2022 AUSTRALIAN OPEN ROUND 3: EXPERT BETTING TIPS – DAY 5

Find expert betting tips and strategy for select games across Round 3 of the 2022 Australian Open with Betfair’s tennis analyst and pro punter Ace. His full game previews are online now.


BEST BACK OF THE DAY: Pablo Carreno Busta (1 unit recorded at $1.77)

BEST LAY OF THE DAY: Rafael Nadal at $1.22 (liability 2.2 units to profit 10 units)


Rafael Nadal is far too short based on what he has delivered in Melbourne this month. Khachanov has flown largely under the radar, having lost two the Adelaide 1 winner (Monfils) and Adelaide 2 runner-up (Rinderknech) in the lead-up. Later night conditions suit Khachanov in what is Nadal’s first test of the AO.

Betting Strategy

BACK: Nadal at $1.22 (liability 2.2 units to profit 10 units)

Click here for the full Khachanov vs Nadal market on the Betfair Exchange.


Korda looked incredibly sluggish in round 2 vs Moutet, perhaps struggling to back up for his second match out of quarantine. Took just under 5 hours to defeat Moutet, and now faces an experienced campaigner in Carreno-Busta. Like PCB here, although at reduced staking coming of his own 5-setter.

Betting Strategy

BACK: Carreno Busta (1 unit recorded at $1.77)

Click here for the full Korda vs Carreno-Busta market on the Betfair Exchange.


Last time these two played, Azarenka dominated 6-2 6-4 whilst dealing with injury. Azarenka has looked dominant through the early rounds, with Svitolina finding herself in precarious positions against Ferro and Tan in sets. Like Azarenka 2-0.

Betting Strategy

BACK: Azarenka 2-0 set betting (1 unit recorded at $2)

Click here for the full Azarenka vs Svitolina set market on the Betfair Exchange.


Whilst I think Krejcikova should progress here, I am anticipating a run from Ostapenko at some stage throughout this match. Ostapenko has looked solid without being exceptional this year, however finished strong vs Riske and relishes taking on the big names. Happy to take an overs bet here and half a unit on Ostapenko on the moneyline.

Betting Strategy

BACK: Total Games over 20.5 (1 unit recorded at $2.02)

BACK: Ostapenko (0.5 units recorded at $4)

Click here to access Ostapenko v Krejcikova Total Games market.


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