2018 Wimbledon Predictions: Your Daily Analysis

Form Labs search their extensive database to provide us with their 2018 Wimbledon predictions. You can expect exclusive tips every day, all the way through to the finals. For the Men’s and Women’s draws.

Kevin Anderson v Novak Djokovic

Kevin Anderson came through the second longest Grand Slam match of all time to reach his first Wimbledon final and he’ll have to recover quickly as he faces a three-time champion in Novak Djokovic across the net.

Anderson will move into the top five in the world on Monday and this is his second Grand Slam final in the last year after being runner-up at the US Open. However, while he came through the softest of draws to make the final in New York he’s been taken to the limits here. After a testing 3.5 hour fourth round against Gael Monfils he came back from 2-0 and match point down against Roger Federer to win 13-11 in the fifth set after four and a quarter hours. However, that was nothing compared to his epic semi-final against John Isner that lasted more than six and a half hours.

While that was still several hours short of Isner-Mahut its worth noting what happened to Isner in his next match after that win. Against the little known Thiemo de Bakker, he lost the opening set 6-0 on the way to a straight-sets loss as his average service speed fell by 16 km/h and he failed to serve a single ace. If Anderson has any sort of fatigue in his serving arm then this match will be over very quickly.

Of course, Djokovic has had to come through an epic of his own after beating Nadal in a semi-final that lasted more than five hours. However, while he’ll not get a rest day the fact his semi was split in half should lessen the after-effects.

Anderson has lost 11 of his 13 finals since 2013, including losing all nine when the underdog of which the last five have all been straight-sets defeats. The last meeting between these two came three years ago at Wimbledon when Djokovic came back from losing the first two sets on tie-breaks to win, and he’s won all of their last five meetings with the previous four all coming in straight sets as the quality of his returning has negated Anderson’s strengths.

This is Djokovic’s 22nd Grand Slam final and marks a real return to form for one of the all-time greats. He’s already got 12 majors to his name and a true measure of his brilliance is that 11 of those have been won against Federer, Nadal or Murray in the final. He’s only ever won two in straight sets but he’s never been more fancied than here, and across all tournaments, he’s won nine of his last 10 finals when starting at shorter than 1.3 with eight wins in straight sets. This looks a match too far for Anderson and after the drama of the semi-finals could prove somewhat anti-climactic but the 3-0 should at least make for a profitable affair.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Djokovic to Win 3-0 at $2

Kevin Anderson v John Isner

It was a story of underdogs on the second Wednesday at Wimbledon, with Kevin Anderson defeating the tournament favourite Roger Federer in five sets, while John Isner made it through to his first ever Grand Slam semi-final, beating the previous finalist here Milos Raonic in four sets. It has been an unpredictable tournament with Anderson and Isner at 50/1 and 80/1 respectively to be in the final before the tournament. Isner, at the age of 33, seems to have found the best form of his career, and he’s yet to be broken at SW19 this year, giving his opponents just seven break point opportunities over his first five matches. That success has been down to his huge serve, with an outstanding 76% accuracy on his first serve, the highest percentage in the whole tournament, contributing to 160 aces.

The best angle for this match is to look for tie-breaks given that 12 of their last 18 sets against one another have gone to one and when Isner has been at the odds of 1.8 to 2.2 to win since 2016, 24 of his 40 sets that could go to tie-breaks have done. Factoring in his opponent and the speed of the surface, the tie-break is even more likely and when looking at their records in them this year, Anderson has won 20 of his 31 while the American has won an inferior 55% of his 42, so we fancy Anderson to take the first set in a deciding 13th game.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – 1st Set Score 7-6 Kevin Anderson at $2.70

Novak Djokovic v Rafael Nadal

Novak Djokovic was the initial favourite for this match following some impressive performances to reach the semi-finals, but there’s very little to split the pair in the betting. However, the Serbian has only won 23 of his 32 matches this year, while against the current top 10 he’s lost three of his four in this time. One of those losses saw him have match point in the Queens final against Marin Cilic, before mentally defeating himself and going on to lose, while his only victory came against Grigor Dimitrov whose been having his own problems of late. Rafa meanwhile, has won all his 18 Slam matches this year (excluding retirements) and looks to have found a similar vein of form to that of 2010 when he last won here.

Nadal leads the head to heads between the two in Grand Slams, winning 8 of their 12 encounters, as well as being victorious in their only meeting this year just two months ago in Rome, winning in straight sets. Moreover, Novak has lost eight of his last 11 matches at odds of greater than 1.9 since 2011, with Rafa inflicting all eight of these losses and given the Spaniard has won eight of his nine matches with the current top 10 this year, we think he should be the favourite.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Rafael Nadal to Win at $1.97

Jelena Ostapenko v Angelique Kerber

Jelena Ostapenko and Angelique Kerber have never faced each other in their careers and it looks set to be an interesting matchup of attack versus defence. Ostapenko ranked 12th in the world has certainly had the easier draw of the two to make this semi-final, having only faced players outside the top 30, with a straight-sets win over Cibulkova in her last match her toughest test yet. The Latvian can be erratic at times, but when she’s on her game she can beat anyone in the world, as she proved when storming through to win the French Open last year.

Kerber has beaten dangerous opponents in Naomi Osaka, Belinda Bencic and Darya Kasatkina in straight sets on her route to this stage and is the deserved favourite. She reached the final at the All England Club in 2016, when she also won the Australian and US Open, and this is arguably her best surface as this is the third time she’s reached this stage here. However, she’s looked a little nervy closing out her last couple of matches to win in straight sets and against the Latvian’s fearless hitting this promises to be a tight affair. 10 of Kerber’s last 19 Grand Slam matches when priced at 1.5-2.0 to win have gone the distance, including a semi-final with Simona Halep at this year’s Australian Open, while five of Ostapenko’s seven Grand Slam matches since 2017 when starting as an underdog have also gone to a third set.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – 3 Sets at $2.60

Julia Goerges v Serena Williams

The 13th seed Julia Goerges has made her way to her first ever Grand Slam semi-final. It hasn’t all been plain sailing for the German however, fighting through a 40-game thriller against Barbora Strycova in her third round, while she also needed a third set to see off an anxious Kiki Bertens in the quarters. Prior to this Championship, Goerges had been defeated in the first round in all her previous five attempts here and although she look set to climb into the world’s top 10 following this tournament we can’t see her causing an upset against Serena Williams. The American has won all the last three meetings between the two, including a 6-3, 6-4 victory at Roland Garros just a month ago and on her favoured surface will be too much for the 13th seed yet again.

Serena had to dig deep in her last match to secure her semi-final spot having gone a set down to the powerful Camila Giorgi, but she found a way through and seems to be growing in confidence and ability with every match. She has now won 15 of her last 17 Grand Slam semi-finals, with 14 of those wins coming in straight sets and so we’ll back the 2-0.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Serena Williams 2-0 at $1.83

Milos Raonic v John Isner

These two players are the biggest servers at this year’s Wimbledon Championships, with them ranked the top two for both service speed and number of aces. With that in mind it’s hard to see either player breaking serve, especially given the current hot weather and second week court conditions that will make the surface harder and faster. Milos Raonic served his way through his last match, containing his opponent to no break point opportunities throughout, while Isner hasn’t yet been broken in any match.

In each of the last two meetings between these players, every set has gone to a tie-break, while seven of their total nine sets in their careers have gone to a deciding 13th game. Interestingly, Raonic has had a first set tie-break in two of his last three matches, while Isner at the All England Club has had 35 tie-breaks from his 20 matches since 2011, including two from his three sets against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the last round.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – 1st Set Tie Break – Yes at $1.50

Roger Federer v Kevin Anderson

Kevin Anderson has put in some impressive performances so far, beating top 50 ranked players Andreas Seppi, Philipp Kohlschreiber and Gael Monfils to reach the quarter-finals. That said, he doesn’t have a favourable record against the GOAT, losing all four of their matches in straight sets and against the current top 10 ranked players, he’s lost nine of his last 11 matches since the start of last year. Moreover, the only top 10 player he defeated in this time was Dominic Thiem and he’s only managed to win one set across the other eight matches, which doesn’t fill you with confidence when taking on the tournament favourite.

Roger Federer has now won all his last 11 matches at the All England Club in straight sets, including both his two matches in this time against the current top 10 ranked players. Anderson will certainly be the nervier of the two players, as he’s never made it as far as the second Wednesday at SW19 and although he’s reached one Grand Slam final before, the combination of playing against the top seed and being at the home of tennis will provide that extra bit of pressure.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Roger Federer to Win 3-0 at $1.68

Novak Djokovic v Kei Nishikori

We nearly saw a repeat of last year when Djokovic heavily criticised Wimbledon for making him play his fourth round match a day after the rest of the field. Fortunately for both him and Wimbledon he did manage to get on court and whitewash Karen Khachanov before light interrupted play.

Kei Nishikori has finally broken his bogey fourth round, having never made it past that stage and being falling at that point in both 2016 and 2014. The difference this time has possibly been his favourable draw as he’s played three players outside the top 135 rankings while his only testing opponent was Nick Kyrgios, who crumbled under the pressure and the temperamental Aussie played nowhere near his ability, losing 6-0, 7-6, 6-4. The toughest test for Nishikori will be overcoming the mental advantage that his Serbian opponent has over him, winning 13 of their 15 head to head matches, including all their 10 matches since the start of 2015. To top that off, of those 10 defeats he only managed to win three sets across all of them, while when Djokovic has been at the odds of 1.2 or shorter he’s won all his last 12 matches on this surface since the start of last year.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Novak Djokovic to Win 3-0 at $2.06

Rafael Nadal v Juan Martin Del Potro

Juan Martin del Potro has finally risen back to the top of the tennis rankings after a successful run of reaching the semi-finals in two of the last three Grand Slams. In fact, Del Potro has won two of the last three meetings between these two when excluding matches on clay, while two of these saw them both win at least one set. Overall, Nadal has won seven of the 12 career matches between the two when excluding clay, but very few of these have been a stroll for the Spaniard, especially in Grand Slams, as both his two wins on the biggest stages have come in four sets while the Argentine also has a win of his own.

Del Potro, when facing the current top 10 ranked players, has seen more than three sets in four of his six completed Grand Slam matches since the start of 2016, while he’s won four of these. What’s more, his three Grand Slam matches on hard or grass when at least 3.2 to win since 2013 (one each against Federer, Nadal and Djokovic) have all seen more than three sets and given both players form this year we expect this to go the whole way.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Over 3.5 Sets at $1.61

Dominika Cibulkova v Jelena Ostapenko

Cibulkova has won both her previous matches against Ostapenko, once in 2016 on grass and then again last year on hard. Ostapenko is a former junior champion here and has produced a bagel in each of her last two matches, however the highest ranked opponent she’s faced was 45th ranked Kirsten Flipkens and prior to this fortnight she’s failed to reach her designated seeding at any of her last five events.

Cibulkova had fallen down the rankings to the point where she was not even seeded for this tournament after Serena Williams was controversially elevated above her. However, she’s shown signs of improvement of late as she reached the final in Strasbourg just before the French Open and she has pedigree on grass. This is her third quarter-final appearance here, while she’s a former champion at Eastbourne, and most of her success has come on fast surfaces as she won the end-of-season Tour Finals on indoor-hard in 2016. Moreover, she’s already beaten Jo Konta and Elise Mertens quite comfortably as an underdog here and since 2016 she’s won five of her seven matches on grass when the less fancied player.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Cibulkova to Win at $2.20

Angelique Kerber v Darya Kasatkina

These two met a few weeks ago in the quarter-finals at Eastbourne with Kerber prevailing 7-6 in a deciding set. However, they’re tied 3-3 overall and the young Russian thrashed Kerber 6-0 6-2 at Indian Wells in March so this could be closer than expected.
Angelique Kerber is the highest remaining seed left and she reached the final here two years ago while this is her fourth Wimbledon quarter-final. However, Kasatkina’s style is likely to give her problems as she prefers to counter-punch against the harder hitters while the Russian will play with far more subtlety.

Half of Kerber’s last 10 matches have gone the distance, including three of four against the current top 25. Meanwhile, Kasatkina has had five three-setters in her nine matches on grass since the French Open and half her last eight matches when starting as the underdog have also gone the distance, so that looks the best bet with the favourite a touch on the short side.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Three Sets at $2.70

Kiki Bertens v Julia Goerges

Kiki Bertens has knocked out two top-10 seeds to reach this point – beating Venus Williams and Karolina Pliskova in the last two rounds – and her huge serve is proving a formidable weapon. Only one player has more aces in this tournament and that is Goerges, so breaks of serve are likely to be at a premium.

With sets likely to be close we could easily see this match go the distance. Eight of Bertens’ last 15 matches have gone to a third set while her last four against the current top 25 have averaged 29 games each. Five of Goerges’ last 12 matches have gone to a deciding set, as have half her last 12 when a narrow favourite priced 1.6-2.0.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Three Sets at $2.50

Serena Williams v Camila Giorgi

Kiki Bertens has knocked out two top-10 seeds to reach this point – beating Venus Williams and Karolina Pliskova in the last two rounds – and her huge serve is proving a formidable weapon. Only one player has more aces in this tournament and that is Goerges, so breaks of serve are likely to be at a premium.

With sets likely to be close we could easily see this match go the distance. Eight of Bertens’ last 15 matches have gone to a third set while her last four against the current top 25 have averaged 29 games each. Five of Goerges’ last 12 matches have gone to a deciding set, as have half her last 12 when a narrow favourite priced 1.6-2.0.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Giorgi +5.5 at $1.80

Juan Martin Del Potro v Gilles Simon

Juan Martin del Potro will be very confident for his next match as he has found the sort of form that saw him reach the semi-final here five years ago. During that run in 2013, he won 3-0 in his first four matches and he’s yet to drop a set this year. He comes up against Gilles Simon who has made it to the quarters here before, however, other than that one successful year he’s failed to advance past the fourth round in any of his other 12 attempts.

The Frenchmen has had an easy draw on his route to this last 16 tie with none of his opposition faced so far ranked inside the world’s top 50. del Potro is ranked inside the top 10 and he’s lost his last three against such players while winning just one set in the process

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Juan Martin Del Potro to Win 3-0 at $1.83

Gael Monfils v Kevin Anderson

Gael Monfils has played some scintillation and entertaining tennis to make it to the fourth round of Wimbledon for the first time. However, he is up against it to reach the quarters with the formidable Kevin Anderson his opponent. The South African will be confident of getting the win, as he’s won 10 of his last 15 Grand Slam matches against the current top 50 ranked players, although only three of theses were in straight sets so we expect it to be a tight battle.

With a bigger serve and a game more suited to grass we’re leaning towards Anderson, but in five sets, as Monfils has gone the distance in his last four defeats here.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Anderson to Win 3-2 at $6.50

Ashleigh Barty v Daria Kasatkina

Ashleigh Barty hasn’t been properly tested at SW19 this year, having played low ranked Stefanie Voegele (93rd) and Eugenie Bouchard (188th) so far on her route to the third round. In the build-up to this competition she was impressive, winning eight of her 10 grass court matches, but at the current prices her young opponent does look appealing and is a step up from any of Barty’s recent opponents. Kasatkina has won four of her last five on this surface, only losing to the current 3rd favourite to lift the trophy, Angelique Kerber, in a deciding set tie-break.

Barty has a huge reliance on her slice backhand, but it did look venerable against Bouchard with the Canadian having multiple opportunities to take the 17th seed to a third set, while she appeared nervous when trying to serve out both sets. Furthermore, although grass is probably her best surface this is the first time Barty has been past the first round here and she’s never been past the third round at any Grand Slam. Kasatkina has been a revelation this season and has come through her first two matches with ease. The 21-year-old Russian has been priced between 2.3 and 3.5 nine times in 2018 and she’s won six of those matches, with only one defeat in straight sets, as she’s been consistently underrated. Furthermore, she’s shown potential on grass as she took Venus Williams to 10-8 in the third set in a third-round meeting here on her debut in 2016. Moreover, Barty has lost all her five matches to opponents ranked above her this year, four of which have been in straight sets, so we like the look of an upset.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Daria Kasatkina Win at $2.7

Karen Khachanov v Frances Tiafoe

This NextGen clash features two of the best young players on tour and promises to be an intriguing contest. Khachanov has the power to be a real threat on this surface and his greater experience justifies his favouritism. However, Tiafoe has improved rapidly over the last 12 months and looks to have a determined approach that suggests we could be in for a lengthy contest.

Khachanov’s first two matches have averaged 47 games while just seven of his 20 Grand Slam matches have been settled in straight sets and two of those were against Murray and Nadal. Furthermore, four of his five Wimbledon matches have seen at least 41 games and all five have featured at least one tie-break.

Tiafoe recovered from losing the opening set last time out to dominate the rest of his match with Julien Benneteau and record a second 3-1 success in a row. Three of his 11 Grand Slam matches since 2016 have gone the distance, including a classic with Roger Federer at last year’s US Open. Furthermore, when excluding matches against top-12 seeds in this sample, then six of his seven Slam matches have gone to at least four sets and this looks set to follow suit.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Total Games – Over 41.5 at $2.0

Sam Querrey v Gael Monfils

Gael Monfils may win over the crowd, but it is his inability to play the percentage shot when it really matters that has let the talented Frenchman down over the years. He beat his fellow countryman Gasquet in straight sets in his opener, but the former semi-finalist here is a declining force and Sam Querrey will be at a completely different level. The American made it to the quarter-final of Queens before losing to the eventual winner Marin Cilic, while his recent record at this tournament is very impressive, reaching the semi-final last year and the quarters the year before that.

Monfils doesn’t quite have the same CV at SW19, failing to advance past the third round in all his 10 attempts and we can’t see that changing this year. The Frenchman has lost four of his last five Grand Slam matches against the current top 25 players, only beating Kyle Edmund who was ranked 50th at the time. Moreover, when he’s been at over 2.5 odds to win, he has lost 13 of his 15 matches since the start of 2016.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Sam Querrey to Win at $1.57

Kristina Mladenovic v Serena Williams

Kristina Mladenovic eased past Tatjana Maria in the second round in straight sets which certainly surprised us. However, she comes up against Serena Williams in this next match, who looked to have found her feet at this tournament against Viktoriya Tomova, moving much more freely compared to her opening round and winning 6-1, 6-4. Since the start of 2015 the seven-time Wimbledon champion has only dropped three sets from her 16 straight wins here, and with the only slight question mark being her fitness we fancy the 25th seed to get things done as quickly as possible.

Furthermore, both here and at the French Open this year, the former world number one remains unbeaten from her five matches, only dropping one set across all of them. Meanwhile, Mladenovic has never made it past this stage in seven attempts at the All England Club and against the current top 25 in the world she’s lost all her last four matches, only winning one set across them.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Serena Williams to Win 2-0 at $1.80

Bernard Tomic v Kei Nishikori

Kei Nishikori made difficult work of his opening round match with Christian Harrison, taking it to four sets, but he should be back to firing on all cylinders for this game with Bernard Tomic. The Australian has an awful attitude, that got him in trouble in the opening round here a year ago as he received a hefty fine for his antics. Tomic did reach the Ricoh Open semi-final last month and has some impressive history at SW19, but it is exactly that and up against the 28th seed we don’t see him causing an upset. He’s only in the draw as a lucky loser, having been heavily beaten in qualifying, and he’d lost in qualifying or the first round in each of his five Slams prior to this. Furthermore, when priced at 2.5 or greater he’s lost each of his last 10 matches with at least one 6-2 or worse set against his name in eight of those.

Nishikori has reached at least the third round in five of his last six Wimbledon runs, while the only time he failed to do so was through him pulling out through injury in 2015. He should be too talented for Tomic who although is just 25 looks as though his best days are behind him.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Kei Nishikori -3.5 Games Handicap at $1.9

Damir Dzumhur v Ernests Gulbis

Gulbis came through in five sets against the British wild card Jay Clarke in his opening round match. This encounter is going to be a much tougher test against the 23rd ranked Dzumhur, who recently won the Antalya Cup on grass and has covered this -3.5 handicap in all his last four matches against Pierre-Hughes Herbert, Jiri Vesely and Adrian Mannarino. Moreover, he also covered this mark against the talented young Maximilian Marterer in his opening round match here who has been in superb form, reaching the third and forth round of the Australian and French Open respectively.

Gulbis managed to beat del Potro last year at the All England Club, but other than that he’s lost all his 11 matches against the current top 25 ranked players since the start of 2016, while he failed to cover the handicap in eight of these, including all his last five against players currently ranked between 15th and 25th. Furthermore, his general record here is poor as he’s got a best performance of two third round showings in his 10 previous visits.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Damir Dzumhur -3.5 Handicap at $1.8

Ekaterina Makarova v Caroline Wozniacki

These two players have played each other a total of nine times and Wozniacki has dominated, winning eight of them while six have been in straight sets. The Dane is in the form of her life having won her first Slam earlier this year and comes up against Ekaterina Makarova who has recently lost in the first round of both the Birmingham and Eastbourne Opens to unseeded players. In fact, when playing the current top 25 players she’s lost all her last seven matches on all surfaces, while only one of these was taken to three sets.

Makarova is a previous quarter finalist at Wimbledon, but she hasn’t made any impression on the tour this season, failing to get past the second round at any tournament. Wozniacki however, recently won the Eastbourne Open and with that has now won 13 of her last 15 grass court matches since the start of last year, only losing to Karoline Pliskova and Coco Vandeweghe in that time who were both at the tops of their games and she should breeze past the Russian who has now dropped down as far as 88th in the WTA Race Rankings.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Wozniacki to Win 2-0 at $1.44

John Isner v Ruben Bemelmans

Bemelmans managed battle his way through a brutal five setter in his opening round against Steve Johnston, lasting nearly four hours. Although he has a day off he also came through qualification and will certainly be feeling fatigued for his next match with the Wimbledon ninth seed John Isner, who eased past his opponent Yannick Maden 3-0 and when the American has been 1.6 or shorter to win, he’s won in straight sets in all his last five grass court matches, while he’s also done this in seven of his last eight Wimbledon matches since the start of the 2014 competition.

Bemelmans went through a similar tough five setter against Daniil Medvedev at this tournament last year before having to come up against another big server in Kevin Anderson in the next round that he lost in straight sets. Moreover, Ruben Bemelmans on this surface has only beaten one current top 50 player in his career from eight attempts, losing in straight sets in five of these. The 104th rank has recently lost in the opening round of qualifying at both Stuttgart and Halle while he’s failed to progress past the opening round in four of his last five attempts at the All-England Club, so we fancy Isner to get the job done with ease.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – John Isner to Win 3-0 at $2.25

Dominic Thiem v Marcos Baghdatis

Dominic Thiem much prefers clay to grass but he’s been dealt a kind draw to get a good start at SW19. His opponent hasn’t won a competitive set of tennis since March as he’s been beaten in straight sets in his last six tournaments including a 2-0 loss to Blaz Kavcic in the first round of Antalya on grass. The Cypriot turned 33 a couple of weeks ago and his best days are long behind him.

While this isn’t Thiem’s best surface he reached the Last 16 here last year as he dropped just one set in his opening three rounds against Pospisil, Simon and Donaldson. The World Number 4 should have no problems in getting through to the second round without breaking a sweat.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Thiem 3-0 at $2.00

Jeremy Chardy v Denis Shapavolov

This could be the highlight of all 64 Round 1 matches in the Men’s draw as the seeded young Canadian is outsider to progress against Jeremy Chardy. A closer look at Chardy’s recent results tells all about the current prices though as the 31-year old Frenchman is in the form of his life. At Queen’s, Chardy was unlucky to go down 2-0 to Novak Djokoivic in the semis and he came into the tournament with back-to-back wins on the grass of Hertogenbosch and Surbiton. Surbiton is around 10 miles away from Wimbledon and given Chardy has made London his home now he looks very comfortable in these surroundings.

Shopavolov has played four times on grass this season and won just once – when a heavy-favourite against Jared Donaldson in the opening round at Eastbourne. This is just his second appearance at SW19 after he was eliminated in the first round to Jerzy Janowicz and we’re expecting the same fate for the 19-year old here.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Chardy to Win at $1.70

Daniil Medvedev v Borna Coric

Borna Coric comes into this tournament on the back of winning his first title on Grass and he did it in the best possible fashion beating the best player of all time! Coric beat Roger Federer, who was looking for his 10th Halle title, 7-6 3-6 6-2 in the final after an impressible tournament which also saw him topple Alexander Zverev in the first round. Prior to the final, Federer was on a 20-match winning streak on Grass!

In the first round at SW19 Coric faces Daniil Medvedev who’s had a poor grass court campaign. In his most recent two matches he’s been beaten in straight sets in the Last 16 at Queens and Round 1 at Eastbourne last week to Steve Johnson.

Coric is seeded in Federer’s quarter which could set up a tantalising potential Last 16 match and we think the Croat will follow in the footsteps of his impressive countrymen in Russia so far and breeze through the first round.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Coric 3-0 at $2.50

Stan Wawrinka v Grigor Dimitrov

The highlight of Day 1 at Wimbledon is multi-major winner Stan Wawrinka taking on Grigor Dimitrov. The Swiss has dropped to 225 in the World following a sustained period out with injury. He’s the rank outsider here and it’s easy to see why given he’s won just two matches on grass since 2015.

Dimitrov has always promised much at SW19 having reached at least the second round in his last seven appearance here but in warming up for this major he hasn’t hit his usual heights however as he was thrashed 6-4 6-1 by Novak Djokovic in his only competitive tournament on the surface.

This is the seventh meeting between these two players and they are yet to play a tie-break as both players’ heads go down quickly when they are on a poor run. With the chance of a quick blowout win for the Bulgarian there’s certainly value in backing no tie-break played.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Tie Break Played?  – NO at $2.50

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