2018 Rugby Championship: Expert Previews

The Rugby Championship for 2018 is here and The Analysts are giving their expert previews for every game across all six weeks. The All Blacks are the heavy favourites to take out the Championship with Argentina hoping they can run with the big three. Bookmark this post for all the analysis around the Rugby Championship.

For the best odds on the Rugby Championship, head to the Betfair Exchange.

South Africa v New Zealand

Sunday 7th October 1.05am AEST – Loftus Versfeld

South Africa have a sensational record at Loftus Versfeld and with the All Blacks securing another Rugby Championship already, this looks like a great spot for the Springboks. The home team is riding high after downing the All Blacks in New Zealand and then beating Australia.

The All Blacks have not covered in any of their last three. The Springboks have won nine straight in Pretoria and have not lost at the ground since 2006.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – South Africa +12.5


Argentina v Australia

Sunday 7th October 9.40am AEST – Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena

The Wallabies have won five of their last six in Argentina and after enduring a wretched Rugby Championship that has netted just one win, they will be desperate to leave on a high before next year’s World Cup.

The Pumas have lost three of their last four in Salta and after a strong season but with nothing to gain from this one, the Wallabies are the play.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Australia +1.5

South Africa v Australia

Saturday 30th September 1.10am AEST – Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium

No team has endured a more rollercoaster-like ride throughout this year’s Rugby Championship than South Africa, who suffered losses to Argentina and Australia before defeating the All Blacks in one of the Springboks’ most famous wins. The Wallabies’ only win this series has been at home to South Africa and they enter this off a home loss to Argentina.

South Africa will be happy to return home, where they have lost just three of their last 15 Tests with six double digit wins in their last 10. Australia last won in South Africa in 2011. South Africa are undefeated in five Tests played at Nelson Mandela Bay with an average margin of victory of 18.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – South Africa -8.5


Argentina v New Zealand

Saturday 30th September 8.40am AEST – Estadio José Amalfitani

New Zealand travel to Argentina to take on the Pumas and will be stinging after a shock home defeat to South Africa. Since 2000, the All Blacks have won all 19 Tests against the Pumas with nine of the last 10 wins coming by margins of 17 or more.

The last five Tests in Argentina have resulted in an average winning margin of 24.6 points. Since 2010, the All Blacks are 7-1-1 following a Test loss with six of those wins coming by 10-plus points.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – New Zealand -17.5

New Zealand v South Africa

Saturday 15th September 5.35pm AEST – Wellington Regional Stadium

The All Blacks have played eight Tests on home soil since the Lions series last year and they have won all eight with their last six coming by margins of 21 or more. New Zealand have also won six straight against the Springboks, with three of the last four coming by margins of 28 or more. South Africa are a long way from New Zealand at present and will do well to keep this remotely close.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – New Zealand -22.5


Australia v Argentina

Saturday 15th September 8.00pm AEST – Robina Stadium

The Wallabies host the Pumas on the Gold Coast and have won six straight against the Argentine team. During that streak the Wallabies have won all by at least 12 points with their average winning margin of 18.17. Australia have played two Tests on the Gold Coast – both against Argentina – and came out victorious in each. Over the last two years Argentina have won just two of 15 matches on foreign soil and they were against lightweights Italy and Japan. Nine of those losses have been by 13 or more.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Australia -10.5

New Zealand v Argentina

Saturday 8th September 5.35pm AEST – Trafalgar Park

Both New Zealand and Argentina opened the Rugby Championship with two straight covers with the All Blacks touching up Australia twice while the Pumas won at home against the Springboks. The line looks too big in this one. Argentina have finished within 26 points in nine of their last 10 against the All Blacks, who are set to rest some of their big guns.

Six of the last seven Tests in New Zealand against Argentina have finishes within 23.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Argentina +27.5


Australia v South Africa

Saturday 8th September 8:00pm AEST – Suncorp Stadium

Suncorp Stadium has been a happy hunting ground of late for the Wallabies with four straight wins at the ground and only five defeats in their last 19 at the Brisbane venue. The Wallabies have also won five of the last six against the Springboks at the ground with all the wins coming by six or more points.

South Africa have won just three of their last 11 Tests outside of South Africa.

 

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Australia -5.5

New Zealand v Australia

Saturday 25th August 5.35pm AEST – Eden Park

The All Blacks had no issues disposing of a supposedly rejuvenated Wallabies side with a convincing 38-13 win in Sydney. The All Blacks have dropped just four Tests against the Wallabies since 2009, an extraordinary record, with their chance to keep the Bledisloe Cup for an 18th straight year all but confirmed as 22.5-point favourites at Eden Park.

The All Blacks have not lost at Eden Park since 1994 and have won five of their last eight at the ground by 27 or more points. Australia’s closest effort in their last four at the ground is 22. New Zealand should slaughter the hapless Wallabies.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – New Zealand -22.5


Argentina v South Africa

Sunday 26th August 5.10am AEST – Estadio Malvinas

Argentina’s record has been utterly hopeless on home turf over the last three years with six straight losses. In their last 11 Tests in Argentina dating back to 2016, the Pumas’ only win came against Georgia.

Their last six home defeats have been by 13 or more while they have lost four of their last five against South Africa in Argentina. The Springboks finishes last season with two northern Hemisphere wins. They should continue their rejuvenated touring form.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – South Africa -6.5

Australia v New Zealand

Saturday 18th August 8.00pm AEST – ANZ Stadium

The Wallabies have not won the Bledisloe Cup in a generation and 2018 is unlikely to be a year where the guard is changed. Over the last decade the All Blacks have lost just four Tests against the Wallabies – including a dead rubber lost last season and a defeat in Hong Kong.

The All Blacks have dominated the Wallabies of late with six of the last eight Tests between the old rivals seeing New Zealand win by 17-plus. Three of the last five at ANZ have seen New Zealand win by 17 or more. The All Blacks should be kicking off the Rugby Championship with a big win.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – New Zealand -12.5


South Africa v Argentina

Sunday 19th August 1.05am AEST – Kings Park Stadium

South Africa’s home Test record has been less than stellar of late with just 10 wins in their last 17 dating back to 2015. Kings Park has not been particularly kind to the Springboks of late either with two defeats in their last three at the Durban venue.

South Africa go in favoured by over two touchdowns but have not won any of their last four by more than 11 points and have won just four of their last 17 by more than 14. In the last 10 Tests between the Springboks and the Pumas, South Africa have just two wins by more than 14 with Argentina winning twice including in Durban in 2015.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Argentina +15.5


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