2018 Ryder Cup: Expert Preview

Le Golf National, Paris, France, 28th-30th September 2018


Course Details

With all four majors and the Fed Ex Cup done, all focus now switches to the Ryder Cup. The 42nd Ryder Cup will be held at La Golf National, in Guyancourt, France, which is a suburb southwest of Paris and will no doubt be in outstanding condition for France’s first hosting of the Ryder Cup.

With thick rough and plenty of water the par 72 layout measuring 6703m will be a true test, especially if the wind shows its teeth. Team USA leads the overall Ryder Cup 25-13. There have been only 2 ties in Ryder Cup history.


Weather Report

Friday – 23 degrees, sunny, precipitation 0%, humidity 59%, Wind 23km/h

Saturday – 18 degrees, sunny, precipitation 0%, humidity 52%, 21km/h


Ryder Cup Stats

Since 1979 the Ryder Cup as we know it – Team Europe against Team USA – was formed to make the contest a closer contested event than it had been in previous years.
As a result, the Ryder Cup has become one of the world’s greatest sporting events. Every two years, 24 of the finest players from Europe and the United States go face-to-face in match play format.

Theatre, improbable acts of greatness, team cohesion and sportsmanship under the highest possible pressure are on show during three of the most fascinating days in sport, capturing millions of viewers around the globe. Of the 40 matches participated in cup history, USA overwhelmingly lead Europe by 25 wins to 13. However, with Team Europe only forming in 1979, this is a misleading statistic and one many disregard when assessing the modern day Ryder Cup.

 



Since the introduction of European players, of the previous 18 editions Europe have been the superior team, winning a total of 10 Ryder Cup events, losing seven and drawing one. Notably, Team Europe have been dominant on home soil, winning six and drawing once from nine matches, whereas USA have only won five from the nine editions to date.

Furthermore, the Europeans have been strong away from home also, winning four from nine in what are regarded as intimidating and hostile conditions, while the Americans have only managed two wins and one draw on European soil. Overall, Europe have produced their best golf more often than not, but with Team USA more likely to win at home, the chances of them preventing four European wins in a row is greater.


Ryder Cup Players Current Form Review

Team USA Event 1 Event 2 Event 3 Event 4 Event 5 Scoring Average To Par 72
1.        B DeChambeau 19 T19 1ST 1ST MC -2.55
2.        T Finau T15 T8 T4 2ND T42 -2.4
3.        R Fowler T7 T8 T12 T17 T28 -1.7
4.        D Johnson 3RD T24 T7 T11 T27 -2.25
5.        B Koepka T26 T19 T12 T8 1ST -2.25
6.        P Mickelson 30th T58 T12 T15 MC -0.22
7.        P Reed 28TH T19 T35 T25 MC -0.66
8.        W Simpson T4 T6 T49 T28 2ND -2.5
9.        J Spieth T55 T12 T25 T12 T60 -1.15
10.     J Thomas T7 T12 T24 T8 T6 -2.4
11.     B Watson T29 T16 T7 T34 MC -0.61
12.     T Woods 1ST T6 T24 T40 2ND -2.65

Team USA Total Stroke Average: – 1.78     

Team Europe Event 1 Event 2 Event 3 Event 4 Event 5 Scoring Average To Par 72
1.       P Casey T11 W/D T21 T60 MC -0.52
2.       T Fleetwood T11 T8 T24 T20 T35 -1.95
3.       S Garcia T24 MC T39 MC MC -0.64
4.       T Hatton T29 T12 T20 T10 T28 -1.95
5.       R McIlroy T7 5TH T12 T50 T6 -2.15
6.       F Molinari T21 T8 MC T6 T39 -1.22
7.       A Noren T24 T43 MC MC T31 -0.68
8.       T Olesen T20 T20 4TH T56 T3 -2.3
9.       I Poulter T51 MC T48 T31 T10 -0.88
10.    J Rahm T11 T24 T43 MC T4 -1.33
11.    J Rose T4 2ND 2ND MC T19 -2.38
12.    H Stenson T29 T69 T20 MC T39 -1.19

Team Europe Total Stroke Average: -1.43

Team USA come into the Ryder Cup with their players in better current form than Team Europe. The real test however will be Team USA dealing with playing on European soil and the European crowd. Team Europe are very strong on home soil, winning six and have only lost once since 1979.


Individual Rankings for the 2018 Ryder Cup

Betting Note – When players are paired together for the teams matches, I suggest reviewing which pairing have the stronger rankings.

Player My Rankings Team
Dustin Johnson -2.35 Team USA
Justin Rose -2.32 Team Europe
Tiger Woods -2.23 Team USA
Justin Thomas -2.23 Team USA
Tony Finau -2.23 Team USA
Bryson DeChambeau -2.17 Team USA
Webb Simpson -2.16 Team USA
Thorbjorn Olesen -2.07 Team Europe
Brooks Koepka -1.89 Team USA
Rory McIlroy -1.89 Team Europe
Tommy Fleetwood -1.86 Team Europe
Rickie Fowler -1.7 Team USA
Tyrrell Hatton -1.42 Team Europe
Jon Rahm -1.38 Team Europe
Henrik Stenson -1.29 Team Europe
Jordan Spieth -1.28 Team USA
Francesco Molinari -1.17 Team Europe
Patrick Reed -0.82 Team USA
Ian Poulter -0.82 Team Europe
Bubba Watson -0.78 Team USA
Paul Casey -0.68 Team Europe
Alex Noren -0.66 Team Europe
Phil Mickelson -0.45 Team USA
Sergio Garcia -0.41 Team Europe

It is a tall order for Justin Rose to carry Team Europe to victory in the Ryder Cup. Team USA are very strong in the top order this year. The only advantage Team Europe have, is that it is on home soil and Europe have proven to be strong at home, however this year I believe Team USA will overcome this and win the Ryder Cup.


Pre Tournament Bets

Great to see Tiger win last week and we had a nice big collect. Lets see if we can do it again!

 BACK – Team USA to win the Ryder Cup for 3 units

 BACK – Team USA Day 1 Fourballs Winner for 1 unit

 BACK – Team USA Day 1 Foursomes Winner for 1 unit


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