2018 WGC Bridgestone Invitational: After Cut Analysis

Venue Name – Firestone CC, South Course, Akron, Ohio, Aug 2-5, 2018

Weather Report  

Saturday – Partly Cloudy, 31 degrees, precipitation 20%, Humidity 53% and Wind 8-13km/h

Sunday –  Partly Cloudy, 31 degrees, precipitation 20%, Humidity 57% and Wind 10-13km/p

Leaderboard Day 1

1st I Poulter -8
T2 K Stanley -7
T2 R Fowler -7
T4 P Cantlay -6
T4 J Rahm -6
T4 S Kim -6

Leaderboard Day 2

T1 I Poulter  
T1 T Fleetwood
T1 J Thomas
T4 K Stanley
T4 J Day
T6 S Kim
T6 R McIlroy
T8 H Li
T8 L List

Course Details and Round by Round Summary

Round 1 Summary

Rory cruised to a first round 5 under par and looked be doing it easy. He mentioned in post round interview that the course couldn’t be playing any easier than it did in round 1. Rory’s whole game is looking sharp again. Tiger Woods made a very promising start to the tournament with a solid 4 under par round, and with his past success at this event and recent form, I wouldn’t like to be betting against him. Justin Rose unfortunately was a late withdrawal due to back injury, while world number 1 Dustin Johnson will need to get going after a first round 1 under par.

Round 2 Summary

Its been a while since we have seen Justin Thomas appear at the top of the leaderboard, but after a brilliant 6 under par, he sits alongside Ian Poulter and Tommy Fleetwood on 11 under par. The greens are playing soft, if players like Rory McIlroy, Jason Day and Tiger Woods can get dialed in with their approach shots and get the putter working, I think they can still easily contend the tournament. Day 3 will be a very important day for these players. Of these three players, Jason Day looks to be hitting the ball very well. Tiger Woods needs a super 3 round, as history shows, he doesn’t win coming from behind, Tiger is renowned for being a brilliant front runner.

In-play betting for Round 3 & Round 4

  1. Hole 2 – Plays as the easiest Par 5 at Firestone, averaging 4.59 strokes. I will be looking for players that are well positioned off the tee, to be placing a “back” bet and then placing a “lay” bet after the hole is completed.
  2. Hole 4 & 9 – Play tough, averaging 4.23 each. I will be looking for players to drop a shot on these holes or miss the fairway. Both these holes are difficult fairways to hit and if the fairway is missed on the No.9 it becomes even harder to hit the green, due to the 12 foot false front. I will be looking at some potential “lay” opportunities on these holes at the tee box and will be looking to “re-back” these players after the hole is completed.
  3. Firestone is a tight long golf course, I like the idea on Sunday of laying some tee shots on the leaders and re-backing after the ball comes to rest. Players like Tiger have still not convinced me with driver in hand. Tiger is looking good with 3 wood or irons in hand, but driver still in my opinion looks a little suspect.

Betting Strategy

Note – Below are some weekend bets to consider, you may also want to read the in-play betting notes as well

 Back – Patton Kizzire is only 1 shot outside the top 10 yet $10.50, 2 units

 Back – Rafa Cabrera Bello is a steady player, overs for a Top 10 at $6, 1 unit

Back – Jason Day Top 5 for 2 units

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