2022 AUSTRALIAN OPEN ROUND 4: EXPERT BETTING TIPS – DAY 7

Find expert betting tips and strategy for select games across Round 4 of the 2022 Australian Open with Betfair’s tennis analyst and pro punter Ace. His full game previews are online now.


FOURTH ROUND PREVIEW AND TIPS

BEST BACK OF THE DAY: Monfils -5.5 games vs Kecmanovic (2 units recorded at $1.88)

BEST LAY OF THE DAY: Zverev vs Shapovalov (liability 1.25 units to return 5.2 units)


Zverev looks to be a little short in this match-up, which will largely come down to who can take advantage of their opportunities. Shapovalov looked far more settled in his win against Opelka, and will take confidence from his more recent efforts versus Zverev. Value down to $3.50.

Betting Strategy

 LAY: Zverev (liability 1.25 units to return 5.2 units)


Kecmanovic has taken advantage of Novak’s departure through the first week, however this is a step up. Monfils is yet to drop a set, and outside of a slight injury concern early vs Garin, has looked as consistent as I have ever seen from him. Great value at the -5.5 games here in what is a massive step up in opposition quality for Kecmanovic.

Betting Strategy

BACK: Monfils -5.5 games (2 units recorded at $1.88)

Click here to access Handicap market for Monfils vs Kecmanovic.


Keys’ struggles against Wang yesterday have led to what seems to be a better value price today against Badosa. Both players had strong lead-in form, however this is the first time in recent memory that Badosa will have a lot less control over a large percentage of point outcomes given the power of Keys.

Betting Strategy

BACK: Keys to win (1.25 units recorded at $2.60)


I don’t think the form of Sakkari is quite matching the perceived scoreboard dominance we are seeing from her on paper. Pegula should enjoy the lively conditions in the heat, having come off a strong second set performance against Parrizas-Diaz in particular. Sakkari the deserving favourite, however I think we are getting a game more than we should be in the handicap market.

Betting Strategy

BACK: Pegula +3.5 games (1 unit recorded at $1.97)

Click here to access Handicap market for Pegula vs Sakkari.


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