane

Consistent multiple G1 winning mare who races well in the Spring. Maps in the right spot here.

9. Sierra Sue

Underrated mare. Has had two runs this track/distance for 2 wins, at G2 and G1 level. Meets a stronger field here but isn’t out of it.

10. Inspirational Girl

Quality G1 winning mare from Perth. Having 2nd in in Victoria. Will be hitting the line hard for further, but will find a few too nippy.

11. Lighthouse

Won 4 straight but wasn’t good enough last start when 2nd this track/distance in Listed grade. Can never discount the stable entirely, but this is a jump in grade. Place.

12. Lightsaber

Handy 3yo colt who won at G3 level this track/trip last prep. Was a solid 4th first up over 1200m. Always improves up to 1400m. Class jump here however.


SUMMARY

Behemoth appears the most suited by the map & the race shape. Rates clearly on top. Sinawann and Sierra Sue are the dangers. If they are swooping on the day then I’m Thunderstruck comes into calculations. Tofane some hope if wound up.


TOP 5 SELECTIONS

3. Behemoth

7.  Sinawann

9. Sierra Sue

1. I’m Thunderstruck

8. Tofane


BETTING STRATEGY

BACK (WIN) — Behemoth for 1 unit


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