2022 AUSTRALIAN OPEN ROUND 2: EXPERT BETTING TIPS – DAY 3

Find expert betting tips and strategy for select games across Round 2 of the 2022 Australian Open with Betfair’s tennis analyst and pro punter Ace. His full game previews are online now.


BEST BACK OF THE DAY:  | Madison Keys vs Jaqueline Cristian | BACK: Total Games Under 19.5 

Click here to access Keys vs Cristian total games markets.

BEST LAY OF THE DAY: Cristian Garin vs Pedro Martinez LAY (WIN): Cristian Garin 

Click here to access Garin vs Martinez markets.

BEST BACK-TO-LAY   OF THE DAY: John Millman v Alexander Zverev (see strategy below)

Click here to access John Millman vs Alexander Zverev markets.


My preference to back Koepfer comes when backing players where he can use his opponent’s pace for his own good. Koepfer has won the last 7 sets vs Opelka across grass/clay/hard, and Opelka will know it. Worth a play with the 3.5 game headstart.

Betting Strategy

BACK: Koepfer +3.5 games (1 unit recorded at $1.98)

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There wasn’t a lot of positives to come out of the first round win of Garin against Bagnis, needing 5 sets to get the job done. Martinez was the better player for 85% of the match with Delbonis, finishing off strongly after an early medical timeout. Garin a lay at the current quote.

Betting Strategy

LAY: Cristian Garin (risk 1 unit to win 1.06 units)

Click here to access Garin vs Martinez markets.


Keys got through a very tricky match-up with Sofia Kenin on the back-up from her Adelaide title. The day off will help here, and I don’t see Cristian having the right mix of power and movement to be a threat against Keys in these conditions.

Betting Strategy

BACK: Total Games under 19.5 (1 unit recorded at $1.93)

Click here to access Keys vs Cristian total games markets.


Zanevska was very lucky to get through in straight sets against Juvan, who was coming into the match under an injury cloud. Parrizas-Diaz for mine has looked the more comfortable in the Melbourne conditions, and responded well to a late change of opposition in round 1. Won’t generate the same number of UE’s as Juvan. Value at $2.

Betting Strategy

BACK: Parrizas-Diaz to win (1 unit recorded at $2.00)

Click here to access Parrizas-Diaz vs Zanevska markets.


Whilst Alexander Zverev should be a commanding favourite, I am not so sure that John Millman should be odds above $15. Millman with nothing to lose is dangerous, just ask Roger Federer last time Millman was on RLA night session. Looks a solid back-to-lay given Millman’s success at taking sets off Zverev.

Betting Strategy

BACK TO LAY: John Millman

Step 1) Risk 1 unit at odds $15 or above (odds $20 at time of writing)
Step 2) If step 1 is matched, set up LAY bet at $4 for a stake of 1.5 units (liability 4.5 units) and set to KEEP IN PLAY

Click here to access John Millman vs Alexander Zverev markets.


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