2022 AUSTRALIAN OPEN SEMI FINALS: EXPERT BETTING TIPS – DAY 12

Find expert betting tips and strategy for every match of the Semi Finals of the 2022 Australian Open with Betfair’s tennis analyst and pro punter Ace. His full match previews are online now.


It was a round full of one-sided wins (Collins, Barty, Tsitsipas and Keys) and long, drawn-out affairs (Medvedev, Nadal, Berrettini and Swiatek). Nadal and Berrettini looked to suffer the most in their wins, however have been aided by the extra day recovery before the semi final. Collins and Keys were dominant in the heat of the afternoon, but will the semi final matches at night impact their play?


Both players used their experience edge to their advantage in their respective fifth sets last round, having both previously given up a 2 sets to 0 lead. Both looked to be struggling with physical ailments, however Nadal did note it was more stomach based compared to muscular.

Berrettini needs to serve exceptionally well here to be a threat, given Nadal’s high IQ tennis and ability to target the backhand aggressively as a left hander. 3-1 set betting looks to be value if you like Nadal here, or the -3.5.

Betting Strategy

BACK: Nadal 3-1 set betting (0.5 units recorded at $4)


Tsitsipas would have been cheering incredibly hard for Felix Auger-Aliassime to finish off Medvedev the other night, but it was not to be. Tsitsipas looked great in the afternoon heat, however another night session here, and Medvedev coming off the momentum of his performance late against FAA, looks to be a tough task. Happy to edge up to -4.5 games for the Russian here for plus money.

Betting Strategy

BACK: Medvedev -4.5 games (1 unit recorded at $2.20)

Click here to access the Tsitsipas vs Medvedev Handicap markets.


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